用同调扰动法研究六室非线性 COVID-19 模型

Axioms Pub Date : 2024-05-09 DOI:10.3390/axioms13050311
M. Rafiullah, Muhammad Asif, Dure Jabeen, M. A. Ibrahim
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摘要

本研究旨在利用同调扰动法(HPM)求解非线性动力学模型,尤其关注与预测和控制流行病相关的模型,如 SIR 模型。具体来说,我们应用该方法求解了新型冠状病毒(COVID-19)的六室模型,其中包括易感者、暴露者、无症状感染者、有症状感染者和康复者,环境中 COVID-19 的浓度分别用 S(t)、E(t)、A(t)、I(t)、R(t)和 B(t) 表示。我们通过改变控制参数并用图形表示,给出了该模型的序列解。此外,我们还验证了满足初始条件和模型的序列解(直到 (n-1)th 阶多项式)的准确性,所有系数均精确到小数点后 18 位。此外,我们还将结果与 Runge-Kutta 四阶方法进行了比较。根据我们的研究结果,我们得出结论:同调扰动法是解决非线性动力学模型,尤其是与大流行病相关模型的一种很有前途的方法。该方法为了解控制各种参数如何影响模型提供了宝贵的见解。我们建议今后的研究可以通过探索更多模型和评估其他分析方法的适用性来扩展我们的工作。
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Study of the Six-Compartment Nonlinear COVID-19 Model with the Homotopy Perturbation Method
The current study aims to utilize the homotopy perturbation method (HPM) to solve nonlinear dynamical models, with a particular focus on models related to predicting and controlling pandemics, such as the SIR model. Specifically, we apply this method to solve a six-compartment model for the novel coronavirus (COVID-19), which includes susceptible, exposed, asymptomatic infected, symptomatic infected, and recovered individuals, and the concentration of COVID-19 in the environment is indicated by S(t), E(t), A(t), I(t), R(t), and B(t), respectively. We present the series solution of this model by varying the controlling parameters and representing them graphically. Additionally, we verify the accuracy of the series solution (up to the (n−1)th-degree polynomial) that satisfies both the initial conditions and the model, with all coefficients correct at 18 decimal places. Furthermore, we have compared our results with the Runge–Kutta fourth-order method. Based on our findings, we conclude that the homotopy perturbation method is a promising approach to solve nonlinear dynamical models, particularly those associated with pandemics. This method provides valuable insight into how the control of various parameters can affect the model. We suggest that future studies can expand on our work by exploring additional models and assessing the applicability of other analytical methods.
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