探索中国数字普惠金融与传统金融之间的关系

Min Jiang, Wei Zhou
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摘要

2016 年以来,中国将发展数字普惠金融(DIF)纳入国家战略规划,并给予政策倾斜支持。这些政策变化不仅促进了金融的可持续发展,也为研究数字普惠金融与传统金融之间的关系提供了契机。本研究利用 2011 年至 2019 年中国地级市的面板数据,采用广义差分法分析相关政策的影响。研究结果表明,传统金融水平与促进DIF政策的成功实施之间存在正相关关系,表明传统金融与DIF之间存在互补关系。此外,分析表明,在金融和技术条件更有利的地区,传统金融在促进 DIF 方面发挥着突出的支持作用。因此,促进 DIF 的政策应考虑当地的金融和技术环境,同时根据传统金融的成熟度制定有针对性的战略。
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Exploring the Relationship between Digital Inclusive Finance and Traditional Finance in China
Since 2016, China has incorporated the development of digital inclusive finance (DIF) into its national strategic plan and supported it with favorable policies. These policy changes not only promote the sustainable development of finance but also provide an opportunity to examine the relationship between DIF and traditional finance. This study utilizes panel data from China's prefecture-level cities spanning 2011 to 2019 and employs the generalized difference-in-difference method to analyze the impacts of relevant policies. The findings indicate a positive correlation between the level of traditional finance and the successful implementation of policies that promote DIF, suggesting a complementary relationship between traditional finance and DIF. Additionally, analysis reveals that in regions with more favorable financial and technological conditions, traditional finance plays a prominent supportive role in facilitating DIF. Therefore, policies promoting DIF should consider local financial and technological landscapes while developing tailored strategies based on the maturity level of traditional finance.
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