塞瓦斯托波尔再市场定价研究

M. V. Bezhan, I. S. Rakitina, I. Shevchuk
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引用次数: 0

摘要

住房负担能力是最重要和最热门的趋势之一,俄罗斯在推行国家经济政策时都会考虑到这一点。房地产市场的定价过程是影响住房负担能力和某些地区对持续居住吸引力的重要因素。建筑量直接取决于有效需求和抵押贷款条件。文章讨论了某些因素对可再生能源市场定价过程影响的尖锐问题。为了确定这些因素之间的相互联系,研究对联邦重要城市塞瓦斯托波尔的工资动态和抵押贷款组合对市场房地产成本变化的影响进行了计量经济学评估。研究中使用的方法:向量自回归模型(标准和偏差)。官方统计数据被用作信息基础,包括俄罗斯银行的数据以及经济学家的出版物。研究的最初假设是,提出的变量会严重影响该地区住房成本的实际数字。本论文的计量经济学分析从总体上证明了这一假设。研究结果可为预测塞瓦斯托波尔市房地产市场的通货膨胀过程提供科学依据,并可用于俄罗斯联邦的其他实体。
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Research on Pricing on Re Market in Sevastopol
   Affordability of housing is one of the most important and topical trends, that is taken into account in pursuing state economic policy in Russia. Pricing process on RE market acts as a serious factor influencing housing affordability and appeal of certain regions for continuous residence. Construction volumes directly depend on effective demand and conditions of mortgage crediting. The article discusses acute issues of certain factor impact on pricing process on RE market. In order to identify the interconnection of these factors the research conducted econometric assessment of the impact of wage dynamics and mortgage crediting portfolio on changes in market RE cost in the city of federal importance Sevastopol. Methods used in the research: models of vector auto-regression (standard and bias). Data of official statistics were used as an information base, including data of the Bank of Russia, as well as publications by economists. The initial hypothesis of the research said that proposed variables influence seriously the actual figure of housing cost in the region. Econometric analysis of this thesis proved in general the hypothesis. Findings of the research can form a scientific base for forecasting inflation processes on RE market in the city of Sevastopol and can be used in other entities of the Russian Federation.
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