基于支持向量机的股票市场预测,使用长短期记忆和卷积神经网络,以及受奎拉圆圈启发的优化。

IF 1.1 3区 计算机科学 Q4 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Network-Computation in Neural Systems Pub Date : 2024-06-10 DOI:10.1080/0954898X.2024.2358957
J Karthick Myilvahanan, N Mohana Sundaram
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引用次数: 0

摘要

预测股市是一项重要任务,成功预测股票价格有助于做出正确决策。股票市场的预测是一项重大挑战,因为它面临着爆炸性、混沌数据和非稳态数据。本研究设计了支持向量机(SVM)来进行有效的股市预测。首先,考虑输入的时间序列数据,并采用标准标量对数据进行预处理。然后,提取时间内在特征,并在特征选择阶段使用递归特征消除法消除其他特征,从而选出合适的特征。然后,进行基于长短期记忆(LSTM)的预测,其中 LSTM 的训练采用了 Aquila 圆圈启发优化算法(ACIO),该算法是通过将 Aquila 优化器(AO)与圆圈启发优化算法(CIOA)合并而新引入的。另一方面,通过考虑输入的时间序列数据,进行基于延迟的矩阵形成。然后,执行基于卷积神经网络(CNN)的预测,其中 CNN 由相同的 ACIO 进行调整。最后,通过融合基于 LSTM 的预测和基于 CNN 的预测所获得的预测输出,利用 SVM 进行股市预测。此外,SVM 在最小平均绝对百分比误差 (MAPE) 和归一化均方根误差 (RMSE) 值约为 0.378 和 0.294 方面取得了更好的结果。
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Support vector machine-based stock market prediction using long short-term memory and convolutional neural network with aquila circle inspired optimization.

Predicting the stock market is one of the significant chores and has a successful prediction of stock rates, and it helps in making correct decisions. The prediction of the stock market is the main challenge due to blaring, chaotic data as well as non-stationary data. In this research, the support vector machine (SVM) is devised for performing an effective stock market prediction. At first, the input time series data is considered and the pre-processing of data is done by employing a standard scalar. Then, the time intrinsic features are extracted and the suitable features are selected in the feature selection stage by eliminating other features using recursive feature elimination. Afterwards, the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) based prediction is done, wherein LSTM is trained to employ Aquila circle-inspired optimization (ACIO) that is newly introduced by merging Aquila optimizer (AO) with circle-inspired optimization algorithm (CIOA). On the other hand, delay-based matrix formation is conducted by considering input time series data. After that, convolutional neural network (CNN)-based prediction is performed, where CNN is tuned by the same ACIO. Finally, stock market prediction is executed utilizing SVM by fusing the predicted outputs attained from LSTM-based prediction and CNN-based prediction. Furthermore, the SVM attains better outcomes of minimum mean absolute percentage error; (MAPE) and normalized root-mean-square error (RMSE) with values about 0.378 and 0.294.

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来源期刊
Network-Computation in Neural Systems
Network-Computation in Neural Systems 工程技术-工程:电子与电气
CiteScore
3.70
自引率
1.30%
发文量
22
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: Network: Computation in Neural Systems welcomes submissions of research papers that integrate theoretical neuroscience with experimental data, emphasizing the utilization of cutting-edge technologies. We invite authors and researchers to contribute their work in the following areas: Theoretical Neuroscience: This section encompasses neural network modeling approaches that elucidate brain function. Neural Networks in Data Analysis and Pattern Recognition: We encourage submissions exploring the use of neural networks for data analysis and pattern recognition, including but not limited to image analysis and speech processing applications. Neural Networks in Control Systems: This category encompasses the utilization of neural networks in control systems, including robotics, state estimation, fault detection, and diagnosis. Analysis of Neurophysiological Data: We invite submissions focusing on the analysis of neurophysiology data obtained from experimental studies involving animals. Analysis of Experimental Data on the Human Brain: This section includes papers analyzing experimental data from studies on the human brain, utilizing imaging techniques such as MRI, fMRI, EEG, and PET. Neurobiological Foundations of Consciousness: We encourage submissions exploring the neural bases of consciousness in the brain and its simulation in machines.
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