COVID-19 大流行后的社会接触模式:来自 CoMix 研究的大流行后行为快照。

IF 3 3区 医学 Q2 INFECTIOUS DISEASES Epidemics Pub Date : 2024-06-29 DOI:10.1016/j.epidem.2024.100778
Christopher I. Jarvis , Pietro Coletti , Jantien A. Backer , James D. Munday , Christel Faes , Philippe Beutels , Christian L. Althaus , Nicola Low , Jacco Wallinga , Niel Hens , W.John Edmunds
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引用次数: 0

摘要

COVID-19 大流行导致了前所未有的行为变化。为了估计这些变化是否持续存在,我们在四个国家进行了最后一轮 CoMix 社会接触调查,当时所有社会限制均已解除数月。我们对英国、荷兰、比利时和瑞士的全国代表性样本进行了调查。调查询问了参与者前一天的接触情况和行为。我们计算了接触矩阵,并将接触水平与大流行前的基线进行比较,以估计 R0。数据收集时间为 2022 年 11 月 17 日至 12 月 7 日。共招募了 7477 名参与者。其中一些人被要求代表其子女参与调查。在所有参与者中,只有 14.4% 的人表示前一天戴过口罩。各国成人自我报告的疫苗接种率相似,都在 86% 左右。北荷兰记录的接触率最高,每人每天接触 9.9 次(95 % 置信区间 [CI] 9.0-10.8),中国最低,为 6.0 次(95 % 置信区间 [CI] 5.4-6.6)。英国的工作接触率最低(每人每天 1.4 次),荷兰最高,每人每天 2.8 次。其他接触在英国也较低,每人每天 1.6 次(95 % CI 1.4-1.9),在荷兰最高,每人每天 3.4 次(95 % CI 43.0-4.0)。下一代方法表明,密切接触疾病的 R0 在英国约为大流行前水平的一半,在荷兰为 80%,在其他两个国家处于中间水平。大流行似乎导致了接触模式的持久变化,预计将对许多不同病原体的流行病学产生影响。有必要在大流行后开展进一步调查,以证实这一结论。
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Social contact patterns following the COVID-19 pandemic: a snapshot of post-pandemic behaviour from the CoMix study

The COVID-19 pandemic led to unprecedented changes in behaviour. To estimate if these persisted, a final round of the CoMix social contact survey was conducted in four countries at a time when all societal restrictions had been lifted for several months. We conducted a survey on a nationally representative sample in the UK, Netherlands (NL), Belgium (BE), and Switzerland (CH). Participants were asked about their contacts and behaviours on the previous day. We calculated contact matrices and compared the contact levels to a pre-pandemic baseline to estimate R0. Data collection occurred from 17 November to 7 December 2022. 7477 participants were recruited. Some were asked to undertake the survey on behalf of their children. Only 14.4 % of all participants reported wearing a facemask on the previous day. Self-reported vaccination rates in adults were similar for each country at around 86 %. Trimmed mean recorded contacts were highest in NL with 9.9 (95 % confidence interval [CI] 9.0–10.8) contacts per person per day and lowest in CH at 6.0 (95 % CI 5.4–6.6). Contacts at work were lowest in the UK (1.4 contacts per person per day) and highest in NL at 2.8 contacts per person per day. Other contacts were also lower in the UK at 1.6 per person per day (95 % CI 1.4–1.9) and highest in NL at 3.4 recorded per person per day (95 % CI 43.0–4.0). The next-generation approach suggests that R0 for a close-contact disease would be roughly half pre-pandemic levels in the UK, 80 % in NL and intermediate in the other two countries. The pandemic appears to have resulted in lasting changes in contact patterns expected to have an impact on the epidemiology of many different pathogens. Further post-pandemic surveys are necessary to confirm this finding.

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来源期刊
Epidemics
Epidemics INFECTIOUS DISEASES-
CiteScore
6.00
自引率
7.90%
发文量
92
审稿时长
140 days
期刊介绍: Epidemics publishes papers on infectious disease dynamics in the broadest sense. Its scope covers both within-host dynamics of infectious agents and dynamics at the population level, particularly the interaction between the two. Areas of emphasis include: spread, transmission, persistence, implications and population dynamics of infectious diseases; population and public health as well as policy aspects of control and prevention; dynamics at the individual level; interaction with the environment, ecology and evolution of infectious diseases, as well as population genetics of infectious agents.
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