民主与腐败悖论对经济增长的影响:MINT 国家

IF 4 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Economic Change and Restructuring Pub Date : 2024-07-04 DOI:10.1007/s10644-024-09726-6
Asiye Tutuncu, Yasar Bayraktar
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究探讨了 1975-2022 年间民主和腐败对墨西哥、印度尼西亚、尼日利亚和土耳其经济增长的影响。利用分频灵活傅立叶面板协整和动态普通最小二乘法系数估计工具,采用两个模型来检验有关经济增长的假设。研究结果表明,民主对所有中东部非洲国家的经济增长都起着提升作用,而腐败的影响则各不相同。在印度尼西亚和墨西哥,腐败对经济增长有积极影响,反映了民主的效果,而尼日利亚和土耳其则有消极影响。民主模型支持所有国家的兼容性假设,认为民主与经济增长之间存在正向联系。然而,腐败模型产生了不同的结果,尼日利亚和土耳其符合 "车轮上的润滑油 "假说,这意味着腐败可以绕过官僚主义障碍,促进经济增长;而印度尼西亚和墨西哥则支持 "车轮上的沙子 "假说,表明腐败阻碍了经济增长。这突出表明,政府需要通过强有力的监督和治理机制来加强机构的透明度、问责制和公信力。因此,民主进步、精简官僚机构和反腐败政策是实现可持续经济增长和福利的当务之急。
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The effect of democracy and corruption paradox on economic growth: MINT countries

This study examines the impact of democracy and corruption on the economic growth of Mexico, Indonesia, Nigeria, and Turkey over the 1975–2022 period. Utilizing the Fractional Frequency Flexible Fourier Panel Cointegration and Dynamic Ordinary Least Squares coefficient estimator, two models are employed to test hypotheses regarding economic growth. The findings reveal that democracy plays an upgrading role in the economic growth of all MINT countries, while the effect of corruption varies. In Indonesia and Mexico, corruption has a positive impact on growth, reflecting the effect of democracy, whereas Nigeria and Turkey experience a negative impact. The democracy model supports the compatibility hypothesis for all countries, asserting a positive link between democracy and economic growth. However, the corruption model yields divergent results, with Nigeria and Turkey aligning with the “grease in the wheels” hypothesis, implying that corruption can facilitate economic growth by bypassing bureaucratic obstacles, while Indonesia and Mexico support the "sand in the wheels" hypothesis, indicating that corruption hinders economic growth. This highlights the need for governments to strengthen institutions through transparency, accountability, and credibility via robust oversight and governance mechanisms. Therefore, democratic advancement, streamlined bureaucracy, and anti-corruption policies are imperative for sustainable economic growth and welfare.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
4.80
自引率
6.50%
发文量
78
期刊介绍: Economic Change and Restructuring has been accepted for SSCI and will get its first Impact Factor in 2020!Since the early 1990s fundamental changes in the world economy, under the auspices of increasing globalisation, have taken place On one hand, the disappearance of the centrally planned economies and the progressive formation of market-oriented economies, have brought about countless systematic changes, where new economic structures, institutions, competences and skills involve complex processes, changes which are still underway and which necessitate adaptation and restructuring to form competitive market economies. On the other hand, many developing economies are making great strides as regards economic reform and liberalisation, and are emerging as new global players. They show an innovative capacity to position themselves in the global economy and to compete with industrialised countries, which are generally believed to be witnessing the rapid erosion of their established positions. These developments are accompanied by the exacerbation of the world competition. Both processes involve transition and the emerging economies, in searching for a new role and scope for public policies and for a new balance between public and private partnership, seem to currently be converging, especially with respect to the policies needed to create appropriate and effective market institutions and integrated reform policies, and to increase the standards of the population''s education levels. Thus, liberalisation and development policies, in attempting to strike a difficult balance between social and environmental needs, must be integrated more coherently. This complexity calls for new analytical and empirical approaches that can explain these new phenomena, which often go beyond the over-simplified facts and conventional ''wisdom'' that emerged at the start of the transition in the early 1990s. Economic Change and Restructuring (formerly ''Economics of Planning''), by keeping abreast of developments affecting both transitional and emerging economies, is aimed to attract original empirical and policy analysis contributions that are focused on various issues, including macroeconomic analysis, fiscal issues, finance and banking, industrial and trade development, and regional and local development issues. The journal aspires to publish cutting edge research and to serve as a forum for economists and policymakers working in these fields.Officially cited as: Econ Change Restruct
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