中国替代能源发展的问题

V. A. Prokof’ev
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摘要

本文主要分析了中国替代能源的问题。要确保经济增长,就必须为工业需求提供稳定充足的能源供应。地缘政治的紧张局势催生了国家能源资源的开发,尤其是可再生能源的开发,而可再生能源的开发存在诸多问题。对 "十四五"(2021-2025 年)能源规划的详细研究揭示了中国能源目标面临的挑战。首先,替代发电的主要问题是 "损失 "严重,即需要平衡能源生产与消费。全天能源生产的不均衡性、大功率电池的缺乏以及用于能源传输的高压线路都加剧了这一问题。其次,争夺土地引发了与农业、建筑业和工业部门的竞争。第三,替代能源发电面临效率不足的问题(以能源产量/装机容量的比率以及能源密度为特征),这导致补贴减少,并以效率更高但目前在中国开发储量较少的非常规天然气替代可再生能源。通过引入 "绿色 "融资和专项基金(亚洲国际投资银行、丝路基金、国家开发银行)融资,部分解决了补贴问题,通过吸引投资者资金,支持有前景的能源生产技术,从而实施分布式发电项目。大部分不足都与可再生能源有关,因此中国正在积极发展其他领域--核能发电、氢气生产以及优化内部地区之间的能源流动。
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PROBLEMS OF GROWTH OF ALTERNATIVE ENERGY SOURCES IN CHINA
The article is devoted to the analysis of the problems of alternative energy in China. Ensuring economic growth is achieved by stable and sufficient supplies of energy to the needs of industry. Geopolitical tensions give rise to the development of national energy resources and, above all, renewable energy sources, development of which has a number of issues. A detailed examination of the 14th Five-Year (2021–2025) Energy Plan revealed challenges to China’s energy goals. Firstly, the main issue of alternative generation is the high level of «losses», i.e. the need to balance energy production with its consumption. The unevenness of energy production throughout the day, the lack of high-power batteries, as well as high-voltage lines for energy transmission, heighten this problem. Secondly, the struggle for land gives rise to competition with agriculture, construction and industrial sectors. Thirdly, alternative energy generation faces the problem of its insufficient efficiency (characterized by the ratio of energy production/ installed capacity, as well as energy density), which leads to reduction in subsidies and the replacement of renewable energy sources with more efficient, but currently less developed reserves of unconventional gas in China. The problem of subsidies is partly solved by the introduction of «green» financing as well as financing from special funds (AIIB, Silk Road Fund, NDB), that allows the implementation of distributed generation projects by attracting investor funds, as well as supporting promising energy production technologies. Most of the shortcomings relate to renewable energy sources, so China is actively developing other areas – nuclear generation, hydrogen production, and optimizing energy flows between inner regions.
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