定量切片采样

Matthew J. Heiner, Samuel B. Johnson, Joshua R. Christensen, David B. Dahl
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引用次数: 0

摘要

我们提出并演示了另一种有效的简单切片取样方法。利用概率积分变换,我们首先概括了尼尔的缩减算法,将程序标准化为一个自动的通用起点:单位区间。这样就能通过重要度再加权引入近似(伪)目标,这种技术已在椭圆切片采样中得到普及。合理精确的伪目标可以减少剔除次数,降低目标偏差,从而提高采样器的效率。当目标存在一个自然的(可能是粗糙的)近似值时,这种策略就很有效。另外,从初始样本中获取边际伪目标也提供了一种直观的自动调整程序。我们考虑了两种评估近似质量的指标;每种指标都可用作寻找最佳伪目标的标准或可解释的诊断。我们检验了所提出的采样器与其他流行的、易于实现的 MCMC 采样器相比在标准目标上的性能,以及在贝叶斯建模背景下作为吉布斯采样器中的步骤的性能。我们将转换方法扩展到多变量切片采样器,并用一个受限状态空间模型进行了演示,该模型的前向-后向算法提供了目标近似值。
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Quantile Slice Sampling
We propose and demonstrate an alternate, effective approach to simple slice sampling. Using the probability integral transform, we first generalize Neal's shrinkage algorithm, standardizing the procedure to an automatic and universal starting point: the unit interval. This enables the introduction of approximate (pseudo-) targets through importance reweighting, a technique that has popularized elliptical slice sampling. Reasonably accurate pseudo-targets can boost sampler efficiency by requiring fewer rejections and by reducing target skewness. This strategy is effective when a natural, possibly crude, approximation to the target exists. Alternatively, obtaining a marginal pseudo-target from initial samples provides an intuitive and automatic tuning procedure. We consider two metrics for evaluating the quality of approximation; each can be used as a criterion to find an optimal pseudo-target or as an interpretable diagnostic. We examine performance of the proposed sampler relative to other popular, easily implemented MCMC samplers on standard targets in isolation, and as steps within a Gibbs sampler in a Bayesian modeling context. We extend the transformation method to multivariate slice samplers and demonstrate with a constrained state-space model for which a readily available forward-backward algorithm provides the target approximation.
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