当世界分崩离析时战争时期人们如何做出决定

Ekaterina Botchkovar, Matthew Kafafian, A. Timmer, Olena P Antonaccio, Lorine A. Hughes, Robert J. Johnson
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摘要

本研究对来自乌克兰两个城市的 1,247 名成年人进行了抽样分析,以了解 2017 年顿巴斯战争对平民暴力行为相关决策的影响。研究旨在:(a)评估作为战争暴露与暴力行为之间中介的感知奖赏和成本;(b)检验战争暴露是否会增加感知奖赏的效果并降低感知犯罪成本对暴力行为的影响;(c)评估战争暴露对感知暴力奖赏/成本与决策调节因素之间相互作用的影响。研究结果表明,战争暴露程度越高,感知到的利益的相关性就越低,并会改变其与其他因素在暴力决策中的相互关系。总之,研究结果表明,战争期间的推理会向 "热 "推理转变。
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When the World Falls Apart: How People Make Decisions in the Times of War
A sample of 1,247 adults from two Ukrainian cities was analyzed to understand how exposure to the Donbas war in 2017 influenced decision-making related to violent behaviors among civilians. The study seeks to: (a) evaluate perceived rewards and costs as mediators between war exposure and violence; (b) test if war exposure increases the effect of perceived rewards and decreases the influence of perceived costs of crime on violence; (c) assess war exposure’s impact on the interaction between perceived rewards/costs of violence and decision-making moderators. As findings show, high war exposure diminishes the relevance of perceived benefits and alters their interrelationships with other factors in violent decisions. Overall, results suggest a shift toward “hot” reasoning during war.
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