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When the World Falls Apart: How People Make Decisions in the Times of War 当世界分崩离析时战争时期人们如何做出决定
Pub Date : 2024-08-09 DOI: 10.1177/00111287241268371
Ekaterina Botchkovar, Matthew Kafafian, A. Timmer, Olena P Antonaccio, Lorine A. Hughes, Robert J. Johnson
A sample of 1,247 adults from two Ukrainian cities was analyzed to understand how exposure to the Donbas war in 2017 influenced decision-making related to violent behaviors among civilians. The study seeks to: (a) evaluate perceived rewards and costs as mediators between war exposure and violence; (b) test if war exposure increases the effect of perceived rewards and decreases the influence of perceived costs of crime on violence; (c) assess war exposure’s impact on the interaction between perceived rewards/costs of violence and decision-making moderators. As findings show, high war exposure diminishes the relevance of perceived benefits and alters their interrelationships with other factors in violent decisions. Overall, results suggest a shift toward “hot” reasoning during war.
本研究对来自乌克兰两个城市的 1,247 名成年人进行了抽样分析,以了解 2017 年顿巴斯战争对平民暴力行为相关决策的影响。研究旨在:(a)评估作为战争暴露与暴力行为之间中介的感知奖赏和成本;(b)检验战争暴露是否会增加感知奖赏的效果并降低感知犯罪成本对暴力行为的影响;(c)评估战争暴露对感知暴力奖赏/成本与决策调节因素之间相互作用的影响。研究结果表明,战争暴露程度越高,感知到的利益的相关性就越低,并会改变其与其他因素在暴力决策中的相互关系。总之,研究结果表明,战争期间的推理会向 "热 "推理转变。
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引用次数: 0
Sensible Pretrial Reform: The Importance of Accounting for Risk of Violence in Judicial Release Decisions 合理的审前改革:在司法释放决定中考虑暴力风险的重要性
Pub Date : 2024-02-15 DOI: 10.1177/00111287241231741
R. Labrecque, Matthew DeMichele, Jason Walker, Ian A. Silver
This study uses data collected from three diverse counties in the United States between 2017 and 2019 to compare the performance of a pretrial risk instrument—the Public Safety Assessment (or PSA)—to a revised version of the tool that accounts for risk of future violence in predicting three pretrial release outcomes. Results indicate the suggested three tiered release levels produced from the current PSA release conditions matrix (RCM) are better at predicting failure to appear in court, while those generated from the violence-informed RCM are better at predicting arrest for a new violent crime. The suggested release levels from both versions of the RCM were similarly able to distinguish between likelihood of a new arrest for any reason.
本研究利用 2017 年至 2019 年期间从美国三个不同县收集的数据,比较了审前风险工具--公共安全评估(或 PSA)--与该工具的修订版(考虑到未来暴力风险)在预测三种审前释放结果方面的表现。结果表明,根据目前的《公共安全评估》释放条件矩阵(RCM)建议的三个分级释放级别能更好地预测未出庭情况,而根据考虑暴力因素的释放条件矩阵(RCM)建议的三个分级释放级别能更好地预测因新的暴力犯罪而被捕的情况。两种版本的释放条件矩阵所建议的释放级别同样能够区分因任何原因再次被捕的可能性。
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引用次数: 0
Sensible Pretrial Reform: The Importance of Accounting for Risk of Violence in Judicial Release Decisions 合理的审前改革:在司法释放决定中考虑暴力风险的重要性
Pub Date : 2024-02-15 DOI: 10.1177/00111287241231741
R. Labrecque, Matthew DeMichele, Jason Walker, Ian A. Silver
This study uses data collected from three diverse counties in the United States between 2017 and 2019 to compare the performance of a pretrial risk instrument—the Public Safety Assessment (or PSA)—to a revised version of the tool that accounts for risk of future violence in predicting three pretrial release outcomes. Results indicate the suggested three tiered release levels produced from the current PSA release conditions matrix (RCM) are better at predicting failure to appear in court, while those generated from the violence-informed RCM are better at predicting arrest for a new violent crime. The suggested release levels from both versions of the RCM were similarly able to distinguish between likelihood of a new arrest for any reason.
本研究利用 2017 年至 2019 年期间从美国三个不同县收集的数据,比较了审前风险工具--公共安全评估(或 PSA)--与该工具的修订版(考虑到未来暴力风险)在预测三种审前释放结果方面的表现。结果表明,根据目前的《公共安全评估》释放条件矩阵(RCM)建议的三个分级释放级别能更好地预测未出庭情况,而根据考虑暴力因素的释放条件矩阵(RCM)建议的三个分级释放级别能更好地预测因新的暴力犯罪而被捕的情况。两种版本的释放条件矩阵所建议的释放级别同样能够区分因任何原因再次被捕的可能性。
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引用次数: 0
Community-Level Relationships Between Homelessness and Crime in Finland 芬兰无家可归与犯罪之间的社区层面关系
Pub Date : 2024-02-15 DOI: 10.1177/00111287241231746
Fred E. Markowitz
Evidence from several countries indicates that homeless persons, particularly those with a mental illness, are at increased risk of offending and victimization. However, there has been little community-level analysis of the relationship between homelessness and crime rates. In this study, we discuss the criminogenic consequences of homelessness and then use panel data from 261 municipalities over a 21-year period (2000–2020) in Finland to examine how homelessness is related to different types of criminal offenses. Results from random and fixed-effects equations indicate that, net of common covariates, rates of homelessness are associated with increased rates of violent crime, property crime, and public intoxication offenses. The findings suggest that, in addition to mental health treatment, efforts to reduce homelessness enhance community safety.
一些国家的证据表明,无家可归者,尤其是患有精神疾病的无家可归者,犯罪和受害的风险增加。然而,关于无家可归与犯罪率之间关系的社区层面分析却很少。在本研究中,我们讨论了无家可归的犯罪后果,然后利用芬兰 261 个城市 21 年间(2000-2020 年)的面板数据,研究了无家可归与不同类型的刑事犯罪之间的关系。随机和固定效应方程的结果表明,除去共同的协变量,无家可归者的比率与暴力犯罪、财产犯罪和公共醉酒犯罪率的增加有关。研究结果表明,除了心理健康治疗外,减少无家可归现象的努力也能增强社区安全。
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引用次数: 0
Community-Level Relationships Between Homelessness and Crime in Finland 芬兰无家可归与犯罪之间的社区层面关系
Pub Date : 2024-02-15 DOI: 10.1177/00111287241231746
Fred E. Markowitz
Evidence from several countries indicates that homeless persons, particularly those with a mental illness, are at increased risk of offending and victimization. However, there has been little community-level analysis of the relationship between homelessness and crime rates. In this study, we discuss the criminogenic consequences of homelessness and then use panel data from 261 municipalities over a 21-year period (2000–2020) in Finland to examine how homelessness is related to different types of criminal offenses. Results from random and fixed-effects equations indicate that, net of common covariates, rates of homelessness are associated with increased rates of violent crime, property crime, and public intoxication offenses. The findings suggest that, in addition to mental health treatment, efforts to reduce homelessness enhance community safety.
一些国家的证据表明,无家可归者,尤其是患有精神疾病的无家可归者,犯罪和受害的风险增加。然而,关于无家可归与犯罪率之间关系的社区层面分析却很少。在本研究中,我们讨论了无家可归的犯罪后果,然后利用芬兰 261 个城市 21 年间(2000-2020 年)的面板数据,研究了无家可归与不同类型的刑事犯罪之间的关系。随机和固定效应方程的结果表明,除去共同的协变量,无家可归者的比率与暴力犯罪、财产犯罪和公共醉酒犯罪率的增加有关。研究结果表明,除了心理健康治疗外,减少无家可归现象的努力也能增强社区安全。
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引用次数: 0
Against the Clock: Crime Victim Compensation Law and Temporality Across the 50 United States 与时间赛跑:美国 50 个州的犯罪受害人赔偿法与时间性
Pub Date : 2024-02-05 DOI: 10.1177/00111287231226185
J. Montañez, Amy Donley
Violence can result in insurmountable losses for victim-survivors. Restitutive and compensatory measures have been historically and contemporarily implemented to address these harms. Crime victim compensation (CVC) is a means by which the state reimburses victim-survivors of violent harm without relying on offender restitution. Overall, the current study argues that CVC laws and regulations may marginalize victim-survivors by regulating the body through crime-reporting and application time limits, as well as through wait times for compensation receipt. With this argument, the current study aims to use a content analysis and quantitative analysis to examine the intricacies of crime-reporting and application time limits detailed within statutes and administrative regulations across the 50 United States, as well as benefit receipt wait times.
暴力会给受害者-幸存者造成难以承受的损失。为解决这些伤害问题,历史上和当代都实施了恢复性和补偿性措施。犯罪受害人补偿(CVC)是国家对遭受暴力伤害的幸存者进行补偿的一种手段,而不依赖于犯罪者的赔偿。总体而言,本研究认为,犯罪受害人补偿的法律法规可能会通过犯罪报告和申请时间限制,以及等待领取补偿的时间来规范机构,从而使受害人幸存者边缘化。基于这一论点,本研究旨在利用内容分析和定量分析来研究美国 50 个州的法规和行政条例中详细规定的犯罪报告和申请时限的复杂性,以及领取赔偿金的等待时间。
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引用次数: 0
Against the Clock: Crime Victim Compensation Law and Temporality Across the 50 United States 与时间赛跑:美国 50 个州的犯罪受害人赔偿法与时间性
Pub Date : 2024-02-05 DOI: 10.1177/00111287231226185
J. Montañez, Amy Donley
Violence can result in insurmountable losses for victim-survivors. Restitutive and compensatory measures have been historically and contemporarily implemented to address these harms. Crime victim compensation (CVC) is a means by which the state reimburses victim-survivors of violent harm without relying on offender restitution. Overall, the current study argues that CVC laws and regulations may marginalize victim-survivors by regulating the body through crime-reporting and application time limits, as well as through wait times for compensation receipt. With this argument, the current study aims to use a content analysis and quantitative analysis to examine the intricacies of crime-reporting and application time limits detailed within statutes and administrative regulations across the 50 United States, as well as benefit receipt wait times.
暴力会给受害者-幸存者造成难以承受的损失。为解决这些伤害问题,历史上和当代都实施了恢复性和补偿性措施。犯罪受害人补偿(CVC)是国家对遭受暴力伤害的幸存者进行补偿的一种手段,而不依赖于犯罪者的赔偿。总体而言,本研究认为,犯罪受害人补偿的法律法规可能会通过犯罪报告和申请时间限制,以及等待领取补偿的时间来规范机构,从而使受害人幸存者边缘化。基于这一论点,本研究旨在利用内容分析和定量分析来研究美国 50 个州的法规和行政条例中详细规定的犯罪报告和申请时限的复杂性,以及领取赔偿金的等待时间。
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引用次数: 0
Differences in Time to Reported First Arrest by Race, National Origin, and Immigrant Generation: A Test of Assimilation Theories 不同种族、民族和移民世代首次被捕时间的差异:同化理论测试
Pub Date : 2024-02-01 DOI: 10.1177/00111287231225125
Christopher Inkpen
This study examines immigrant assimilation theories by focusing on arrest during adolescence and adult life using the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth 1997, a nationally representative panel study that follows children from adolescence through adulthood. The analysis compares outcomes for the first and second-generation of Mexican origin and other parts of Latin America to third- and fourth-plus generation (1) non-Hispanic white, (2) non-Hispanic black, and (3) Hispanic respondents. This investigation employs survival analyses to account for the timing of arrest and other events (e.g., graduation, childbirth, and employment). Results indicate the first generation, both of Mexican and Other Hispanic origin, are less likely to experience arrest than their higher-generation counterparts, regardless of race/ethnicity of the comparison group.
本研究利用 1997 年全国青年纵向调查(National Longitudinal Survey of Youth 1997)对移民同化理论进行了研究,该调查是一项具有全国代表性的小组研究,对儿童从青春期到成年的整个过程进行跟踪。分析比较了墨西哥裔和拉丁美洲其他地区的第一代和第二代与第三代和第四代(1)非西班牙裔白人、(2)非西班牙裔黑人和(3)西班牙裔受访者的结果。这项调查采用了生存分析法,以考虑被捕时间和其他事件(如毕业、生育和就业)。结果表明,不论比较组的种族/族裔如何,墨西哥裔和其他西班牙裔的第一代人被捕的可能性都低于他们的高一代人。
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引用次数: 0
Differences in Time to Reported First Arrest by Race, National Origin, and Immigrant Generation: A Test of Assimilation Theories 不同种族、民族和移民世代首次被捕时间的差异:同化理论测试
Pub Date : 2024-02-01 DOI: 10.1177/00111287231225125
Christopher Inkpen
This study examines immigrant assimilation theories by focusing on arrest during adolescence and adult life using the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth 1997, a nationally representative panel study that follows children from adolescence through adulthood. The analysis compares outcomes for the first and second-generation of Mexican origin and other parts of Latin America to third- and fourth-plus generation (1) non-Hispanic white, (2) non-Hispanic black, and (3) Hispanic respondents. This investigation employs survival analyses to account for the timing of arrest and other events (e.g., graduation, childbirth, and employment). Results indicate the first generation, both of Mexican and Other Hispanic origin, are less likely to experience arrest than their higher-generation counterparts, regardless of race/ethnicity of the comparison group.
本研究利用 1997 年全国青年纵向调查(National Longitudinal Survey of Youth 1997)对移民同化理论进行了研究,该调查是一项具有全国代表性的小组研究,对儿童从青春期到成年的整个过程进行跟踪。分析比较了墨西哥裔和拉丁美洲其他地区的第一代和第二代与第三代和第四代(1)非西班牙裔白人、(2)非西班牙裔黑人和(3)西班牙裔受访者的结果。这项调查采用了生存分析法,以考虑被捕时间和其他事件(如毕业、生育和就业)。结果表明,不论比较组的种族/族裔如何,墨西哥裔和其他西班牙裔的第一代人被捕的可能性都低于他们的高一代人。
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引用次数: 0
Juvenile Offending Among Maltreated Youth: Assessing Type-Specificity and Offense Specialization in the Cycle of Violence 受虐待青少年的犯罪:评估暴力循环中的类型特异性和犯罪专业性
Pub Date : 2024-01-27 DOI: 10.1177/00111287231225143
Allison Kurpiel, Christian M. Connell, Sarah A. Font
This study assesses how different forms of abuse and neglect are associated with juvenile offending, with specific emphasis on whether youth commit offenses analogous to the illicit parental behaviors to which they were exposed. Using statewide child welfare system data linked with juvenile offending records, we assess rates and types of offending among a cohort of youth exposed to child maltreatment, including physical abuse, sexual abuse, and neglect ( N = 7,787). Findings suggest that the maltreatment-delinquency link is better characterized as a general rather than a specific cycle of violence, though sex abuse victims tend to specialize in sex offending. Youth exposed to physical abuse, moral neglect, and parent incarceration offend at high rates overall and should be prioritized for prevention and treatment services.
本研究评估了不同形式的虐待和忽视与青少年犯罪之间的关系,特别强调了青少年所犯的罪行是否与他们所接触的父母的非法行为类似。通过使用与青少年犯罪记录相关联的全州儿童福利系统数据,我们对遭受虐待(包括身体虐待、性虐待和忽视)的青少年群体的犯罪率和类型进行了评估(N = 7787)。研究结果表明,尽管性虐待受害者往往专门从事性犯罪,但虐待与犯罪之间的联系最好被描述为一种普遍的而非特定的暴力循环。遭受身体虐待、精神忽视和父母入狱的青少年总体犯罪率较高,应优先考虑提供预防和治疗服务。
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引用次数: 0
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Crime & Delinquency
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