极端事件通过连带效应威胁水-能源-碳关系

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摘要

本综述研究了极端天气事件对水-能源-碳(WEC)关系的连带影响,重点关注其综合和连续影响。它综合了有关干旱、洪水、热浪、飓风和野火如何在水、能源和碳等相互关联的领域内引发连锁反应的研究。主要见解包括对干旱影响的分析,例如在加利福尼亚州,水力发电的比例从18%下降到7%,导致天然气发电厂的排放量增加了34%。在欧洲,洪水导致发电厂面临运营挑战,预计到 2030 年,由于水温上升,发电量将损失 0.6-4.6 太瓦时。2023 年的欧洲热浪导致西班牙的能源需求激增 20%,原因是空调使用量增加,受影响国家由于更加依赖化石燃料,碳排放量相应增加 15-20%。审查强调了综合抗灾战略的必要性,利用所提供的定量数据来论证应对这些相互依存挑战的政策。它敦促对世界气候中心联系的动态有一个细致入微的了解,以便为更有效地应对气候变化引起的极端天气事件浪潮提供信息。此外,本综述还扩展了对发展中国家案例的研究,展示了这些国家在世界气候大会 "关系 "中面临的独特挑战和采取的应对措施如何有助于更全面地了解全球应对极端天气的复原力战略。本综述突出了能源生产的变化对水资源和碳动态的连锁反应,强调了在面对极端天气事件时,亟需以细致入微的理解和综合方法来管理世界能源理事会的关系。
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Extreme events threat water-energy-carbon nexus through cascading effects

This review studies the cascading impacts of extreme weather events on the Water-Energy-Carbon (WEC) Nexus, with a focus on their combined and sequential effects. It synthesizes research on how droughts, floods, heatwaves, hurricanes, and wildfires each initiate a chain reaction within the interconnected domains of water, energy, and carbon. Key insights include the analysis of drought impacts, like in California, where hydroelectric power's share dropped from 18% to 7%, leading to a 34%increase in emissions from natural gas plants. In Europe, flooding led to operational challenges for power plants, with a projected loss of 0.6–4.6 TWh in energy generation by 2030 due to water temperature rises. The 2023 European heatwave saw Spain's energy demand spike by 20%, driven by increased use of air conditioning, and a corresponding 15–20% rise in carbon emissions in affected countries due to greater reliance on fossil fuels. The review emphasizes the need for integrated resilience strategies, leveraging the provided quantitative data to argue for policies that address these interdependent challenges. It urges for a nuanced understanding of the WEC Nexus's dynamics to inform more effective responses to the rising tide of climate change-induced extreme weather events. Furthermore, this review expands its examination to include cases from developing countries, showcasing how their unique challenges and responses within the WEC Nexus contribute to a more comprehensive understanding of global resilience strategies against extreme weather. This review brings to the forefront the ripple effects of alterations in energy production on water resources and carbon dynamics, underscoring the critical need for a nuanced understanding and integrated approaches in managing the WEC Nexus in the face of extreme weather events.

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