模拟跨界河流集水区的河水流量:混合降雨数据的影响

IF 3 3区 地球科学 Q2 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Physics and Chemistry of the Earth Pub Date : 2024-08-30 DOI:10.1016/j.pce.2024.103717
Frank Joseph Wambura
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引用次数: 0

摘要

由于缺乏用于跨境集水区水文建模的观测数据,跨境水资源的管理受到了阻碍。本研究利用ERA5-Land 再分析降水数据,研究了不同程度混合观测降水数据对模拟布隆迪-坦桑尼亚边境Ruvubu 河集水区溪流的影响。利用 0%-100% 混合降雨量数据建立和迭代更新了 Ruvubu 河集水区水文模型,并对其进行了参数化、模拟,然后根据集水区出口处的观测流量数据对其进行了评估。研究结果表明,随着降雨数据混合程度的增加,水文模型的性能有所下降。然而,当模型的混合降雨数据混合程度不超过 15%时,模型参数就能很好地补偿输入的不确定性。因此,模拟流量的误差也很小。这意味着,当模型的杂交降雨量数据不超过 15%时,其模拟流量可以代表杂交降雨量数据为 0%时的模拟流量。这些发现表明,在数据稀缺的跨界河流流域,有必要为不同的全球降水数据集制定降水数据混合阈值。
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Simulating streamflow in a transboundary river catchment: The implications of hybrid rainfall data

The lack of observed data for the hydrological modelling of catchments across borders has hindered the management of transboundary water resources. This study investigated the implications of different degrees of hybridization of observed rainfall data using ERA5-Land reanalysis precipitation data in simulating streamflow in the Ruvubu River catchment across the Burundi-Tanzania border. The hydrological model of the Ruvubu River catchment was set up and iteratively updated using 0%–100% hybrid rainfall data, parameterized, simulated, and then evaluated against observed streamflow data at the catchment outlet. The findings show that the performance of the hydrological model decreased as the degree of rainfall data hybridization increased. However, model parameters satisfactorily compensated for input uncertainty when the model had hybrid rainfall data not exceeding 15% hybridization. Subsequently, errors in the simulated flow were also minimal. This implies that the simulated flow from the model when it has hybrid rainfall data not exceeding 15% hybridization can represent the simulated flow when it has 0% hybrid rainfall data. These findings show the need to develop thresholds of rainfall data hybridization for different global precipitation datasets in data-scarce transboundary river catchments.

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来源期刊
Physics and Chemistry of the Earth
Physics and Chemistry of the Earth 地学-地球科学综合
CiteScore
5.40
自引率
2.70%
发文量
176
审稿时长
31.6 weeks
期刊介绍: Physics and Chemistry of the Earth is an international interdisciplinary journal for the rapid publication of collections of refereed communications in separate thematic issues, either stemming from scientific meetings, or, especially compiled for the occasion. There is no restriction on the length of articles published in the journal. Physics and Chemistry of the Earth incorporates the separate Parts A, B and C which existed until the end of 2001. Please note: the Editors are unable to consider submissions that are not invited or linked to a thematic issue. Please do not submit unsolicited papers. The journal covers the following subject areas: -Solid Earth and Geodesy: (geology, geochemistry, tectonophysics, seismology, volcanology, palaeomagnetism and rock magnetism, electromagnetism and potential fields, marine and environmental geosciences as well as geodesy). -Hydrology, Oceans and Atmosphere: (hydrology and water resources research, engineering and management, oceanography and oceanic chemistry, shelf, sea, lake and river sciences, meteorology and atmospheric sciences incl. chemistry as well as climatology and glaciology). -Solar-Terrestrial and Planetary Science: (solar, heliospheric and solar-planetary sciences, geology, geophysics and atmospheric sciences of planets, satellites and small bodies as well as cosmochemistry and exobiology).
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