基于 InfoWorks ICM 模型的城市洪水模拟与洪水风险评估:中国郑州城市内河案例研究。

IF 2.5 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENGINEERING, ENVIRONMENTAL Water Science and Technology Pub Date : 2024-08-01 Epub Date: 2024-08-14 DOI:10.2166/wst.2024.280
Huaibin Wei, Heng Wu, Liyuan Zhang, Jing Liu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

随着城市化进程的加快,城市内涝问题日益严重。本研究以熊耳河为研究区域,利用 InfoWorks ICM(综合流域模型)建立了一维/二维城市洪水模型。分别设置了 10a、20a、50a 和 100a 等 10 种降雨重现期,以及 1 小时和 24 小时的降雨持续时间。危害因子和脆弱性因子各选择了三个指标。采用 AHP 方法计算了各指标因素的相对权重值。结果表明:(1) 洪水深度、速度和持续时间随着降雨重现期的延长而增加,但随着降雨持续时间的延长而减少;(2) 随着降雨重现期的延长,节点溢流比例上升,而随着降雨持续时间的延长,节点溢流比例下降,导致管网整体处于超负荷状态;(3) 研究区域内主要分布在低风险地区,极少数分布在极高风险地区。中高风险区域主要分布在河流两岸,建筑密集、地势低洼的城区。这项研究表明,该模型能够准确模拟城市洪水,并为类似地区的洪水分析提供启示。
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Urban flooding simulation and flood risk assessment based on the InfoWorks ICM model: A case study of the urban inland rivers in Zhengzhou, China.

Urban flooding intensifies with escalating urbanization. This study focuses on Xiong'er river as the study area and couples a 1D/2D urban flooding model using InfoWorks ICM (Integrated Catchment Modeling). Ten scenarios are set respectively with a rainfall return period of 5a 10a, 20a, 50a, and 100a, alongside rainfall durations of 1 and 24 h. Subsequently, the H-V (hazard-vulnerability) method was applied to evaluate urban flooding risk. Three indicators were selected for each of hazard factors and vulnerability factors. The relative weight values of each indicator factor were calculated using the AHP method. The result shows that (1) flood depth, rate, and duration escalate with longer rainfall return periods, yet decrease as the duration of rainfall increases; (2) as the rainfall return period lengthens, the proportion of node overflow rises, whereas it diminishes with longer rainfall durations, leading to an overall overloaded state in the pipeline network; and (3) the distribution in the research area is mainly low-risk areas, with very few extremely high-risk. Medium to high-risk areas are mainly distributed on both sides of the river, in densely built and low-lying urban areas. This study demonstrates that the model can accurately simulate urban flooding and provide insights for flood analyses in comparable regions.

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来源期刊
Water Science and Technology
Water Science and Technology 环境科学-工程:环境
CiteScore
4.90
自引率
3.70%
发文量
366
审稿时长
4.4 months
期刊介绍: Water Science and Technology publishes peer-reviewed papers on all aspects of the science and technology of water and wastewater. Papers are selected by a rigorous peer review procedure with the aim of rapid and wide dissemination of research results, development and application of new techniques, and related managerial and policy issues. Scientists, engineers, consultants, managers and policy-makers will find this journal essential as a permanent record of progress of research activities and their practical applications.
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