{"title":"考虑监测系统可靠性的风力涡轮机叶片资产管理建模框架","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.ress.2024.110478","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>By incorporating information about asset condition from a monitoring system, engineers can utilize asset management models to manage maintenance activities on wind turbine blades throughout their lifespan. This can lower operating and maintenance costs and increase the life of the blades. The asset management model relies on the monitoring system as a source of information, however, commonly the reliability of the monitoring system is not considered. This paper presents a wind turbine blade asset management Petri net (PN) model that covers the blade asset management process, including degradation, inspection, condition monitoring (CM), and maintenance processes. The paper proposes two contributions. Firstly, while taking into account detailed industry guidelines, the developed model can forecast the future blade condition for a given asset management strategy. Secondly, it investigates the impact of the reliability of the monitoring system on the asset management modelling results. With the aid of the developed model, the number of repair actions and probability distributions of blade condition discovery time are obtained. In addition, the PN gives an indication of how misreporting (underestimation and overestimation) occurs and the extent of the misreporting. The simulation results illustrate the degree of uncertainty introduced into the monitoring results by the reliability of the monitoring system and, consequently, the extent to which this factor influences the maintenance strategies. The proposed model can be used to support asset management decisions when monitoring system performance degrades.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":54500,"journal":{"name":"Reliability Engineering & System Safety","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":9.4000,"publicationDate":"2024-08-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"An asset management modelling framework for wind turbine blades considering monitoring system reliability\",\"authors\":\"\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.ress.2024.110478\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><p>By incorporating information about asset condition from a monitoring system, engineers can utilize asset management models to manage maintenance activities on wind turbine blades throughout their lifespan. This can lower operating and maintenance costs and increase the life of the blades. The asset management model relies on the monitoring system as a source of information, however, commonly the reliability of the monitoring system is not considered. This paper presents a wind turbine blade asset management Petri net (PN) model that covers the blade asset management process, including degradation, inspection, condition monitoring (CM), and maintenance processes. The paper proposes two contributions. Firstly, while taking into account detailed industry guidelines, the developed model can forecast the future blade condition for a given asset management strategy. Secondly, it investigates the impact of the reliability of the monitoring system on the asset management modelling results. With the aid of the developed model, the number of repair actions and probability distributions of blade condition discovery time are obtained. In addition, the PN gives an indication of how misreporting (underestimation and overestimation) occurs and the extent of the misreporting. The simulation results illustrate the degree of uncertainty introduced into the monitoring results by the reliability of the monitoring system and, consequently, the extent to which this factor influences the maintenance strategies. The proposed model can be used to support asset management decisions when monitoring system performance degrades.</p></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":54500,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Reliability Engineering & System Safety\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":9.4000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-08-31\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Reliability Engineering & System Safety\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"5\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0951832024005507\",\"RegionNum\":1,\"RegionCategory\":\"工程技术\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"ENGINEERING, INDUSTRIAL\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Reliability Engineering & System Safety","FirstCategoryId":"5","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0951832024005507","RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"ENGINEERING, INDUSTRIAL","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
摘要
通过从监控系统中获取有关资产状况的信息,工程师可以利用资产管理模型来管理风力涡轮机叶片在整个生命周期内的维护活动。这可以降低运行和维护成本,延长叶片的使用寿命。资产管理模型依赖于监测系统作为信息源,但通常不考虑监测系统的可靠性。本文提出了一种风力涡轮机叶片资产管理 Petri 网 (PN) 模型,该模型涵盖了叶片资产管理流程,包括退化、检查、状态监测 (CM) 和维护流程。本文提出了两个贡献。首先,考虑到详细的行业准则,所开发的模型可以预测给定资产管理策略下的未来叶片状况。其次,本文研究了监测系统的可靠性对资产管理建模结果的影响。借助所开发的模型,可以获得维修行动的次数和叶片状况发现时间的概率分布。此外,PN 还显示了误报(低估和高估)是如何发生的,以及误报的程度。模拟结果表明了监测系统可靠性对监测结果的不确定程度,以及该因素对维护策略的影响程度。当监测系统性能下降时,所提出的模型可用于支持资产管理决策。
An asset management modelling framework for wind turbine blades considering monitoring system reliability
By incorporating information about asset condition from a monitoring system, engineers can utilize asset management models to manage maintenance activities on wind turbine blades throughout their lifespan. This can lower operating and maintenance costs and increase the life of the blades. The asset management model relies on the monitoring system as a source of information, however, commonly the reliability of the monitoring system is not considered. This paper presents a wind turbine blade asset management Petri net (PN) model that covers the blade asset management process, including degradation, inspection, condition monitoring (CM), and maintenance processes. The paper proposes two contributions. Firstly, while taking into account detailed industry guidelines, the developed model can forecast the future blade condition for a given asset management strategy. Secondly, it investigates the impact of the reliability of the monitoring system on the asset management modelling results. With the aid of the developed model, the number of repair actions and probability distributions of blade condition discovery time are obtained. In addition, the PN gives an indication of how misreporting (underestimation and overestimation) occurs and the extent of the misreporting. The simulation results illustrate the degree of uncertainty introduced into the monitoring results by the reliability of the monitoring system and, consequently, the extent to which this factor influences the maintenance strategies. The proposed model can be used to support asset management decisions when monitoring system performance degrades.
期刊介绍:
Elsevier publishes Reliability Engineering & System Safety in association with the European Safety and Reliability Association and the Safety Engineering and Risk Analysis Division. The international journal is devoted to developing and applying methods to enhance the safety and reliability of complex technological systems, like nuclear power plants, chemical plants, hazardous waste facilities, space systems, offshore and maritime systems, transportation systems, constructed infrastructure, and manufacturing plants. The journal normally publishes only articles that involve the analysis of substantive problems related to the reliability of complex systems or present techniques and/or theoretical results that have a discernable relationship to the solution of such problems. An important aim is to balance academic material and practical applications.