在不断变化的汛期环境中动态控制水库水位的多目标运行优化方法

IF 5.9 1区 地球科学 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Journal of Hydrology Pub Date : 2024-09-04 DOI:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.131940
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引用次数: 0

摘要

当前的多目标优化方法传统上根植于静态模型,往往忽视不确定性和环境相互作用,如预报精度和水库条件。本研究介绍了一种新型多目标运行优化模型,旨在不断变化的汛期环境中动态控制水库水位。所提出的模型通过整合径流预报获取、动态风险评估和适应性决策响应等策略,对汛期水位控制动态进行了全面的分析、量化和预测。为提高模型的有效性,本研究提出了动态多目标多策略协同进化(DMMC)算法。该算法融合了多种策略,包括基于记忆的个体最优适应、不同个体的动态更新、基于预测数据的协同更新以及静态优化技术。这些策略能够对环境波动进行实时监测、识别和有效响应,从而优化水资源的可持续利用。数值实验和工程案例研究验证了所提方法的有效性,证明其有能力准确捕捉环境趋势并及时应对不断变化的条件。模拟证实了模型的合理性和可靠性,为有效管理汛期动态水位控制提供了一种新方法。
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A multi-objective operation optimization method for dynamic control of reservoir water level in evolving flood season environments

Current multi-objective optimization methods, traditionally rooted in static models, often neglect uncertainties and environmental interactions such as forecast accuracy and reservoir conditions. This study introduces a novel multi-objective operational optimization model aimed at dynamically controlling reservoir water levels in evolving flood season environments. The proposed model conducts a comprehensive analysis, quantification, and prediction of water level control dynamics during flood seasons by integrating strategies that encompass runoff forecast acquisition, dynamic risk assessment, and adaptive decision-making responses. To enhance the model’s effectiveness, this research proposes the Dynamic Multi-Objective Multi-Strategy Co-evolution (DMMC) algorithm. This algorithm incorporates several strategies, including memory-based individual optimal adaptation, dynamic updating of diverse individuals, collaborative updating based on forecast data, and static optimization techniques. These strategies enable real-time monitoring, identification, and efficient response to environmental fluctuations, thereby optimizing the sustainable utilization of water resources. Numerical experiments and engineering case studies validate the efficacy of the proposed method, demonstrating its capability to accurately capture environmental trends and promptly respond to evolving conditions. The simulations confirm the rationality and reliability of the model, presenting a novel approach for effectively managing dynamic water level control during flood seasons.

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来源期刊
Journal of Hydrology
Journal of Hydrology 地学-地球科学综合
CiteScore
11.00
自引率
12.50%
发文量
1309
审稿时长
7.5 months
期刊介绍: The Journal of Hydrology publishes original research papers and comprehensive reviews in all the subfields of the hydrological sciences including water based management and policy issues that impact on economics and society. These comprise, but are not limited to the physical, chemical, biogeochemical, stochastic and systems aspects of surface and groundwater hydrology, hydrometeorology and hydrogeology. Relevant topics incorporating the insights and methodologies of disciplines such as climatology, water resource systems, hydraulics, agrohydrology, geomorphology, soil science, instrumentation and remote sensing, civil and environmental engineering are included. Social science perspectives on hydrological problems such as resource and ecological economics, environmental sociology, psychology and behavioural science, management and policy analysis are also invited. Multi-and interdisciplinary analyses of hydrological problems are within scope. The science published in the Journal of Hydrology is relevant to catchment scales rather than exclusively to a local scale or site.
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