对神(而非人类)控制地球的信念影响对气候变化威胁的感知

John V. Kane, Samuel L. Perry
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摘要

宗教特征可预测美国人对气候相关科学和政策的怀疑态度。尽管可归因于各种相互关联的因素,但我们认为特定的宗教信仰有助于部分解释这种动态。具体来说,我们推断,相信神(而非人类)控制地球气候可能会使人们对人类行为正将地球引向环境危机的科学说法持怀疑态度。利用全国调查数据(N = 5321)进行的回归分析表明,相信 "上帝不会允许人类破坏地球 "与较低的气候变化关注度相关。接下来,一项预先登记的调查实验(N = 3345)发现,操纵 "上帝--相对于人类--控制地球气候 "的信念会降低人们对气候变化严重性的感知以及对政策干预的需求。我们的操纵还减少了对美国国家海洋和大气协会提供的气候相关信息的需求。这些结果在美国公众的宗教信仰和气候变化态度之间建立了重要的因果联系。
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Belief in divine (versus human) control of earth affects perceived threat of climate change
Religious characteristics are predictive of Americans’ skepticism toward climate-related science and policy. Though attributable to a variety of interrelated factors, we propose specific religious beliefs help explain the dynamic in part. Specifically, we theorize that belief in divine (versus human) control over Earth’s climate likely engenders skepticism toward scientific claims that human behavior is leading Earth toward environmental crisis. Regression analyses with national survey data (N = 5321) demonstrate that believing “God would not allow humans to destroy the Earth” is associated with lower concern about climate change. Next, a pre-registered survey experiment (N = 3345) finds that manipulating belief in God’s—vis-à-vis humans’—control of Earth’s climate reduced the perceived severity of climate change and need for policy intervention. Our manipulation also reduced demand for climate-related information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Association. These results establish an important causal link between a religious belief and climate change attitudes in the U.S. public.
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