基于美国大陆不同生态区域野火双变量概率框架的水文气象与野火关系分析

IF 5.6 1区 农林科学 Q1 AGRONOMY Agricultural and Forest Meteorology Pub Date : 2024-09-20 DOI:10.1016/j.agrformet.2024.110215
Ke Shi , Yoshiya Touge , So Kazama
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引用次数: 0

摘要

野火是美国生态系统的自然组成部分。采用综合方法对野火进行分类至关重要,这种方法同时考虑了野火活动(野火数量)和烧毁面积。在此基础上,可以进一步分析水文气象变量对野火的影响。因此,本研究首先使用野火双变量概率框架对野火类型进行了分类。然后,通过考虑六个水文气象变量,量化了美国 17 个生态区不同野火类型的主要水文气象变量。此外,根据水文气象与野火关系的分析结果,我们还得到了同时考虑野火特征和水文气象对野火影响的新聚类。具体结果如下(1)通过野火二元统计特征概率,本文可将野火分为五种类型:WT-1(特大野火)、WT-2(联合野火-1)、WT-3(联合极端野火)、WT-4(联合野火-2)和 WT-5(超常野火);(2)讨论了美国 17 个生态区不同野火类型下的主导水文气象变量;(3)在四个新的群集区域中,群集 1 和群集 4 关注干旱的加剧,而群集 3 则有多重关注,即更强的风、更高的温度和更多的干旱。
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Hydrometeorology-wildfire relationship analysis based on a wildfire bivariate probabilistic framework in different ecoregions of the continental United States

Wildfires are a natural part of the ecosystem in the U.S.. It is vital to classify wildfires using a comprehensive approach that simultaneously considers wildfire activity (the number of wildfires) and burned area. On this basis, the influence of hydrometeorological variables on wildfires can be further analyzed. Therefore, this study first classified wildfire types using a wildfire bivariate probability framework. Then, by considering six hydrometeorological variables, the dominant hydrometeorological variables for different wildfire types in 17 ecoregions of the United States were quantified. In addition, based on the results of this hydrometeorology-wildfire relationship analysis, we obtained new clusters that simultaneously considered wildfire characteristics and the impact of hydrometeorology on wildfires. In particular, the results were as follows: (1) Through the probability of wildfire bivariate statistical characteristics, wildfires could be classified into five types in this paper: WT-1 (mega-wildfire), WT-2 (joint wildfire-1), WT-3 (joint extremes), WT-4 (joint wildfire-2), and WT-5 (super frequent wildfires); (2) The dominant hydrometeorological variables under different wildfire types were discussed in 17 ecoregions of the United States; and (3) In the four new cluster regions, intensifying droughts are a concern in clusters 1 and 4, while there are multiple concerns in cluster 3, namely, stronger winds, higher temperatures, and more drought.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
10.30
自引率
9.70%
发文量
415
审稿时长
69 days
期刊介绍: Agricultural and Forest Meteorology is an international journal for the publication of original articles and reviews on the inter-relationship between meteorology, agriculture, forestry, and natural ecosystems. Emphasis is on basic and applied scientific research relevant to practical problems in the field of plant and soil sciences, ecology and biogeochemistry as affected by weather as well as climate variability and change. Theoretical models should be tested against experimental data. Articles must appeal to an international audience. Special issues devoted to single topics are also published. Typical topics include canopy micrometeorology (e.g. canopy radiation transfer, turbulence near the ground, evapotranspiration, energy balance, fluxes of trace gases), micrometeorological instrumentation (e.g., sensors for trace gases, flux measurement instruments, radiation measurement techniques), aerobiology (e.g. the dispersion of pollen, spores, insects and pesticides), biometeorology (e.g. the effect of weather and climate on plant distribution, crop yield, water-use efficiency, and plant phenology), forest-fire/weather interactions, and feedbacks from vegetation to weather and the climate system.
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