Prediction of preoperative lymph-vascular space invasion and survival outcomes of cervical squamous cell carcinoma by utilizing 18 F-FDG PET/CT imaging at early stage.

Objective: To establish nomograms for predicting preoperative lymph-vascular space invasion (LVSI) and survival outcomes of cervical squamous cell carcinoma (CSCC) based on PET/CT radiomics.

Methods: One hundred and twenty-three patients with CSCC and LVSI status were enrolled retrospectively. Independent predictors of LVSI were identified through clinicopathological factors and PET/CT metabolic parameters. We extracted 1316 features from PET and CT volume of interest, respectively. Additionally, four models (PET-RS: radiomic signature of PET only; CT-RS: radiomic signature of CT only; PET/CT-RS + clinical data; PET/CT-RS: radiomic signature of PET and CT) were established to predict LVSI status. Calculation of radiomics scores of PET/CT was executed for assessment of the survival outcomes, followed by development of nomograms with radiomics (NR) or without radiomics (NWR).

Results: One hundred and twenty-three patients with pathologically confirmed CSCC had been categorized into two sets (training and testing sets). It was found that only maximum standardized uptake value (SUV max ) and squamous cell carcinoma antigen were independent predictors of LVSI. Meanwhile, the PET/CT-RS + clinical data outperformed the other three models in the training set [area under the curve (AUC): 0.91 vs. 0.861 vs. 0.81 vs. 0.814] and the testing set (AUC: 0.885 vs. 0.857 vs. 0.783 vs. 0.798). Additionally, SUV max and LVSI had been demonstrated to be independent prognostic indicators for progression-free survival and overall survival. Decision curve analysis and calibration curve indicated that NRs were superior to NWRs. The survival outcomes were assessed.

Conclusion: PET/CT-based radiomic signature nomogram enables a new method for preoperative prediction of LVSI and survival prognosis for patients with CSCC.