Hugues Goosse, Quentin Dalaiden, F. Feba, Bianca Mezzina, Ryan L. Fogt
{"title":"20 世纪 70 年代末南极海冰面积减少","authors":"Hugues Goosse, Quentin Dalaiden, F. Feba, Bianca Mezzina, Ryan L. Fogt","doi":"10.1038/s43247-024-01793-x","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"After a period of relative stability, the Antarctic sea ice extent has abruptly decreased in 2016 and has remained low since then. Both atmospheric and oceanic processes likely contributed to this drop but many questions remain regarding the underlying dynamics and it is unknown if this drop is unprecedented. Here we produce a new multi-variate spatial reconstruction covering 1958–2023 and show that a similar drop in sea ice extent occurred at the end of the 1970s, albeit with a smaller magnitude. Both drops show similar spatial patterns, with a higher sea ice loss in the East Antarctic sector than in the West Antarctic sector where the variability is strongly modulated by wind-driven changes. The ocean integrates the atmospheric forcing and provides memory that amplifies the magnitude of both drops. Antarctic sea ice extent decreased abruptly in 2016 and has remained low since then, with similar drops in the 1970s but smaller magnitude, in which the higher sea ice loss occurred in the East Antarctic sector due to ocean atmospheric forcing, according to results from a multi-variate spatial reconstruction from 1958 to 2023.","PeriodicalId":10530,"journal":{"name":"Communications Earth & Environment","volume":" ","pages":"1-11"},"PeriodicalIF":8.1000,"publicationDate":"2024-10-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.nature.com/articles/s43247-024-01793-x.pdf","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"A drop in Antarctic sea ice extent at the end of the 1970s\",\"authors\":\"Hugues Goosse, Quentin Dalaiden, F. Feba, Bianca Mezzina, Ryan L. Fogt\",\"doi\":\"10.1038/s43247-024-01793-x\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"After a period of relative stability, the Antarctic sea ice extent has abruptly decreased in 2016 and has remained low since then. Both atmospheric and oceanic processes likely contributed to this drop but many questions remain regarding the underlying dynamics and it is unknown if this drop is unprecedented. Here we produce a new multi-variate spatial reconstruction covering 1958–2023 and show that a similar drop in sea ice extent occurred at the end of the 1970s, albeit with a smaller magnitude. Both drops show similar spatial patterns, with a higher sea ice loss in the East Antarctic sector than in the West Antarctic sector where the variability is strongly modulated by wind-driven changes. The ocean integrates the atmospheric forcing and provides memory that amplifies the magnitude of both drops. Antarctic sea ice extent decreased abruptly in 2016 and has remained low since then, with similar drops in the 1970s but smaller magnitude, in which the higher sea ice loss occurred in the East Antarctic sector due to ocean atmospheric forcing, according to results from a multi-variate spatial reconstruction from 1958 to 2023.\",\"PeriodicalId\":10530,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Communications Earth & Environment\",\"volume\":\" \",\"pages\":\"1-11\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":8.1000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-10-25\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"https://www.nature.com/articles/s43247-024-01793-x.pdf\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Communications Earth & Environment\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"93\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.nature.com/articles/s43247-024-01793-x\",\"RegionNum\":1,\"RegionCategory\":\"地球科学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Communications Earth & Environment","FirstCategoryId":"93","ListUrlMain":"https://www.nature.com/articles/s43247-024-01793-x","RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES","Score":null,"Total":0}
A drop in Antarctic sea ice extent at the end of the 1970s
After a period of relative stability, the Antarctic sea ice extent has abruptly decreased in 2016 and has remained low since then. Both atmospheric and oceanic processes likely contributed to this drop but many questions remain regarding the underlying dynamics and it is unknown if this drop is unprecedented. Here we produce a new multi-variate spatial reconstruction covering 1958–2023 and show that a similar drop in sea ice extent occurred at the end of the 1970s, albeit with a smaller magnitude. Both drops show similar spatial patterns, with a higher sea ice loss in the East Antarctic sector than in the West Antarctic sector where the variability is strongly modulated by wind-driven changes. The ocean integrates the atmospheric forcing and provides memory that amplifies the magnitude of both drops. Antarctic sea ice extent decreased abruptly in 2016 and has remained low since then, with similar drops in the 1970s but smaller magnitude, in which the higher sea ice loss occurred in the East Antarctic sector due to ocean atmospheric forcing, according to results from a multi-variate spatial reconstruction from 1958 to 2023.
期刊介绍:
Communications Earth & Environment is an open access journal from Nature Portfolio publishing high-quality research, reviews and commentary in all areas of the Earth, environmental and planetary sciences. Research papers published by the journal represent significant advances that bring new insight to a specialized area in Earth science, planetary science or environmental science.
Communications Earth & Environment has a 2-year impact factor of 7.9 (2022 Journal Citation Reports®). Articles published in the journal in 2022 were downloaded 1,412,858 times. Median time from submission to the first editorial decision is 8 days.