20 世纪 70 年代末南极海冰面积减少

IF 8.1 1区 地球科学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Communications Earth & Environment Pub Date : 2024-10-25 DOI:10.1038/s43247-024-01793-x
Hugues Goosse, Quentin Dalaiden, F. Feba, Bianca Mezzina, Ryan L. Fogt
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在经历了一段相对稳定的时期后,南极海冰面积在 2016 年突然减少,此后一直保持在较低水平。大气和海洋过程可能都是导致这一下降的原因,但关于其背后的动力学仍存在许多问题,而且这一下降是否是史无前例的也不得而知。在此,我们制作了一个涵盖 1958-2023 年的新的多变量空间重建,并表明海冰面积在 20 世纪 70 年代末也出现了类似的下降,尽管幅度较小。这两次下降显示出相似的空间模式,南极东区的海冰损失高于南极西区,而南极西区的变化受风驱动变化的强烈调节。海洋整合了大气强迫并提供了记忆,从而放大了这两种下降的幅度。根据1958年至2023年多变量空间重建的结果,南极海冰范围在2016年突然减少,此后一直维持在低水平,20世纪70年代也曾出现过类似的下降,但幅度较小,其中南极东区的海冰损失较高是由于海洋大气强迫造成的。
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A drop in Antarctic sea ice extent at the end of the 1970s
After a period of relative stability, the Antarctic sea ice extent has abruptly decreased in 2016 and has remained low since then. Both atmospheric and oceanic processes likely contributed to this drop but many questions remain regarding the underlying dynamics and it is unknown if this drop is unprecedented. Here we produce a new multi-variate spatial reconstruction covering 1958–2023 and show that a similar drop in sea ice extent occurred at the end of the 1970s, albeit with a smaller magnitude. Both drops show similar spatial patterns, with a higher sea ice loss in the East Antarctic sector than in the West Antarctic sector where the variability is strongly modulated by wind-driven changes. The ocean integrates the atmospheric forcing and provides memory that amplifies the magnitude of both drops. Antarctic sea ice extent decreased abruptly in 2016 and has remained low since then, with similar drops in the 1970s but smaller magnitude, in which the higher sea ice loss occurred in the East Antarctic sector due to ocean atmospheric forcing, according to results from a multi-variate spatial reconstruction from 1958 to 2023.
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来源期刊
Communications Earth & Environment
Communications Earth & Environment Earth and Planetary Sciences-General Earth and Planetary Sciences
CiteScore
8.60
自引率
2.50%
发文量
269
审稿时长
26 weeks
期刊介绍: Communications Earth & Environment is an open access journal from Nature Portfolio publishing high-quality research, reviews and commentary in all areas of the Earth, environmental and planetary sciences. Research papers published by the journal represent significant advances that bring new insight to a specialized area in Earth science, planetary science or environmental science. Communications Earth & Environment has a 2-year impact factor of 7.9 (2022 Journal Citation Reports®). Articles published in the journal in 2022 were downloaded 1,412,858 times. Median time from submission to the first editorial decision is 8 days.
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