{"title":"推进可持续交通:利用机器学习技术和预测性应用开发对电动汽车充电周期进行动态预测建模","authors":"Biplov Paneru , Durga Prasad Mainali , Bishwash Paneru , Sanjog Chhetri Sapkota","doi":"10.1016/j.sasc.2024.200157","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The main goal in this research is to train various machine learning models to predict charging cycles in EV Electric Vehicles) battery systems. The considered models are gradient boosting, random forests, decision trees, and linear regression. Each of these was assessed based on its R-squared score, which is an important statistical measure in indicating the variance proportion yielded by the model. In contrast, the Random Forest model significantly improved, with an R-squared value of 0.83, thereby doing an excellent job in capturing nuances of the data. Only surpassed by the Gradient Boosting model at an astonishing R-squared score of 0.87, it is this excellent score that underlines its capability to predict the outcome quite accurately by modeling complex interrelations. In other words, gradient boosting outran the rest and provided the most robust results concerning drivers of students' performance. It also underlines how important choosing a good model is in educational analytics in order to increase the accuracy of the predictions. The use of these models in the proposed EV Battery Charging Cycle Predictor App results in accurate predictions to aid schedule maintenance and energy-related decisions. This research brings light to the future of advanced machine learning methods in enhancing the battery efficiencies of EVs and the development of electric mobility technologies. It is possible that the future work will imply the additional inclusion of real data and the integration of the application to general energy systems.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":101205,"journal":{"name":"Systems and Soft Computing","volume":"6 ","pages":"Article 200157"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2024-10-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Advancing sustainable mobility: Dynamic predictive modeling of charging cycles in electric vehicles using machine learning techniques and predictive application development\",\"authors\":\"Biplov Paneru , Durga Prasad Mainali , Bishwash Paneru , Sanjog Chhetri Sapkota\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.sasc.2024.200157\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><div>The main goal in this research is to train various machine learning models to predict charging cycles in EV Electric Vehicles) battery systems. The considered models are gradient boosting, random forests, decision trees, and linear regression. Each of these was assessed based on its R-squared score, which is an important statistical measure in indicating the variance proportion yielded by the model. In contrast, the Random Forest model significantly improved, with an R-squared value of 0.83, thereby doing an excellent job in capturing nuances of the data. Only surpassed by the Gradient Boosting model at an astonishing R-squared score of 0.87, it is this excellent score that underlines its capability to predict the outcome quite accurately by modeling complex interrelations. In other words, gradient boosting outran the rest and provided the most robust results concerning drivers of students' performance. It also underlines how important choosing a good model is in educational analytics in order to increase the accuracy of the predictions. The use of these models in the proposed EV Battery Charging Cycle Predictor App results in accurate predictions to aid schedule maintenance and energy-related decisions. This research brings light to the future of advanced machine learning methods in enhancing the battery efficiencies of EVs and the development of electric mobility technologies. It is possible that the future work will imply the additional inclusion of real data and the integration of the application to general energy systems.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":101205,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Systems and Soft Computing\",\"volume\":\"6 \",\"pages\":\"Article 200157\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-10-13\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Systems and Soft Computing\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2772941924000863\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Systems and Soft Computing","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2772941924000863","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
摘要
本研究的主要目标是训练各种机器学习模型,以预测电动汽车(EV Electric Vehicles)电池系统的充电周期。所考虑的模型包括梯度提升、随机森林、决策树和线性回归。每种模型都根据其 R 平方得分进行评估,R 平方得分是显示模型产生的方差比例的重要统计指标。相比之下,随机森林模型的 R 平方值达到了 0.83,在捕捉数据的细微差别方面表现出色。梯度提升模型的 R 方值达到了惊人的 0.87,仅次于随机森林模型,而这一优异成绩正是其通过模拟复杂的相互关系来准确预测结果的能力的体现。换句话说,梯度提升法超越了其他方法,在学生成绩的驱动因素方面提供了最可靠的结果。这也凸显了在教育分析中选择一个好的模型对提高预测准确性的重要性。在拟议的电动汽车电池充电周期预测器应用程序中使用这些模型,可以获得准确的预测结果,从而帮助制定维护计划和做出与能源相关的决策。这项研究为未来先进的机器学习方法在提高电动汽车电池效率和电动交通技术发展方面带来了曙光。未来的工作有可能意味着将更多的真实数据纳入其中,并将应用集成到通用能源系统中。
Advancing sustainable mobility: Dynamic predictive modeling of charging cycles in electric vehicles using machine learning techniques and predictive application development
The main goal in this research is to train various machine learning models to predict charging cycles in EV Electric Vehicles) battery systems. The considered models are gradient boosting, random forests, decision trees, and linear regression. Each of these was assessed based on its R-squared score, which is an important statistical measure in indicating the variance proportion yielded by the model. In contrast, the Random Forest model significantly improved, with an R-squared value of 0.83, thereby doing an excellent job in capturing nuances of the data. Only surpassed by the Gradient Boosting model at an astonishing R-squared score of 0.87, it is this excellent score that underlines its capability to predict the outcome quite accurately by modeling complex interrelations. In other words, gradient boosting outran the rest and provided the most robust results concerning drivers of students' performance. It also underlines how important choosing a good model is in educational analytics in order to increase the accuracy of the predictions. The use of these models in the proposed EV Battery Charging Cycle Predictor App results in accurate predictions to aid schedule maintenance and energy-related decisions. This research brings light to the future of advanced machine learning methods in enhancing the battery efficiencies of EVs and the development of electric mobility technologies. It is possible that the future work will imply the additional inclusion of real data and the integration of the application to general energy systems.