干(湿)、冷(热)和暴雨鞭打事件的时空演变及其社会经济影响

IF 6 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Urban Climate Pub Date : 2024-11-01 DOI:10.1016/j.uclim.2024.102185
Changqing Meng, Zhihan Hu, Yue Li, Yuankun Wang, Yanke Zhang, Keying Liu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

天气鞭打现象是指极端天气事件的突然转变,会对当地气候系统产生深远影响,给人类社会和生态系统带来重大挑战。以往对鞭痕事件的研究仅限于涉及高温和干旱的复合事件,没有考虑涉及低温和干旱的复合事件,也没有考虑湿度对表观温度的影响。此外,他们还忽视了鞭打事件中多次连续逆转的可能性。为了更全面地描述不同地区经历的鞭打效应,本文提出了 "共延伸复合鞭打事件"(Coextend Compound Whiplash Events,CCWEs)的概念,并将其进一步划分为 "共延伸复合鞭打热事件"(Coextend Compound Whiplash Hot Event,CCWHE)和 "共延伸复合鞭打冷事件"(Coextend Compound Whiplash Cold Event,CCWCE)。本文系统分析了中国七大气候区历史和未来鞭打事件的变化趋势和特征,探讨了导致鞭打事件的主导因素,并量化了中国内陆地区因CCWEs风险增加而导致的人口和GDP暴露。
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The spatiotemporal evolution of dry (wet), cold (hot) and rainstorm whiplash events and their socioeconomic exposure
The phenomenon of weather whiplash refers to sudden shifts in extreme weather events, which can have profound impacts on local climate systems, posing significant challenges to human society and ecosystems. Previous studies on whiplash events have been limited to compound events involving high temperatures and drought, without considering compound events involving low temperatures and drought, as well as the impact of humidity on apparent temperature. Additionally, they have overlooked the possibility of multiple consecutive reversals in whiplash events. In order to more comprehensively describe the whiplash effects experienced in different regions, the concept of “Coextend Compound Whiplash Events” (CCWEs) is proposed, which is further divided into “Coextend Compound Whiplash Hot Event” (CCWHE) and “Coextend Compound Whiplash Cold Event” (CCWCE). This paper systematically analyzes the changing trends and characteristics of historical and future whiplash events in seven major climatic zones of China, discusses the dominant factors contributing to whiplash events, and quantifies the population and GDP exposure resulting from the increased risk of CCWEs in inland China.
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来源期刊
Urban Climate
Urban Climate Social Sciences-Urban Studies
CiteScore
9.70
自引率
9.40%
发文量
286
期刊介绍: Urban Climate serves the scientific and decision making communities with the publication of research on theory, science and applications relevant to understanding urban climatic conditions and change in relation to their geography and to demographic, socioeconomic, institutional, technological and environmental dynamics and global change. Targeted towards both disciplinary and interdisciplinary audiences, this journal publishes original research papers, comprehensive review articles, book reviews, and short communications on topics including, but not limited to, the following: Urban meteorology and climate[...] Urban environmental pollution[...] Adaptation to global change[...] Urban economic and social issues[...] Research Approaches[...]
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