大不列颠生育率的代际传递:利用 1970 年英国队列研究开展的一项针对具体均等的调查。

IF 2.5 2区 社会学 Q1 DEMOGRAPHY Population Studies-A Journal of Demography Pub Date : 2024-11-05 DOI:10.1080/00324728.2024.2406758
Katherine Keenan, Júlia Mikolai, Rebecca King, Hill Kulu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在低生育率环境中进行的研究一致发现,父母和子女的生育时间与家庭规模之间存在正相关关系,在考虑社会人口因素后,这种关系依然存在。我们探讨了英国生育率的代际传递问题,与其他国家相比,英国的社会经济不平等程度更高,在解释代际连续性方面可能发挥更大的作用。利用 1970 年英国队列研究这一长期纵向数据集,我们估计了特定奇数期的离散时间事件历史模型,以研究母亲的家庭规模和初生年龄在出生转变中的作用。我们发现,在向第一胎和第三胎过渡的过程中,出生时间和家庭规模的传递比第二胎的传递更有说服力。家庭规模对女儿的影响大于对儿子的影响。考虑社会经济和人口特征并不能解释这些关联。除第一胎外,生育率的传递在社会经济等级中同样可能发生,这凸显了社会化和文化偏好对生育率传递的重要性,即使在相对不平等的英国背景下也是如此。
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Intergenerational transmission of fertility in Great Britain: A parity-specific investigation using the 1970 British Cohort Study.

Studies in low-fertility settings have consistently found positive relationships between parents' and children's fertility timing and family sizes, and these persist after accounting for socio-demographic factors. We explore intergenerational transmission of fertility in Great Britain, where socio-economic inequalities are larger and could play a greater role in explaining intergenerational continuities than in other settings. Using the 1970 British Cohort Study, a long-running longitudinal data set, we estimate parity-specific discrete-time event-history models to investigate the role of mother's family size and age at first birth in birth transitions. We find stronger evidence for transmission of birth timing and family size in transitions to first and third births than second births. Family size transmission affects daughters more than sons. Accounting for socio-economic and demographic characteristics does not explain these associations. Except for first births, transmission of fertility is equally likely across the socio-economic hierarchy, highlighting the importance of socialization and cultural preferences for fertility transmission, even in the relatively unequal British context.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
5.00
自引率
4.20%
发文量
30
期刊介绍: For over half a century, Population Studies has reported significant advances in methods of demographic analysis, conceptual and mathematical theories of demographic dynamics and behaviour, and the use of these theories and methods to extend scientific knowledge and to inform policy and practice. The Journal"s coverage of this field is comprehensive: applications in developed and developing countries; historical and contemporary studies; quantitative and qualitative studies; analytical essays and reviews. The subjects of papers range from classical concerns, such as the determinants and consequences of population change, to such topics as family demography and evolutionary and genetic influences on demographic behaviour.
期刊最新文献
Party penalty or party premium? 'Party Swedes' in Norway and their income before, during, and after migration. Estimating adult mortality based on maternal orphanhood in populations with HIV/AIDS. Intergenerational transmission of fertility in Great Britain: A parity-specific investigation using the 1970 British Cohort Study. Estimating age-specific mortality using calibrated splines. Infant and child mortality in the Netherlands 1935-47 and changes related to the Dutch famine of 1944-45: A population-based analysis.
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