准双周云辐射反馈在调节和模拟亚洲季风区极端降雨强度中的作用

IF 4.6 1区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Geophysical Research Letters Pub Date : 2024-11-07 DOI:10.1029/2024GL111671
Hongli Chen, Pang-Chi Hsu, Shuzhen Hu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

尽管云-辐射反馈(CRF)对热带海洋极端降水的调节作用已得到研究,但CRF变率的具体时间范围以及驱动亚洲季风区极端降水的相关过程仍不清楚。基于观测分析和模式敏感性实验,本研究揭示了准双周时间尺度的长波CRF通过有效维持大尺度对流扰动,与中国南部和印度北部持续(≥3天)强降雨事件的强度关系最为密切。当 CRF 失效时,支持极端降水的准双周对流异常就会减弱。对 "耦合模式相互比较项目 "历史模拟的额外评估证实,具有更精确的准双周长波CRF的模式在捕捉持续强降雨振幅方面表现出较小的偏差。这些结果对提高模式模拟和预报准双周长波中长波的能力,以减轻亚洲季风区极端降水事件的风险具有重要意义。
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Role of Quasi-Biweekly Cloud-Radiative Feedback in Modulating and Simulating Extreme Rainfall Intensity Over Asian Monsoon Regions

Although Cloud-radiative feedback (CRF) has been investigated in terms of its modulation of extreme precipitation over tropical oceans, the specific timeframe of CRF variability and the associated processes driving extreme rainfall over Asian monsoon regions remain unclear. Based on observational analyses and model sensitivity experiments, this study reveals that longwave CRF at the quasi-biweekly timescale is most closely linked to the intensity of persistent (≥3-day) heavy rainfall events in southern China and northern India by efficiently maintaining the large-scale convective perturbations. When CRF is disabled, the quasi-biweekly convective anomalies supporting extreme precipitation are weakened. Additional assessments of Coupled Model Intercomparison Project historical simulations confirm that models with more accurate quasi-biweekly longwave CRF exhibit smaller biases in capturing the amplitude of persistent heavy rainfall. These results have implications for improving model capability in simulating and forecasting quasi-biweekly CRF to mitigate the risks of extreme precipitation events in monsoonal Asia.

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来源期刊
Geophysical Research Letters
Geophysical Research Letters 地学-地球科学综合
CiteScore
9.00
自引率
9.60%
发文量
1588
审稿时长
2.2 months
期刊介绍: Geophysical Research Letters (GRL) publishes high-impact, innovative, and timely research on major scientific advances in all the major geoscience disciplines. Papers are communications-length articles and should have broad and immediate implications in their discipline or across the geosciences. GRLmaintains the fastest turn-around of all high-impact publications in the geosciences and works closely with authors to ensure broad visibility of top papers.
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