评估港口集群的复原力:基于超图的建模与基于代理的模拟相结合

IF 7.3 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Transportation Research Part D-transport and Environment Pub Date : 2024-11-01 DOI:10.1016/j.trd.2024.104459
Lingyue Li , Chunzhu Wei , Jing Liu , Jindao Chen , Hongping Yuan
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引用次数: 0

摘要

随着全球贸易的不断增长和破坏性事件的频繁发生,港口集群的恢复能力已成为一个重要的关注领域。然而,考虑到港口集群复杂的网络结构和运营动态,针对港口集群复原力的研究仍然有限。本研究通过整合基于超图的建模和基于代理的模拟,提出了一种评估港口集群复原力的新型模型。该模型捕捉了港口和船舶之间的复杂关系,能够动态模拟干扰对港口集群复原力的影响。对粤港澳大湾区(GBA)港口群的案例研究证明了该模型的适用性和有效性。此外,还分析了台风持续时间对恢复能力的重大影响,以及船舶跳港行为和港口货物装卸能力提高的潜在效益。这些研究结果为利益相关者制定有效战略以提高港口群和海运系统的抗灾能力提供了宝贵的见解。
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Assessing port cluster resilience: Integrating hypergraph-based modeling and agent-based simulation
With increasing global trade and frequent occurrence of disruptive events, the resilience of port clusters has emerged as a critical area of concern. However, studies that focus on the resilience of port clusters considering their complex network structure and operational dynamics remain limited. This study proposes a novel model to assess port cluster resilience by integrating hypergraph-based modeling and agent-based simulation. The model captures the complex relationships among ports and vessels, enabling the dynamic modeling of disruption impacts on port cluster resilience. A case study of the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area (GBA) port cluster demonstrates the model’s applicability and effectiveness. Additionally, the significant impact of typhoon duration on resilience and the potential benefits of vessel port skipping behavior and port cargo handling capacity improvements are analyzed. These findings provide valuable insights for stakeholders in developing effective strategies to enhance the resilience of port clusters and the maritime transportation system.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
14.40
自引率
9.20%
发文量
314
审稿时长
39 days
期刊介绍: Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment focuses on original research exploring the environmental impacts of transportation, policy responses to these impacts, and their implications for transportation system design, planning, and management. The journal comprehensively covers the interaction between transportation and the environment, ranging from local effects on specific geographical areas to global implications such as natural resource depletion and atmospheric pollution. We welcome research papers across all transportation modes, including maritime, air, and land transportation, assessing their environmental impacts broadly. Papers addressing both mobile aspects and transportation infrastructure are considered. The journal prioritizes empirical findings and policy responses of regulatory, planning, technical, or fiscal nature. Articles are policy-driven, accessible, and applicable to readers from diverse disciplines, emphasizing relevance and practicality. We encourage interdisciplinary submissions and welcome contributions from economically developing and advanced countries alike, reflecting our international orientation.
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