高收入国家可再生能源部署与二氧化碳排放之间的多维关系

Xiaorui Huang
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摘要

跨国研究发现,在高收入国家,可再生能源发展的去碳化效应相对较弱。因此,找到有效的干预点以增强可再生能源的去碳化效应至关重要。本研究采用多维分析框架,研究高收入国家二氧化碳排放的某些结构性成分是否特别容易受到去碳化障碍的影响,从而使可再生能源发展的缓解效果较差。通过分析 1996 年至 2019 年 33 个高收入国家的面板数据集,我发现了一种不均衡的去碳化模式。随着时间的推移,可再生能源发展对基于生产的排放的减缓效果越来越好;然而,这种减缓效果主要局限于面向国内的供应链活动所产生的排放。同时,随着时间的推移,可再生能源无法减缓出口和最终用户直接排放所体现的排放。此外,发展可再生能源并没有刺激进口排放的增长,这表明可再生能源并没有加剧碳泄漏。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

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The multidimensional relationship between renewable energy deployment and carbon dioxide emissions in high-income nations
Cross-national research has found that the decarbonization effect of renewable energy development is relatively weak in high-income nations. It is crucial to identify effective points of intervention to enhance renewables’ decarbonization effect. Using a multidimensional analytical framework, this study examines whether certain structural components of high-income nations’ CO2 emissions are particularly susceptible to barriers to decarbonization and therefore are less effectively mitigated by renewable energy development. Analyzing a panel dataset covering 33 high-income nations from 1996 to 2019, I identify a pattern of uneven decarbonization. Renewable energy development has mitigated production-based emissions with increasing effectiveness over time; however, the mitigation effect has been largely confined to emissions from domestic-oriented supply chain activities. Meanwhile, renewables’ inability to mitigate emissions embodied in exports and direct end-user emissions has largely persisted over time. Additionally, developing renewable energy has not spurred growth in emissions in imports, indicating that it has not intensified carbon leakage.
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