{"title":"基于 CEEMD-Transformer-LSTM 模型的锂离子电池未来容量和 RUL 预测综合方法","authors":"Wangyang Hu, Chaolong Zhang, Laijin Luo, Shanhe Jiang","doi":"10.1002/ese3.1952","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p>Accurately predict the remaining useful life (RUL) of lithium-ion batteries for energy storage is of critical significance to ensure the safety and reliability of electric vehicles, which can offer efficient early warning signals in a timely manner. Considering nonlinear changes in the aging trajectory of lithium-ion batteries, a method for predicting the RUL of lithium-ion batteries was proposed in this study based on a complementary ensemble empirical mode decomposition (CEEMD) as well as transformer and long short-term memory (LSTM) neural network dual-drive machine learning model. First, the CEEMD algorithm was adopted to decompose the raw aging data of lithium-ion batteries into intrinsic mode function (IMF) sequences and residual sequence, where the number of modal layers was produced by the proposed posterior feedback entropy and relevance (PFER) method. Second, prediction models of LSTM and transformer neural networks were established to predict IMF and residual sequences. Simultaneously, the sparrow search algorithm (SSA) was used to obtain the optimal value of the hyperparameter learning rate for the RUL prediction model. Finally, the predicted IMF and residual sequences were combined to comprehensively calculate the future lifespan aging trajectory of lithium-ion batteries. The aging data of two groups of lithium-ion batteries were obtained from the CALCE at the University of Maryland as well as the laboratory at AQNU University to verify the proposed method. Experimental results demonstrated that the proposed method can effectively predict the RUL of lithium-ion batteries; moreover, it exhibited better robustness and generalization ability.</p>","PeriodicalId":11673,"journal":{"name":"Energy Science & Engineering","volume":"12 11","pages":"5272-5286"},"PeriodicalIF":3.5000,"publicationDate":"2024-11-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/ese3.1952","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Integrated Method of Future Capacity and RUL Prediction for Lithium-Ion Batteries Based on CEEMD-Transformer-LSTM Model\",\"authors\":\"Wangyang Hu, Chaolong Zhang, Laijin Luo, Shanhe Jiang\",\"doi\":\"10.1002/ese3.1952\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p>Accurately predict the remaining useful life (RUL) of lithium-ion batteries for energy storage is of critical significance to ensure the safety and reliability of electric vehicles, which can offer efficient early warning signals in a timely manner. Considering nonlinear changes in the aging trajectory of lithium-ion batteries, a method for predicting the RUL of lithium-ion batteries was proposed in this study based on a complementary ensemble empirical mode decomposition (CEEMD) as well as transformer and long short-term memory (LSTM) neural network dual-drive machine learning model. First, the CEEMD algorithm was adopted to decompose the raw aging data of lithium-ion batteries into intrinsic mode function (IMF) sequences and residual sequence, where the number of modal layers was produced by the proposed posterior feedback entropy and relevance (PFER) method. Second, prediction models of LSTM and transformer neural networks were established to predict IMF and residual sequences. Simultaneously, the sparrow search algorithm (SSA) was used to obtain the optimal value of the hyperparameter learning rate for the RUL prediction model. 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引用次数: 0
摘要
准确预测用于储能的锂离子电池的剩余使用寿命(RUL)对于确保电动汽车的安全性和可靠性至关重要,可以及时提供有效的预警信号。考虑到锂离子电池老化轨迹的非线性变化,本研究提出了一种基于互补集合经验模式分解(CEEMD)以及变压器和长短期记忆(LSTM)神经网络双驱动机器学习模型的锂离子电池剩余寿命预测方法。首先,采用 CEEMD 算法将锂离子电池的原始老化数据分解为固有模态函数(IMF)序列和残差序列,其中模态层数由提出的后反馈熵和相关性(PFER)方法产生。其次,建立了 LSTM 和变压器神经网络预测模型来预测 IMF 和残差序列。同时,使用麻雀搜索算法(SSA)为 RUL 预测模型获取超参数学习率的最佳值。最后,结合预测的 IMF 和残差序列,综合计算出锂离子电池的未来寿命老化轨迹。为了验证所提出的方法,实验人员从马里兰大学的 CALCE 和 AQNU 大学的实验室获得了两组锂离子电池的老化数据。实验结果表明,所提出的方法能有效预测锂离子电池的寿命衰减率,而且具有更好的鲁棒性和泛化能力。
Integrated Method of Future Capacity and RUL Prediction for Lithium-Ion Batteries Based on CEEMD-Transformer-LSTM Model
Accurately predict the remaining useful life (RUL) of lithium-ion batteries for energy storage is of critical significance to ensure the safety and reliability of electric vehicles, which can offer efficient early warning signals in a timely manner. Considering nonlinear changes in the aging trajectory of lithium-ion batteries, a method for predicting the RUL of lithium-ion batteries was proposed in this study based on a complementary ensemble empirical mode decomposition (CEEMD) as well as transformer and long short-term memory (LSTM) neural network dual-drive machine learning model. First, the CEEMD algorithm was adopted to decompose the raw aging data of lithium-ion batteries into intrinsic mode function (IMF) sequences and residual sequence, where the number of modal layers was produced by the proposed posterior feedback entropy and relevance (PFER) method. Second, prediction models of LSTM and transformer neural networks were established to predict IMF and residual sequences. Simultaneously, the sparrow search algorithm (SSA) was used to obtain the optimal value of the hyperparameter learning rate for the RUL prediction model. Finally, the predicted IMF and residual sequences were combined to comprehensively calculate the future lifespan aging trajectory of lithium-ion batteries. The aging data of two groups of lithium-ion batteries were obtained from the CALCE at the University of Maryland as well as the laboratory at AQNU University to verify the proposed method. Experimental results demonstrated that the proposed method can effectively predict the RUL of lithium-ion batteries; moreover, it exhibited better robustness and generalization ability.
期刊介绍:
Energy Science & Engineering is a peer reviewed, open access journal dedicated to fundamental and applied research on energy and supply and use. Published as a co-operative venture of Wiley and SCI (Society of Chemical Industry), the journal offers authors a fast route to publication and the ability to share their research with the widest possible audience of scientists, professionals and other interested people across the globe. Securing an affordable and low carbon energy supply is a critical challenge of the 21st century and the solutions will require collaboration between scientists and engineers worldwide. This new journal aims to facilitate collaboration and spark innovation in energy research and development. Due to the importance of this topic to society and economic development the journal will give priority to quality research papers that are accessible to a broad readership and discuss sustainable, state-of-the art approaches to shaping the future of energy. This multidisciplinary journal will appeal to all researchers and professionals working in any area of energy in academia, industry or government, including scientists, engineers, consultants, policy-makers, government officials, economists and corporate organisations.