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The Role of Digital Twin Technology in Enhancing Energy Efficiency in Buildings: A Systematic Literature Review 数字孪生技术在提高建筑能源效率中的作用:系统的文献综述
IF 3.4 3区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2026-01-05 DOI: 10.1002/ese3.70388
Suqi Wang, Congxiang Tian, Chao Zhou, Yihan Wu, Divine Senanu Ametefe, Dah John, Marvellous Agbeko Ametefe

The integration of Digital Twin (DT) technology into building energy management systems has garnered significant attention for its potential to enhance energy efficiency. This study conducts a systematic literature review to critically evaluate the role of DTs in optimizing energy use, reducing operational costs, and improving the sustainability of building environments. Through a comprehensive analysis of existing research, this review highlights how DTs facilitate continuous monitoring, predictive maintenance, and operational optimization, thereby contributing to more energy-efficient building operations. The findings reveal that while DTs offer substantial benefits, challenges such as data integration, high initial costs, and the need for specialized expertise hinder widespread adoption. To address these barriers, this study proposes a framework for the successful implementation of DT technology in building energy management, emphasizing the importance of standardized protocols, cross-disciplinary collaboration, and incremental scaling. This study provides valuable insights for both practitioners and researchers, offering a strategic roadmap to leverage DT technology for achieving energy sustainability and operational excellence in the built environment.

将数字孪生(DT)技术集成到建筑能源管理系统中,因其提高能源效率的潜力而引起了极大的关注。本研究进行了系统的文献综述,批判性地评估了直接传输技术在优化能源使用、降低运营成本和提高建筑环境可持续性方面的作用。通过对现有研究的综合分析,本综述强调了自动检测技术如何促进持续监测、预测性维护和操作优化,从而为更节能的建筑运营做出贡献。研究结果表明,虽然直接检测技术带来了巨大的好处,但数据集成、高昂的初始成本以及对专业知识的需求等挑战阻碍了广泛采用。为了解决这些障碍,本研究提出了一个在建筑能源管理中成功实施DT技术的框架,强调了标准化协议、跨学科合作和增量扩展的重要性。这项研究为实践者和研究者提供了有价值的见解,为利用DT技术在建筑环境中实现能源可持续性和卓越运营提供了战略路线图。
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引用次数: 0
Enhancing Energy Management in Railway Transportation: A High-Accuracy Prediction Approach Using Ensemble Machine Learning 加强铁路运输能源管理:一种基于集成机器学习的高精度预测方法
IF 3.4 3区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-12-29 DOI: 10.1002/ese3.70426
Emre Kuşkapan, Muhammed Yasin Çodur, Merve Kayacı Çodur, Dilum Dissanayake

Predicting energy consumption helps countries make strategic decisions in many critical areas such as energy management, economic development, energy security, environmental sustainability and infrastructure investments. Therefore, accurate and reliable energy consumption predictions are vital to ensure the sustainability and prosperity of countries. This study aims to contribute to the proper planning of transportation policies and energy management by successfully predicting Türkiye's railway energy consumption. In this direction, energy prediction values were obtained from 18 different machine learning methods using the country's railway line length, number of passengers, freight amount and energy consumption values from 1977 to 2024. To further strengthen the results obtained with these methods, bagging, boosting, stacking and blending ensemble learning methods were utilized. With the improvements, the R-squared value was increased up to 0.9667 and energy predicting was achieved with very high accuracy. Based on the results obtained from this study, it is possible to provide investment planning more efficiently. In addition, the implementation of energy management strategies, infrastructure planning and sustainable energy policies will be provided more efficiently as a result of obtaining more successful results by using ensemble machine learning methods instead of traditional machine learning methods for energy consumption predictions in different sectors.

预测能源消耗有助于各国在能源管理、经济发展、能源安全、环境可持续性和基础设施投资等许多关键领域做出战略决策。因此,准确可靠的能源消耗预测对于确保各国的可持续发展和繁荣至关重要。本研究旨在透过成功预测台湾铁路能源消耗,为交通政策及能源管理的合理规划作出贡献。在这个方向上,利用1977年至2024年该国的铁路线长度、乘客数量、货运量和能耗值,从18种不同的机器学习方法中获得了能源预测值。为了进一步强化这些方法得到的结果,采用了套袋、提升、叠加和混合集成学习方法。改进后,r平方值提高到0.9667,能量预测精度很高。基于本研究的结果,可以更有效地提供投资规划。此外,通过使用集成机器学习方法而不是传统的机器学习方法进行不同部门的能源消耗预测,获得更成功的结果,将更有效地提供能源管理战略、基础设施规划和可持续能源政策的实施。
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引用次数: 0
Improving the Characteristics of the Direct FOC Strategy in DFIG-Based Wind Turbine Systems Using FOIDD and FOPD Controllers 利用FOIDD和FOPD控制器改善基于dfig的风力发电系统直接FOC策略的特性
IF 3.4 3区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-12-22 DOI: 10.1002/ese3.70398
Hamza Gasmi, Habib Benbouhenni, Z. M. S. Elbarary, Ilhami Colak, Tahar Tafticht, Salman Arafath Mohammed

The conventional direct field-oriented control (DFOC) strategy using proportional–integral (PI) regulators for managing the energy of a doubly fed induction generator (DFIG) in wind turbine systems often proves inadequate due to the PI controller's sensitivity to parameter variations. Additionally, it tends to produce lower-quality energy output. To address these shortcomings, this study proposes a novel control strategy that combines two fractional-order controllers: a fractional-order proportional-derivative (FOPD) regulator and a fractional-order integral dual-derivative (FOIDD) regulator. These regulators are valued for their simplicity, low cost, and ease of implementation. The hybrid FOPD–FOIDD approach aims to enhance the performance and robustness of the traditional DFOC-PI control applied to DFIG-based wind turbine systems, enabling improved power regulation and dynamic response. To further optimize the designed control system, Particle Swarm Optimization is used to fine-tune the controller parameters, ensuring efficient and stable power generation under varying and dynamic wind conditions. The new regulator replaces the classical PI in the DFOC scheme for the rotor-side converter of the DFIG. The design and simulations were realized in MATLAB, and results were rigorously compared with those of the DFOC-PI system under diverse operating conditions, including variations in active power reference, rapid wind speed changes, and parameter uncertainties. The comparative analysis demonstrates that the proposed FOPD–FOIDD controller significantly outperforms the DFOC-PI. Simulation results show major improvements in dynamic performance, including reductions in current harmonic distortion by up to 87.55% and 14.14%, and substantial decreases in active power, torque, and reactive power ripples—by 93.18%, 92.42%, and 74.99%, respectively. Overall, the new control strategy exhibits superior robustness and stability, maintaining high-quality power generation despite unpredictable variations in generator parameters.

传统的直接场定向控制(DFOC)策略使用比例积分(PI)调节器来管理风力发电系统中双馈感应发电机(DFIG)的能量,由于PI控制器对参数变化的敏感性,往往被证明是不够的。此外,它往往产生较低质量的能源输出。为了解决这些缺点,本研究提出了一种新的控制策略,该策略结合了两个分数阶控制器:分数阶比例导数(FOPD)调节器和分数阶积分双导数(FOIDD)调节器。这些调节器因其简单、低成本和易于实现而受到重视。混合FOPD-FOIDD方法旨在提高传统DFOC-PI控制在基于dfig的风力发电系统中的性能和鲁棒性,从而改善功率调节和动态响应。为了进一步优化设计的控制系统,采用粒子群算法对控制器参数进行微调,确保在变风和动态风条件下高效稳定发电。新的调节器取代了DFOC方案中的经典PI,用于DFIG的转子侧变换器。在MATLAB中实现了设计与仿真,并与dfocc - pi系统在有功基准变化、风速快速变化、参数不确定性等不同工况下的仿真结果进行了严格比较。对比分析表明,所提出的FOPD-FOIDD控制器明显优于DFOC-PI控制器。仿真结果表明,动态性能得到了显著改善,电流谐波失真降低了87.55%和14.14%,有功功率、转矩和无功纹波分别大幅降低了93.18%、92.42%和74.99%。总的来说,新的控制策略表现出优异的鲁棒性和稳定性,即使发电机参数发生不可预测的变化,也能保持高质量的发电。
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引用次数: 0
Forecasting Electricity Peak Load: Time-Series Modeling Integrating Economic and Demographic Dynamics—A Case Study From Jordan 预测电力峰值负荷:时间序列模型整合经济和人口动态-来自约旦的案例研究
IF 3.4 3区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-12-18 DOI: 10.1002/ese3.70399
Rafat Aljarrah, Qusay Salem, Anas Abuzayed, Mazaher Karimi, Ibrahim Abuishmais, Hamzeh Jaber

Factors like pricing, transmission expansion, and capacity planning rely on accurate power demand forecasts. This paper intends to utilize time-series models to forecast the peak electricity demand of Jordan's power grid amidst its energy transition, offering insights into necessary expansion and system adjustments over the next decade It explores the relationship between the country's peak load fluctuations over the last three decades and examining factors including the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and population growth. Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA), and Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average with Explanatory Variable (ARIMA-X), are employed to forecast yearly peak loads, which are also compared with linear regression, providing an enhanced understanding of power generation and network expansion needs for the coming decade. The results show strong correlations between peak load, population growth, and GDP, with the models proving effective in forecasting future peak loads, albeit with caution regarding ARIMA-X. Projections suggest a potential 41% increase in peak load by 2035, reaching around 5300 MW in 14 years. Assuming consistent growth rates in population and GDP, the projections of the peak load also indicate that the peak load might reach twice its current level in the next 2 to 2.5 decades.

定价、输电扩展和容量规划等因素依赖于准确的电力需求预测。本文拟利用时间序列模型预测约旦电网在能源转型过程中的峰值电力需求,为未来十年的必要扩建和系统调整提供见解。它探讨了过去三十年中该国峰值负荷波动之间的关系,并考察了包括国内生产总值(GDP)和人口增长在内的因素。采用自回归综合移动平均(ARIMA)和带解释变量的自回归综合移动平均(ARIMA- x)预测年峰值负荷,并与线性回归进行比较,为未来十年的发电和网络扩展需求提供更好的理解。结果显示,峰值负荷、人口增长和GDP之间存在很强的相关性,这些模型在预测未来峰值负荷方面被证明是有效的,尽管对ARIMA-X要谨慎。预测显示,到2035年,峰值负荷可能增加41%,在14年内达到5300兆瓦左右。假设人口和GDP保持稳定的增长率,峰值负荷的预测也表明,峰值负荷可能在未来20至25年内达到目前水平的两倍。
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引用次数: 0
Economic and Technical Assessment of Wind Potential Using SARIMAX Time Series Models: Wind Speed Forecasting and Analysis 基于SARIMAX时间序列模型的风势经济技术评价:风速预报与分析
IF 3.4 3区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-12-18 DOI: 10.1002/ese3.70397
Mohammad Amin Valizadeh, Iman Khorsandi Shamir, Abolfazl Ahmadi, Mojtaba Mirhosseini

The worldwide transition to renewable energy is gaining momentum, highlighting the importance of identifying and utilizing local wind resources as a viable approach to decrease dependence on fossil fuels and promote sustainable energy security. This investigation examined 15 years of wind speed data (2010–2024) from Khaf, Iran, utilizing machine-learning methods alongside statistical modeling and economic evaluation to deliver an in-depth assessment of the area's wind energy potential. The Weibull probability distribution was utilized to define the statistical characteristics of wind speeds and to determine the parameters necessary for calculating wind power density. The forecast for monthly mean wind speeds in 2025 was conducted using SARIMAX and Prophet models, resulting in a high level of predictive accuracy (R² = 0.85–0.98), which facilitates accurate estimation of wind energy capacity. This study combines machine-learning forecasting, statistical methods, and economic analysis to offer a practical framework for evaluating the regional energy profile and enhancing turbine selection, thereby contributing to the sustainable development of wind farms in Khaf.

世界范围内向可再生能源过渡的势头正在增强,这突出了确定和利用当地风能资源作为减少对化石燃料依赖和促进可持续能源安全的可行方法的重要性。本研究分析了伊朗Khaf地区15年(2010-2024年)的风速数据,利用机器学习方法、统计建模和经济评估,对该地区的风能潜力进行了深入评估。利用威布尔概率分布定义风速的统计特征,确定计算风力密度所需的参数。利用SARIMAX模型和Prophet模型对2025年的月平均风速进行预测,预测精度较高(R²= 0.85-0.98),有助于准确估计风电容量。这项研究结合了机器学习预测、统计方法和经济分析,为评估区域能源概况和加强涡轮机选择提供了一个实用的框架,从而有助于卡夫风力发电场的可持续发展。
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引用次数: 0
Research on the Mechanism of Sand Bridge Stuck Drill in Deep Coal and Rock Gas Horizontal Wells 深煤岩气水平井砂桥卡钻机理研究
IF 3.4 3区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-12-17 DOI: 10.1002/ese3.70387
Cheng Hui, Yong Ouyang, Zhifeng Duan, Xiaoyue Xu, Yuxiang Teng, Mingyang Liu, Hui Zhang, Long Chen

Deep coal and rock gas, as an important component of unconventional natural gas, has attracted much attention due to its abundant reserves. However, in the current process of coal and rock gas development, underground accidents of burying drilling tools due to sand bridge stuck drill accidents often occur, which is one of the important difficulties faced by coal and rock gas wells at present. This paper systematically studies the mechanism of stuck drill caused by sand Bridges in deep coal-rock-gas horizontal Wells for the problem of stuck drill in sand Bridges. Studies show that collapse and block shedding caused by wellbore instability a key factors in the formation of sand bridges. Traditional models have limited applicability in deep coal-rock gas reservoirs because they ignore this factor. Based on the drilling conditions, considering the “bulldozer effect” and the influence of coal seam collapse and block drop, the calculation models of the stuck pipe resistance of permeable and impermeable sand bridges were established, respectively. The calculation methods of the sand bridge volume and the additional axial force and torque were derived. Through sensitivity analysis, the results show that the length of the sand bridge, the annular clearance, and the internal and external pressure difference significantly affect the stuck pipe resistance. Among them, the resistance effect of the impermeable sand bridge is particularly prominent. The engineering applicability of the model was verified through the example of the horizontal well for coal and rock gas in Changqing. The research proposes control measures such as optimizing the performance of drilling fluid, staged drilling, and controlling the drilling speed, providing theoretical support and technical reference for the drilling operation of deep coal, rock, and gas horizontal Wells.

深部煤岩气作为非常规天然气的重要组成部分,因其丰富的储量而备受关注。然而,在当前煤岩气开发过程中,由于砂桥卡钻事故导致的埋钻井下事故时有发生,是目前煤岩气井面临的重要难题之一。针对深煤-岩-气水平井砂桥卡钻问题,系统研究了砂桥卡钻机理。研究表明,井眼失稳引起的坍塌和断块脱落是砂桥形成的关键因素。传统模型由于忽略了这一因素,对深部煤岩气藏的适用性有限。根据钻孔条件,考虑“推土机效应”和煤层塌落影响,分别建立了透水砂桥和不透水砂桥卡管阻力计算模型。推导了砂桥体积和附加轴力、附加扭矩的计算方法。通过敏感性分析,结果表明,砂桥长度、环空间隙、内外压差对卡管阻力影响显著。其中,防渗砂桥的阻力作用尤为突出。以长庆煤岩气水平井为例,验证了该模型的工程适用性。研究提出了优化钻井液性能、分级钻井、控制钻井速度等控制措施,为深部煤岩气水平井钻井作业提供理论支持和技术参考。
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引用次数: 0
Noise, Vibration, and Harshness (NVH) Challenges in Hydrogen Internal Combustion Engine Vehicles 氢燃料内燃机汽车的噪声、振动和粗糙度(NVH)挑战
IF 3.4 3区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-12-16 DOI: 10.1002/ese3.70400
Krisztián Horváth

This paper presents a state-of-the-art literature review on noise, vibration, and harshness (NVH) in hydrogen-fuelled internal combustion engines. Studies published between 2011 and 2025 were screened, covering fundamental flame physics, test-bench work, and recent prototype vehicles. The review links hydrogen's core properties—high flame speed, wide flammability, low ignition energy, strong diffusivity—to specific NVH outcomes such as rapid pressure rise, knock, back-fire, and block resonance. For each pathway we summarise measured noise levels, vibration signatures, and psycho-acoustic findings. Mitigation methods are then grouped: lean premixing, direct injection, adaptive ignition timing, exhaust tuning, and structural damping. Results show that, with these measures, hydrogen engines can approach the NVH envelope of modern gasoline units. Remaining gaps lie in long-term durability under high-frequency loading and in full-vehicle sound quality. Overall, the review clarifies current knowledge, highlights consistent trends, and points to research still needed for quiet, smooth hydrogen mobility.

本文介绍了关于氢燃料内燃机噪声、振动和粗糙度(NVH)的最新文献综述。研究人员筛选了2011年至2025年间发表的研究成果,涵盖了基本的火焰物理学、试验台工作和最新的原型车。该综述将氢的核心特性(高火焰速度、宽可燃性、低点火能量、强扩散)与特定的NVH结果(如快速升压、爆震、回火和块共振)联系起来。对于每个途径,我们总结了测量的噪声水平,振动特征和心理声学发现。然后将缓解方法分组为:精益预混、直接喷射、自适应点火正时、排气调整和结构阻尼。结果表明,通过这些措施,氢发动机可以接近现代汽油发动机的NVH包络线。剩下的差距在于高频载荷下的长期耐久性和整车音质。总体而言,该综述澄清了当前的知识,强调了一致的趋势,并指出了仍然需要进行安静、平稳的氢迁移研究。
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引用次数: 0
Neural Network Models for Solar Irradiance Forecasting in Polluted Areas: A Comparative Study 污染地区太阳辐照度预测的神经网络模型比较研究
IF 3.4 3区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-12-15 DOI: 10.1002/ese3.70393
Mujtaba Ali, Muhammad Yaqoob Javed, Aamer Bilal Asghar, Khurram Hashmi, Abbas Javed, Basem Alamri, Krzysztof Ejsmont

Increasing global energy demand and renewable energy expansion have heightened the importance of accurate solar irradiance forecasting for effective grid management and capacity planning. Atmospheric pollution significantly affects solar irradiance measurements, requiring air quality integration for precise forecasting in polluted urban environments. This study develops a comprehensive multi-city data set spanning eight geographically diverse locations with systematically categorized pollution levels, from pristine environments (Copenhagen, Sydney) to heavily polluted urban centers (Beijing, New Delhi, Lahore). A pollution-aware neural network training methodology is introduced, representing the first systematic investigation of ensemble model performance across explicitly categorized atmospheric quality levels. The study presents a novel ensemble architecture integrating multi-layer perceptrons, recurrent neural networks, and nonlinear autoregressive with exogenous inputs, specifically designed for forecasting under varying atmospheric pollution conditions. The proposed ensemble model achieves superior performance with R² of 0.8702, RMSE of 1.0809, and MAE of 0.8137, consistently outperforming individual models across all pollution categories and geographical locations. Validation using the HI-SEAS data set confirms superiority over three contemporary state-of-the-art methodologies. The framework incorporates SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) analysis for model interpretability and comprehensive cross-validation procedures. This study establishes a foundational framework for pollution-aware solar forecasting, addressing critical gaps regarding atmospheric variability's impact on prediction accuracy.

不断增长的全球能源需求和可再生能源的扩张,提高了准确的太阳辐照度预测对有效的电网管理和容量规划的重要性。大气污染对太阳辐照度测量有显著影响,因此需要在污染的城市环境中整合空气质量以进行精确预报。本研究开发了一个综合的多城市数据集,涵盖八个地理位置不同的地点,并系统地分类了污染水平,从原始环境(哥本哈根、悉尼)到严重污染的城市中心(北京、新德里、拉合尔)。介绍了一种污染感知神经网络训练方法,代表了在明确分类的大气质量水平上对集成模型性能的首次系统调查。该研究提出了一种新的集成体系结构,集成了多层感知器、循环神经网络和带有外源输入的非线性自回归,专门用于不同大气污染条件下的预测。该集成模型的R²为0.8702,RMSE为1.0809,MAE为0.8137,在所有污染类别和地理位置上均优于单个模型。使用HI-SEAS数据集的验证证实了该方法优于三种当代最先进的方法。该框架结合了SHapley加性解释(SHAP)分析模型可解释性和全面的交叉验证程序。本研究建立了污染意识太阳预报的基础框架,解决了大气变率对预测精度影响的关键空白。
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引用次数: 0
A Practical Real-Time Observer-Based Radiation Prediction Algorithm for Solar Plants 一种实用的基于观测器的太阳能电站辐射实时预测算法
IF 3.4 3区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-12-15 DOI: 10.1002/ese3.70390
S. Sepehr Tabatabaei, S. Ayoub Mirtavousi, Mohammadreza Dehghan

The global transition toward clean energy has intensified interest in solar power, especially in regions with favorable geographical conditions. Despite the rapid development and deployment of solar plants, operational challenges remain, particularly in optimizing energy conversion in real time. This paper proposes a practical real-time solar radiation prediction model designed to enhance the performance of solar plants by forecasting available energy, thereby improving control during the energy conversion process. To this aim, an autonomous nonlinear dynamical model with an unknown drift function is considered. A Group Method of Data Handling (GMDH)-based identification approach, supported by a comprehensive experimental dataset, is employed to estimate the drift function and confirm the feasibility of the model. Once the nonlinear model is validated, a theoretical framework is developed to enable adaptive estimation of the model's states and parameters, eliminating the need for offline identification. Experimental results across multiple scenarios demonstrate the model's effectiveness in accurately identifying unknown parameters and state variables under different environmental conditions, geographic locations, and challenging cases such as partial shading. These results highlight the practical potential of the proposed method for improving real-time control and energy efficiency in solar plant operations.

全球向清洁能源的过渡加强了对太阳能的兴趣,特别是在地理条件有利的地区。尽管太阳能发电厂的发展和部署迅速,但运营方面的挑战仍然存在,特别是在实时优化能源转换方面。本文提出了一种实用的实时太阳辐射预测模型,旨在通过预测可用能量来提高太阳能电站的性能,从而改善能量转换过程中的控制。为此,考虑了带有未知漂移函数的自主非线性动力学模型。在综合实验数据集的支持下,采用基于GMDH (Group Method of Data Handling)的识别方法对漂移函数进行估计,验证了模型的可行性。一旦非线性模型得到验证,就会开发一个理论框架来实现模型状态和参数的自适应估计,从而消除了离线识别的需要。跨多个场景的实验结果表明,该模型在不同的环境条件、地理位置和具有挑战性的情况下(如部分遮阳)准确识别未知参数和状态变量的有效性。这些结果突出了所提出的方法在改善太阳能发电厂运行的实时控制和能源效率方面的实际潜力。
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引用次数: 0
Energy Landscape in Iraq: Current Status, Research Review, and Policy Insights 伊拉克能源格局:现状、研究综述与政策见解
IF 3.4 3区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-12-15 DOI: 10.1002/ese3.70359
Ihab Jabbar Al-Rikabi, Adil A. M. Omara, Mohamed Ali Abuelnour, Amar S. Abdul-Zahra, Ayad M. Al Jubori, Hayder Alsaad

This comprehensive review evaluates Iraq's energy landscape, examining the spatial distribution of renewable and conventional resources, carbon emissions from power generation, and the technoeconomic viability of energy projects. Iraq's electricity generation is overwhelmingly dominated by thermal power plants, accounting for 96.6% of total production, while hydropower contributes 3.39% and solar only 0.059% of Iraq's overall electricity. Despite vast oil and gas reserves, the country faces chronic electricity shortages due to aging infrastructure, reliance on imports, and limited renewable adoption. Iraq possesses significant but underexploited renewable potential across hydropower, solar, wind, biomass, geothermal, wave, and blue energy. Hydropower remains dominant but is constrained by water scarcity and outdated infrastructure. On the other hand, solar and wind demonstrate strong technical and economic feasibility but face grid and financial barriers, while biomass and geothermal resources remain largely untapped. The energy transition is uneven, with CO2 reductions in governorates such as Al-Muthanna and Kirkuk achieved through partial fuel switching, whereas others continue to experience rising emissions from high-carbon generation. Technoeconomic assessments underscore the competitiveness of renewables, with solar photovoltaic in Al-Nasiriyah and Al-Rutba yielding low-levelized cost of energy values of 0.033–0.035 $/kWh and high-capacity factors, and wind projects in Al-Qaim and Rawa achieving 0.025–0.05 $/kWh. By integrating Iraq's energy challenges, renewable potential, environmental trends, and technoeconomic insights, this review provides policymakers, researchers, and investors with evidence-based guidance to support strategic planning, targeted investments, and the adoption of technologies for a resilient, low-carbon, and economically sustainable energy future.

这份综合报告评估了伊拉克的能源格局,考察了可再生资源和常规资源的空间分布、发电产生的碳排放以及能源项目的技术经济可行性。伊拉克的发电以火力发电厂占绝大多数,占总产量的96.6%,而水力发电占3.39%,太阳能仅占0.059%。尽管石油和天然气储量巨大,但由于基础设施老化、对进口的依赖以及可再生能源的有限采用,该国面临着长期的电力短缺。伊拉克在水电、太阳能、风能、生物质能、地热、波浪能源和蓝色能源方面拥有巨大但尚未开发的可再生能源潜力。水电仍占主导地位,但受到水资源短缺和基础设施落后的制约。另一方面,太阳能和风能显示出强大的技术和经济可行性,但面临电网和金融障碍,而生物质能和地热资源在很大程度上仍未开发。能源转型是不平衡的,Al-Muthanna和基尔库克等省份通过部分燃料转换实现了二氧化碳减排,而其他省份则继续经历高碳发电的排放量上升。技术经济评估强调了可再生能源的竞争力,Al-Nasiriyah和Al-Rutba的太阳能光伏项目的低水平能源成本值为0.033-0.035美元/千瓦时和高容量系数,Al-Qaim和Rawa的风能项目达到0.025-0.05美元/千瓦时。通过整合伊拉克的能源挑战、可再生能源潜力、环境趋势和技术经济见解,本报告为政策制定者、研究人员和投资者提供了基于证据的指导,以支持战略规划、有针对性的投资和采用技术,以实现有弹性、低碳和经济上可持续的能源未来。
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引用次数: 0
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Energy Science & Engineering
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