{"title":"在使用顺序程序控制标准化平均差的置信区间宽度时,非中心t和无分布方法的比较。","authors":"Douglas A Fitts","doi":"10.1037/met0000671","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>sequential stopping rule (SSR) can generate a confidence interval (CI) for a standardized mean difference <i>d</i> that has an exact standardized width, ω. Two methods were tested using a broad range of ω and standardized effect sizes δ. A noncentral t (NCt) CI used with normally distributed data had coverages that were nominal at narrow widths but were slightly inflated at wider widths. A distribution-free (Dist-Free) method used with normally distributed data exhibited superior coverage and stopped on average at the expected sample sizes. When used with moderate to severely skewed lognormal distributions, the coverage was too low at large effect sizes even with a very narrow width where Dist-Free was expected to perform well, and the mean stopping sample sizes were absurdly elevated (thousands per group). SSR procedures negatively biased both the raw difference and the \"unbiased\" Hedges' g in the stopping sample with all methods and distributions. The <i>d</i> was the less biased estimator of δ when the distribution was normal. The poor coverage with a lognormal distribution resulted from a large positive bias in <i>d</i> that increased as a function of both ω and δ. Coverage and point estimation were little improved by using g instead of <i>d</i>. Increased stopping time resulted from the way an estimate of the variance is calculated when it encounters occasional extreme scores generated from the skewed distribution. The Dist-Free SSR method was superior when the distribution was normal or only slightly skewed but is not recommended with moderately skewed distributions. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2024 APA, all rights reserved).</p>","PeriodicalId":20782,"journal":{"name":"Psychological methods","volume":"29 6","pages":"1188-1208"},"PeriodicalIF":7.6000,"publicationDate":"2024-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Comparison of noncentral t and distribution-free methods when using sequential procedures to control the width of a confidence interval for a standardized mean difference.\",\"authors\":\"Douglas A Fitts\",\"doi\":\"10.1037/met0000671\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p><p>sequential stopping rule (SSR) can generate a confidence interval (CI) for a standardized mean difference <i>d</i> that has an exact standardized width, ω. Two methods were tested using a broad range of ω and standardized effect sizes δ. A noncentral t (NCt) CI used with normally distributed data had coverages that were nominal at narrow widths but were slightly inflated at wider widths. A distribution-free (Dist-Free) method used with normally distributed data exhibited superior coverage and stopped on average at the expected sample sizes. When used with moderate to severely skewed lognormal distributions, the coverage was too low at large effect sizes even with a very narrow width where Dist-Free was expected to perform well, and the mean stopping sample sizes were absurdly elevated (thousands per group). SSR procedures negatively biased both the raw difference and the \\\"unbiased\\\" Hedges' g in the stopping sample with all methods and distributions. The <i>d</i> was the less biased estimator of δ when the distribution was normal. The poor coverage with a lognormal distribution resulted from a large positive bias in <i>d</i> that increased as a function of both ω and δ. Coverage and point estimation were little improved by using g instead of <i>d</i>. Increased stopping time resulted from the way an estimate of the variance is calculated when it encounters occasional extreme scores generated from the skewed distribution. The Dist-Free SSR method was superior when the distribution was normal or only slightly skewed but is not recommended with moderately skewed distributions. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2024 APA, all rights reserved).</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":20782,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Psychological methods\",\"volume\":\"29 6\",\"pages\":\"1188-1208\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":7.6000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-12-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Psychological methods\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"102\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1037/met0000671\",\"RegionNum\":1,\"RegionCategory\":\"心理学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"PSYCHOLOGY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Psychological methods","FirstCategoryId":"102","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1037/met0000671","RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"心理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"PSYCHOLOGY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
摘要
顺序停止规则(SSR)可以为具有精确标准化宽度ω的标准化平均差d生成置信区间(CI)。使用广泛的ω和标准化效应大小δ对两种方法进行了测试。使用正态分布数据的非中心t (NCt) CI在窄宽度下具有名义覆盖率,但在宽宽度下略有膨胀。使用正态分布数据的无分布(distfree)方法显示出更好的覆盖率,并且平均停止在预期的样本量上。当使用中度到严重偏斜的对数正态分布时,即使在非常窄的宽度下,Dist-Free预期表现良好,覆盖率也太低,并且平均停止样本量荒谬地升高(每组数千)。SSR程序对所有方法和分布的停止样本中的原始差异和“无偏”对冲系数都负偏倚。当分布为正态时,d是δ的偏小估计量。对数正态分布的低覆盖率是由于d的大正偏置作为ω和δ的函数而增加。使用g代替d,覆盖率和点估计几乎没有改善。当方差估计遇到偶然的偏斜分布产生的极端分数时,其计算方式导致停止时间增加。Dist-Free SSR法适用于正态分布或轻度偏态分布,不适合中度偏态分布。(PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2024 APA,版权所有)。
Comparison of noncentral t and distribution-free methods when using sequential procedures to control the width of a confidence interval for a standardized mean difference.
sequential stopping rule (SSR) can generate a confidence interval (CI) for a standardized mean difference d that has an exact standardized width, ω. Two methods were tested using a broad range of ω and standardized effect sizes δ. A noncentral t (NCt) CI used with normally distributed data had coverages that were nominal at narrow widths but were slightly inflated at wider widths. A distribution-free (Dist-Free) method used with normally distributed data exhibited superior coverage and stopped on average at the expected sample sizes. When used with moderate to severely skewed lognormal distributions, the coverage was too low at large effect sizes even with a very narrow width where Dist-Free was expected to perform well, and the mean stopping sample sizes were absurdly elevated (thousands per group). SSR procedures negatively biased both the raw difference and the "unbiased" Hedges' g in the stopping sample with all methods and distributions. The d was the less biased estimator of δ when the distribution was normal. The poor coverage with a lognormal distribution resulted from a large positive bias in d that increased as a function of both ω and δ. Coverage and point estimation were little improved by using g instead of d. Increased stopping time resulted from the way an estimate of the variance is calculated when it encounters occasional extreme scores generated from the skewed distribution. The Dist-Free SSR method was superior when the distribution was normal or only slightly skewed but is not recommended with moderately skewed distributions. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2024 APA, all rights reserved).
期刊介绍:
Psychological Methods is devoted to the development and dissemination of methods for collecting, analyzing, understanding, and interpreting psychological data. Its purpose is the dissemination of innovations in research design, measurement, methodology, and quantitative and qualitative analysis to the psychological community; its further purpose is to promote effective communication about related substantive and methodological issues. The audience is expected to be diverse and to include those who develop new procedures, those who are responsible for undergraduate and graduate training in design, measurement, and statistics, as well as those who employ those procedures in research.