南极海冰模态的年代际变化

IF 2.8 2区 生物学 Q1 MARINE & FRESHWATER BIOLOGY Frontiers in Marine Science Pub Date : 2025-01-16 DOI:10.3389/fmars.2024.1506715
Benli Guo, Peng Yang, Jie Yuan, Honglian Xing, Wenjie Yuan, Yuanku Meng
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在全球气候持续变暖和南极海冰加速融化的背景下,利用经验正交函数(EOF)和奇异值分解(SVD)技术,分析了近10年来南极海冰主要模态的变化。结果表明,除阿蒙森海外,南极几乎所有地区的海冰已经从过去10年每年1.7%的增长趋势转变为融化趋势。这种下降在秋季和冬季尤为明显,年增长率分别为-7.1%和-6.5%。威德尔海和西太平洋的下降速度最快,分别为每年-6.1%和-5.8%,导致总体平均融化趋势为每年-4.6%。此外,南极海冰的主导模式已经从过去十年的南极偶极子(ADP)模式转变为最近时期的融化趋势。这一转变与南大洋海面温度(SST)和海面气温(SAT)的升高密切相关,后者导致了近年来观测到的明显的冰融化。该研究增强了我们对南极海冰动态的认识,并为未来的海冰变率和预测研究提供了有价值的见解。
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Decadal transformations of antarctic sea ice modes
In light of ongoing global warming and the accelerated melting of Antarctic sea ice, this study aims to analyze the recent changes in the principal modes of Antarctic sea ice over the past decade, utilizing Empirical Orthogonal Function (EOF) and Singular Value Decomposition (SVD) techniques. The results indicate that Antarctic sea ice has shifted from a growth trend of 1.7% per year in the previous decade to a melting trend in almost all regions, except the Amundsen Sea. The decline is particularly pronounced during autumn and winter, with rates of -7.1% and -6.5% per year, respectively. The Weddell Sea and West Pacific exhibit the fastest declines at -6.1% and -5.8% per year, leading to an overall average melting trend of -4.6% per year. Furthermore, the dominant mode of Antarctic sea ice has shifted from the Antarctic Dipole (ADP) pattern in the previous decade to a melting trend in the most recent period. This transition is closely linked to the increase in sea surface temperatures (SST) and surface air temperatures (SAT) in the Southern Ocean, which contribute to the pronounced ice melt observed in recent years. This research enhances our understanding of Antarctic sea ice dynamics and provides valuable insights for future studies on sea ice variability and prediction.
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来源期刊
Frontiers in Marine Science
Frontiers in Marine Science Agricultural and Biological Sciences-Aquatic Science
CiteScore
5.10
自引率
16.20%
发文量
2443
审稿时长
14 weeks
期刊介绍: Frontiers in Marine Science publishes rigorously peer-reviewed research that advances our understanding of all aspects of the environment, biology, ecosystem functioning and human interactions with the oceans. Field Chief Editor Carlos M. Duarte at King Abdullah University of Science and Technology Thuwal is supported by an outstanding Editorial Board of international researchers. This multidisciplinary open-access journal is at the forefront of disseminating and communicating scientific knowledge and impactful discoveries to researchers, academics, policy makers and the public worldwide. With the human population predicted to reach 9 billion people by 2050, it is clear that traditional land resources will not suffice to meet the demand for food or energy, required to support high-quality livelihoods. As a result, the oceans are emerging as a source of untapped assets, with new innovative industries, such as aquaculture, marine biotechnology, marine energy and deep-sea mining growing rapidly under a new era characterized by rapid growth of a blue, ocean-based economy. The sustainability of the blue economy is closely dependent on our knowledge about how to mitigate the impacts of the multiple pressures on the ocean ecosystem associated with the increased scale and diversification of industry operations in the ocean and global human pressures on the environment. Therefore, Frontiers in Marine Science particularly welcomes the communication of research outcomes addressing ocean-based solutions for the emerging challenges, including improved forecasting and observational capacities, understanding biodiversity and ecosystem problems, locally and globally, effective management strategies to maintain ocean health, and an improved capacity to sustainably derive resources from the oceans.
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