[利用(净)移民到德国的替代假设,劳动力潜力的长期发展]。

R H Dinkel, U Lebok
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引用次数: 0

摘要

“通过对2050年的模型计算,本文显示了对德国未来(净)移民的假设将在劳动力潜力的长期发展中发挥决定性作用。”本文的特别重点是指出(净)移民的重要性,不仅在绝对数字方面,而且更重要的是在年龄和性别结构方面。根据年龄结构的假设,每年50万或25万人的净迁移导致劳动力潜力长期发展的极端差异。”(英文、英文及中文摘要)
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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[The long-term development of labor force potential using alternative assumptions of (net) migration to Germany].

"Using model calculations to the year 2050, this paper shows the decisive role that assumptions on future (net) migration to Germany will play in the long-term development of the labor force potential. The particular focus of this paper is to point out the importance of (net) migration not only in terms of absolute figures, but more importantly in terms of the age and gender structure. The annual net migration of 500,000 or 250,000 persons leads, depending on the assumption of its age structure, to extreme differences in the long-term development of the labor force potential." (SUMMARY IN ENG AND FRE AND RUS)

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[Migration from East to West Germany: intention and realization. A sequential probit model with unobserved heterogeneity controls]. [Employment of cross-border workers in the Federal Republic of Germany]. [On the demographic and economic effects of migration to the Federal Republic of Germany in the past and in the future]. [The long-term development of labor force potential using alternative assumptions of (net) migration to Germany]. [East-west migration: causes and trends. Federal Republic of Germany and Austria].
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