Ilyas Bakbergenuly, David C. Hoaglin, Elena Kulinskaya
{"title":"关于标准平均差的定权Q统计量","authors":"Ilyas Bakbergenuly, David C. Hoaglin, Elena Kulinskaya","doi":"10.1111/bmsp.12263","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p>Cochran's <i>Q</i> statistic is routinely used for testing heterogeneity in meta-analysis. Its expected value is also used in several popular estimators of the between-study variance, <math>\n <msup>\n <mi>τ</mi>\n <mn>2</mn>\n </msup></math>. Those applications generally have not considered the implications of its use of estimated variances in the inverse-variance weights. Importantly, those weights make approximating the distribution of <i>Q</i> (more explicitly, <math>\n <msub>\n <mi>Q</mi>\n <mtext>IV</mtext>\n </msub></math>) rather complicated. As an alternative, we investigate a new <i>Q</i> statistic, <math>\n <msub>\n <mi>Q</mi>\n <mi>F</mi>\n </msub></math>, whose constant weights use only the studies' effective sample sizes. For the standardized mean difference as the measure of effect, we study, by simulation, approximations to distributions of <math>\n <msub>\n <mi>Q</mi>\n <mtext>IV</mtext>\n </msub></math> and <math>\n <msub>\n <mi>Q</mi>\n <mi>F</mi>\n </msub></math>, as the basis for tests of heterogeneity and for new point and interval estimators of <math>\n <msup>\n <mi>τ</mi>\n <mn>2</mn>\n </msup></math>. These include new DerSimonian–Kacker-type moment estimators based on the first moment of <math>\n <msub>\n <mi>Q</mi>\n <mi>F</mi>\n </msub></math>, and novel median-unbiased estimators. The results show that: an approximation based on an algorithm of Farebrother follows both the null and the alternative distributions of <math>\n <msub>\n <mi>Q</mi>\n <mi>F</mi>\n </msub></math> reasonably well, whereas the usual chi-squared approximation for the null distribution of <math>\n <msub>\n <mi>Q</mi>\n <mtext>IV</mtext>\n </msub></math> and the Biggerstaff–Jackson approximation to its alternative distribution are poor; in estimating <math>\n <msup>\n <mi>τ</mi>\n <mn>2</mn>\n </msup></math>, our moment estimator based on <math>\n <msub>\n <mi>Q</mi>\n <mi>F</mi>\n </msub></math> is almost unbiased, the Mandel – Paule estimator has some negative bias in some situations, and the DerSimonian–Laird and restricted maximum likelihood estimators have considerable negative bias; and all 95% interval estimators have coverage that is too high when <math>\n <mrow>\n <msup>\n <mi>τ</mi>\n <mn>2</mn>\n </msup>\n <mo>=</mo>\n <mn>0</mn>\n </mrow></math>, but otherwise the <i>Q</i>-profile interval performs very well.</p>","PeriodicalId":55322,"journal":{"name":"British Journal of Mathematical & Statistical Psychology","volume":"75 3","pages":"444-465"},"PeriodicalIF":1.5000,"publicationDate":"2022-01-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://bpspsychub.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/bmsp.12263","citationCount":"5","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"On the Q statistic with constant weights for standardized mean difference\",\"authors\":\"Ilyas Bakbergenuly, David C. Hoaglin, Elena Kulinskaya\",\"doi\":\"10.1111/bmsp.12263\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p>Cochran's <i>Q</i> statistic is routinely used for testing heterogeneity in meta-analysis. Its expected value is also used in several popular estimators of the between-study variance, <math>\\n <msup>\\n <mi>τ</mi>\\n <mn>2</mn>\\n </msup></math>. Those applications generally have not considered the implications of its use of estimated variances in the inverse-variance weights. Importantly, those weights make approximating the distribution of <i>Q</i> (more explicitly, <math>\\n <msub>\\n <mi>Q</mi>\\n <mtext>IV</mtext>\\n </msub></math>) rather complicated. As an alternative, we investigate a new <i>Q</i> statistic, <math>\\n <msub>\\n <mi>Q</mi>\\n <mi>F</mi>\\n </msub></math>, whose constant weights use only the studies' effective sample sizes. For the standardized mean difference as the measure of effect, we study, by simulation, approximations to distributions of <math>\\n <msub>\\n <mi>Q</mi>\\n <mtext>IV</mtext>\\n </msub></math> and <math>\\n <msub>\\n <mi>Q</mi>\\n <mi>F</mi>\\n </msub></math>, as the basis for tests of heterogeneity and for new point and interval estimators of <math>\\n <msup>\\n <mi>τ</mi>\\n <mn>2</mn>\\n </msup></math>. These include new DerSimonian–Kacker-type moment estimators based on the first moment of <math>\\n <msub>\\n <mi>Q</mi>\\n <mi>F</mi>\\n </msub></math>, and novel median-unbiased estimators. The results show that: an approximation based on an algorithm of Farebrother follows both the null and the alternative distributions of <math>\\n <msub>\\n <mi>Q</mi>\\n <mi>F</mi>\\n </msub></math> reasonably well, whereas the usual chi-squared approximation for the null distribution of <math>\\n <msub>\\n <mi>Q</mi>\\n <mtext>IV</mtext>\\n </msub></math> and the Biggerstaff–Jackson approximation to its alternative distribution are poor; in estimating <math>\\n <msup>\\n <mi>τ</mi>\\n <mn>2</mn>\\n </msup></math>, our moment estimator based on <math>\\n <msub>\\n <mi>Q</mi>\\n <mi>F</mi>\\n </msub></math> is almost unbiased, the Mandel – Paule estimator has some negative bias in some situations, and the DerSimonian–Laird and restricted maximum likelihood estimators have considerable negative bias; and all 95% interval estimators have coverage that is too high when <math>\\n <mrow>\\n <msup>\\n <mi>τ</mi>\\n <mn>2</mn>\\n </msup>\\n <mo>=</mo>\\n <mn>0</mn>\\n </mrow></math>, but otherwise the <i>Q</i>-profile interval performs very well.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":55322,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"British Journal of Mathematical & Statistical Psychology\",\"volume\":\"75 3\",\"pages\":\"444-465\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":1.5000,\"publicationDate\":\"2022-01-30\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"https://bpspsychub.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/bmsp.12263\",\"citationCount\":\"5\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"British Journal of Mathematical & Statistical Psychology\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"102\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/bmsp.12263\",\"RegionNum\":3,\"RegionCategory\":\"心理学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q3\",\"JCRName\":\"MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"British Journal of Mathematical & Statistical Psychology","FirstCategoryId":"102","ListUrlMain":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/bmsp.12263","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"心理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS","Score":null,"Total":0}
On the Q statistic with constant weights for standardized mean difference
Cochran's Q statistic is routinely used for testing heterogeneity in meta-analysis. Its expected value is also used in several popular estimators of the between-study variance, . Those applications generally have not considered the implications of its use of estimated variances in the inverse-variance weights. Importantly, those weights make approximating the distribution of Q (more explicitly, ) rather complicated. As an alternative, we investigate a new Q statistic, , whose constant weights use only the studies' effective sample sizes. For the standardized mean difference as the measure of effect, we study, by simulation, approximations to distributions of and , as the basis for tests of heterogeneity and for new point and interval estimators of . These include new DerSimonian–Kacker-type moment estimators based on the first moment of , and novel median-unbiased estimators. The results show that: an approximation based on an algorithm of Farebrother follows both the null and the alternative distributions of reasonably well, whereas the usual chi-squared approximation for the null distribution of and the Biggerstaff–Jackson approximation to its alternative distribution are poor; in estimating , our moment estimator based on is almost unbiased, the Mandel – Paule estimator has some negative bias in some situations, and the DerSimonian–Laird and restricted maximum likelihood estimators have considerable negative bias; and all 95% interval estimators have coverage that is too high when , but otherwise the Q-profile interval performs very well.
期刊介绍:
The British Journal of Mathematical and Statistical Psychology publishes articles relating to areas of psychology which have a greater mathematical or statistical aspect of their argument than is usually acceptable to other journals including:
• mathematical psychology
• statistics
• psychometrics
• decision making
• psychophysics
• classification
• relevant areas of mathematics, computing and computer software
These include articles that address substantitive psychological issues or that develop and extend techniques useful to psychologists. New models for psychological processes, new approaches to existing data, critiques of existing models and improved algorithms for estimating the parameters of a model are examples of articles which may be favoured.