俄罗斯联邦可再生能源发展决定因素:来自实证研究的证据

Nurcan Kilinc-Ata, I. Dolmatov
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引用次数: 1

摘要

俄罗斯联邦是世界上最大的石油、天然气和煤炭等化石能源出口国之一。俄罗斯联邦大约90%的能源生产由石油、天然气和煤炭组成。俄罗斯联邦的可再生能源主要包括水力发电。本文的目的是确定影响1990年至2020年俄罗斯联邦可再生能源资源增长的因素。设计/方法/方法单位根检验增强了Dickey和Fuller、Phillips和Perron,以及Johansen协整和Granger因果关系方法。本研究采用1990-2020年的矢量误差修正模型进行。协整方法的研究结果表明,非可再生能源的增加对可再生能源的发展有负面影响,而收入、能源消耗、贸易开放和二氧化碳排放的增加对可再生能源的发展有有利影响。向量误差修正模型格兰杰因果检验也显示可再生能源与非可再生能源、国内生产总值、能源消费和二氧化碳排放之间存在单向关系。另一方面,贸易开放与可再生能源没有因果关系。实际影响俄罗斯联邦必须考虑可再生能源的实际影响。但是,俄罗斯联邦更需要为可再生能源发展制定健全的能源政策。原创性/价值本文旨在填补关于俄罗斯再生能源发展的文献空白。此外,方法分析的结果可用于指导可再生能源发展领域的政策制定者。本文也更具政策性,在可持续能源发展的背景下非常有用。
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The Russian Federation's renewable energy development determinants: evidence from empirical research
Purpose The Russian Federation is one of the world’s largest exporters of fossil-based energy sources such as oil, natural gas and coal. Approximately 90% of the energy production in the Russian Federation consists of oil, natural gas and coal. Renewable energy (RE) in the Russian Federation mainly comprises hydroelectric energy. The purpose of this paper is to identify the factors that influenced the growth of RE resources in the Russian Federation between 1990 and 2020. Design/methodology/approach The unit root tests augmented Dickey and Fuller and Phillips and Perron, as well as Johansen cointegration and Granger causality approaches, were used. This study was conducted using vector error correction models for the years 1990–2020. Findings The cointegration method's findings demonstrate that while a rise in non-RE sources has a negative impact on RE development, an increase in income, energy consumption, trade openness and CO2 emissions has a favorable impact on RE expansion. The vector error correction model Granger causality test also shows a unidirectional relationship between RE and non-RE sources, gross domestic product, energy consumption and CO2 emissions. Trade openness, on the other hand, has no causal association with RE. Practical implications The Russian Federation must consider the practical implications of RE sources. However, there is a greater need for the Russian Federation to frame sound energy policies for RE development. Originality/value This paper aims to fill a gap in the literature on Russian RE development. Furthermore, the results of the methodological analysis can be used to guide policymakers in the field of RE development. This paper is also more policy-relevant and is quite useful in the context of sustainable energy development.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
6.80
自引率
22.60%
发文量
63
期刊介绍: The International Journal of Energy Sector Management aims to facilitate dissemination of research on issues relating to supply management (covering the entire supply chain of resource finding, extraction, production, treatment, conversion, transportation, distribution and retail supply), demand and usage management, waste management, customer and other stakeholder management, and solutions thereto. The journal covers all forms of energy (non-renewable and renewable), forms of supply (centralised or decentralised), ownership patterns (public or private, cooperative, joint, or any other), market structures (formal, informal, integrated, disintegrated, national, international, local, etc.) and degress of commoditisation (e.g. internationally traded, regionally traded, non-traded, etc.). The journal aims to cover a wide range of subjects relevant to the management of the energy sector, including but not limited to: Management of scarce resources (economic, financial, human and natural), projects, activities and concerns (e.g. regulatory, social and environmental aspects), technologies and knowledge Business strategy, policy and planning as well as decision support systems for energy sector management Business organisation, structure and environment, and changes thereto Globalisation and multi-cultural management Management of innovation, change and transition.
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