非均匀间隔时间序列的估计

IF 1.2 4区 数学 Q3 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Journal of Time Series Analysis Pub Date : 2023-06-15 DOI:10.1111/jtsa.12704
Liudas Giraitis, Fulvia Marotta
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在许多不同的领域中,平稳时间序列的实现可能记录在不规则的时间点上,从而导致观察到的样本间隔不均匀。这些缺失的观测可能有多种原因,这取决于记录数据的机制或迫使缺失观测的外部条件。在本文中,我们首先关注的问题是,当数据不是等间距时,我们是否可以估计平稳时间序列的平均值。我们表明,任何不均匀间隔的样本都可以用来估计底层平稳线性时间序列的平均值。具体来说,我们对采样结构和时间没有任何限制,只要它们独立于底层时间序列。给出了样本均值估计量的一个表达式,并建立了它的渐近性质和中心极限定理。随后,我们对估计进行研究,从而为平均值建立置信区间。用蒙特卡罗方法研究了均值估计器的有限样本性质,证实了这种估计方法的良好性能。
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Estimation on unevenly spaced time series

In many different fields realizations of stationary time series might be recorded at irregular points in time, resulting in observed unevenly spaced samples. These missing observations can happen for several reasons, depending on the mechanisms that record the data or external conditions that force the missing observations. In this article, we first focus on the question if we can estimate the mean of a stationary time series when data are not equally spaced. We show that any unevenly spaced sample can be used to estimate the mean of an underlying stationary linear time series. Specifically, we do not impose any restrictions on sampling structure and times, as long as they are independent of the underlying time series. We provide an expression for the sample mean estimator and we establish its asymptotic properties and the central limit theorem. Subsequently we studentize estimation which allows to build confidence intervals for the mean. Finite sample properties of the estimator for the mean are investigated in a Monte Carlo study which confirms good performance of such estimation procedure.

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来源期刊
Journal of Time Series Analysis
Journal of Time Series Analysis 数学-数学跨学科应用
CiteScore
2.00
自引率
0.00%
发文量
39
审稿时长
6-12 weeks
期刊介绍: During the last 30 years Time Series Analysis has become one of the most important and widely used branches of Mathematical Statistics. Its fields of application range from neurophysiology to astrophysics and it covers such well-known areas as economic forecasting, study of biological data, control systems, signal processing and communications and vibrations engineering. The Journal of Time Series Analysis started in 1980, has since become the leading journal in its field, publishing papers on both fundamental theory and applications, as well as review papers dealing with recent advances in major areas of the subject and short communications on theoretical developments. The editorial board consists of many of the world''s leading experts in Time Series Analysis.
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