石油价格和通货膨胀对非洲最大的石油净进口国的GDP有影响吗?来自非线性异质面板ARDL的证据

IF 1.5 Q2 ECONOMICS OPEC Energy Review Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI:10.1111/opec.12293
M. T. Saidu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文探讨了从其他国家进口石油的八个非洲国家的油价、通货膨胀和GDP之间的非线性关系。该研究使用了各种计量经济学技术,包括对称和非对称动态面板ARDL模型、均值组和合并均值组方法,来检验1983年第二季度至2020年第四季度的季度数据。该分析着眼于短期和长期变化,以衡量油价和通货膨胀对GDP的积极和消极影响。研究结果表明,这些变量是相关的,但从长远来看存在显著的非线性。虽然在大多数情况下,油价上涨和通货膨胀都会对GDP产生积极影响,但油价下跌和通货膨胀可能会产生中性或负面影响。
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Does price of oil and inflation have an impact on the GDP of Africa's largest net oil importers? Evidence from a non‐linear heterogeneous panel ARDL
The article explores the non‐linear relationship between oil prices, inflation, and GDP in eight African countries that import oil from other nations. The study uses various econometric techniques, including symmetric and asymmetric dynamic panel ARDL models, mean group, and pooled mean group approaches, to examine quarterly data from 1983 Q2 to 2020 Q4. The analysis looks at both short‐term and long‐term variations to measure the positive and negative effects of oil prices and inflation on GDP. The findings reveal that the variables are related, but there are significant non‐linearities in the long run. While both rising oil prices and inflation have a positive impact on GDP in most instances, lower oil prices and inflation might have a neutral or negative impact.
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来源期刊
OPEC Energy Review
OPEC Energy Review ECONOMICS-
CiteScore
2.90
自引率
4.50%
发文量
34
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