拉丁美洲大城市的移民:振兴效应,1975-2010年

Jorge Rodríguez Vignoli
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引用次数: 0

摘要

一些理论预见到大城市的经济衰退以及它们的移民吸引力的逆转。其他理论预测,它将成为全球化经济中的控制和指挥中心,保持其移民吸引力,最终在社会经济方面更具选择性。这场辩论忽略了移民年龄的选择性,尤其是大城市对年轻人的历史吸引力。然后,通过深入使用拉丁美洲20个大城市1980年代至2010年的人口普查微观数据,估计了内部移民的年龄率,并计算了内部移民对增长和年龄构成的影响,后者是通过使用新的程序计算的。研究结果证实,城市仍在吸引年轻人,尽管比例较低,移民仍使大城市焕发活力。
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Migración de las grandes ciudades de América Latina: el efecto rejuvenecedor, 1975-2010
Some theories foresee an economic decline of large cities as well as a reversal of their migratory appeal. Other theories predict its strengthening as centers of control and command in the globalized economy, keeping its migratory appeal, eventually more selective in socioeconomic terms. This debate ignores the selectivity by age of migration, and in particular, the historic attraction of large cities for young people. Then, through the intensive use of census microdata from the 1980s to 2010 of twenty large cities in Latin America, internal migration age rates are estimated and the effects of internal migration on growth and age composition are calculated, the latter by using fresh procedures. The results confirm that cities are still drawing young people, although at a lower rate, and migration still rejuvenates large cities.
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25.00%
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3
审稿时长
6 weeks
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