七国集团和中国股市在疫情前和疫情期间的极度依赖和风险溢出

IF 5.7 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Journal of Risk Finance Pub Date : 2022-02-07 DOI:10.1108/jrf-11-2021-0179
Ahmed Ghorbel, Mohamed Fakhfekh, A. Jeribi, Amine Lahiani
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引用次数: 7

摘要

目的分析新冠肺炎大流行前和期间G7国家与中国股市的下行和上行风险溢出效应。通过使用VAR-ADCC模型和条件风险值(CoVaR)技术,分析了七国集团国家和中国股市在COVID-19大流行之前和期间的下行和上行风险溢出效应。结果表明,大多数配对市场之间存在显著的不对称双向风险传导,但不对称程度因使用整个累积分布或分布尾部而异。除了CAC 40/DAX和S&P/SSE之间,所有情况下,下行和上行风险溢出在COVID-19大流行之前都明显更大。本文利用CoVaR和delta-CoVaR研究了新冠肺炎大流行前和期间G7国家与中国股市的下行和上行溢出效应。
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Extreme dependence and risk spillover across G7 and China stock markets before and during the COVID-19 period
PurposeThe paper analyzes downside and upside risk spillovers between stock markets of G7 countries and China before and during the COVID-19 pandemic.Design/methodology/approachBy using VAR-ADCC models and conditional value at risk (CoVaR) techniques, downside and upside risk spillovers between stock markets of G7 countries and China are analyzed before and during the COVID-19 pandemic.FindingsThe results suggested existence of a significant and asymmetrical two-way risk transmission between majority of pair markets, but the degree of asymmetry differs according to the use of the entire cumulative distributions or distribution tails. Downside and upside risk spillovers are significantly larger before the COVID-19 pandemic in all cases except between CAC 40/DAX and S&P/SSE pairs.Originality/valueThe paper used CoVaR and delta-CoVaR to investigate the downside and upside spillovers between stock markets of G7 countries and China before and during the COVID-19 pandemic.
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来源期刊
Journal of Risk Finance
Journal of Risk Finance BUSINESS, FINANCE-
CiteScore
6.20
自引率
6.70%
发文量
37
期刊介绍: The Journal of Risk Finance provides a rigorous forum for the publication of high quality peer-reviewed theoretical and empirical research articles, by both academic and industry experts, related to financial risks and risk management. Articles, including review articles, empirical and conceptual, which display thoughtful, accurate research and be rigorous in all regards, are most welcome on the following topics: -Securitization; derivatives and structured financial products -Financial risk management -Regulation of risk management -Risk and corporate governance -Liability management -Systemic risk -Cryptocurrency and risk management -Credit arbitrage methods -Corporate social responsibility and risk management -Enterprise risk management -FinTech and risk -Insurtech -Regtech -Blockchain and risk -Climate change and risk
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