{"title":"关于Waring分布的最大似然","authors":"Yanlin Tang, Jing-Long Wang, Zhongyi Zhu","doi":"10.1080/24754269.2023.2176608","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"The two-parameter Waring is an important heavy-tailed discrete distribution, which extends the famous Yule-Simon distribution and provides more flexibility when modelling the data. The commonly used EFF (Expectation-First Frequency) for parameter estimation can only be applied when the first moment exists, and it only uses the information of the expectation and the first frequency, which is not as efficient as the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE). However, the MLE may not exist for some sample data. We apply the profile method to the log-likelihood function and derive the necessary and sufficient conditions for the existence of the MLE of the Waring parameters. We use extensive simulation studies to compare the MLE and EFF methods, and the goodness-of-fit comparison with the Yule-Simon distribution. We also apply the Waring distribution to fit an insurance data.","PeriodicalId":22070,"journal":{"name":"Statistical Theory and Related Fields","volume":"7 1","pages":"144 - 158"},"PeriodicalIF":0.7000,"publicationDate":"2023-02-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"On the MLE of the Waring distribution\",\"authors\":\"Yanlin Tang, Jing-Long Wang, Zhongyi Zhu\",\"doi\":\"10.1080/24754269.2023.2176608\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"The two-parameter Waring is an important heavy-tailed discrete distribution, which extends the famous Yule-Simon distribution and provides more flexibility when modelling the data. The commonly used EFF (Expectation-First Frequency) for parameter estimation can only be applied when the first moment exists, and it only uses the information of the expectation and the first frequency, which is not as efficient as the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE). However, the MLE may not exist for some sample data. We apply the profile method to the log-likelihood function and derive the necessary and sufficient conditions for the existence of the MLE of the Waring parameters. We use extensive simulation studies to compare the MLE and EFF methods, and the goodness-of-fit comparison with the Yule-Simon distribution. We also apply the Waring distribution to fit an insurance data.\",\"PeriodicalId\":22070,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Statistical Theory and Related Fields\",\"volume\":\"7 1\",\"pages\":\"144 - 158\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.7000,\"publicationDate\":\"2023-02-13\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Statistical Theory and Related Fields\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"96\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1080/24754269.2023.2176608\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q3\",\"JCRName\":\"STATISTICS & PROBABILITY\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Statistical Theory and Related Fields","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1080/24754269.2023.2176608","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"STATISTICS & PROBABILITY","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
摘要
双参数Waring是一种重要的重尾离散分布,它扩展了著名的Yule-Simon分布,为数据建模提供了更大的灵活性。常用的参数估计方法EFF (expectation - first Frequency)只有在第一矩存在的情况下才能应用,而且它只利用了期望和第一频率的信息,效率不如极大似然估计(MLE)。然而,对于某些样本数据,最大似然值可能不存在。将剖面法应用于对数似然函数,得到了Waring参数最大似然值存在的充分必要条件。我们使用了大量的模拟研究来比较MLE和EFF方法,以及与Yule-Simon分布的拟合优度比较。我们还应用沃林分布来拟合保险数据。
The two-parameter Waring is an important heavy-tailed discrete distribution, which extends the famous Yule-Simon distribution and provides more flexibility when modelling the data. The commonly used EFF (Expectation-First Frequency) for parameter estimation can only be applied when the first moment exists, and it only uses the information of the expectation and the first frequency, which is not as efficient as the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE). However, the MLE may not exist for some sample data. We apply the profile method to the log-likelihood function and derive the necessary and sufficient conditions for the existence of the MLE of the Waring parameters. We use extensive simulation studies to compare the MLE and EFF methods, and the goodness-of-fit comparison with the Yule-Simon distribution. We also apply the Waring distribution to fit an insurance data.