绿砖:大豆价格冲击对阿根廷罗萨里奥住宅建筑的实证分析

IF 0.4 Q4 EDUCATION & EDUCATIONAL RESEARCH Ensayos-Revista de la Facultad de Educacion de Albacete Pub Date : 2020-10-01 DOI:10.46553/ensayos.3.2.2020.p101-128
Federico Accursi
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引用次数: 0

摘要

商品价格的冲击不仅影响到发展中国家的宏观经济总量,而且也影响到具体的工业。本文的目的是研究国际大豆价格对罗萨里奥建设活动的影响,罗萨里奥是阿根廷最肥沃地区的中心,是一个主要的大豆生产国。使用VAR方法,并说明1994-2018年期间的积极影响。这种效应的时间路径将是在第一年半,大豆价格的短暂波动弹性在0.69到0.96之间。
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Green-bricks: An empirical approach of shocks in soybean prices to residential building in Rosario, Argentina
Shocks in commodity prices affect developing countries not only on their macroeconomic aggregates, but also on specific industries. The aim of this paper is to study the impact of international soybean prices on the construction activity in Rosario, epicenter of the most fertile area in Argentina, a major soybean producer. VAR methodology is used and accounts for a positive effect in the period 1994-2018. The time path of the effect would be along the first year and a half, when the elasticity of a transitory impulse in soybean prices ranges between 0.69 a 0.96.
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