与多位专家和不确定偏见的廉价谈话

IF 0.3 4区 经济学 Q4 ECONOMICS B E Journal of Theoretical Economics Pub Date : 2021-08-27 DOI:10.1515/bejte-2020-0171
Gülen Karakoç
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引用次数: 2

摘要

摘要决策者向两位部分知情的专家征求信息,然后在不确定的情况下做出选择。相对于决策者,专家可能有适度或极端的偏见,决策者是他们的私人信息。我调查了专家与决策者分享私人信息的动机,并分析了由此对信息传播的影响。我表明,如果决策者足够关心听取极有偏见的专家的建议,那么咨询一位专家而不是两位专家可能是最佳的。与预期相反,这一结果表明,获得第二种意见可能并不总是有助于决策。
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Cheap Talk with Multiple Experts and Uncertain Biases
Abstract A decision maker solicits information from two partially informed experts and then makes a choice under uncertainty. The experts can be either moderately or extremely biased relative to the decision maker, which is their private information. I investigate the incentives of the experts to share their private information with the decision maker and analyze the resulting effects on information transmission. I show that it may be optimal to consult a single expert rather than two experts if the decision maker is sufficiently concerned about taking advice from extremely biased experts. In contrast to what may be expected, this result suggests that getting a second opinion may not always be helpful for decision making.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
0.80
自引率
25.00%
发文量
25
期刊介绍: We welcome submissions in all areas of economic theory, both applied theory and \"pure\" theory. Contributions can be either innovations in economic theory or rigorous new applications of existing theory. Pure theory papers include, but are by no means limited to, those in behavioral economics and decision theory, game theory, general equilibrium theory, and the theory of economic mechanisms. Applications could encompass, but are by no means limited to, contract theory, public finance, financial economics, industrial organization, law and economics, and labor economics.
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