Ayesha Cooray , Roderick M. Rejesus , Serkan Aglasan , Zheng Li , Alex Woodley
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引用次数: 0
摘要
了解保护性耕作对生产力和生产风险的影响非常重要,这样种植者就可以更好地决定适合其农场经营的耕作制度。研究了不同耕作强度和耕作时间下保护性耕作的平均产量和产量风险效应。利用北卡罗莱纳州皮埃蒙特地区玉米(Zea mays, L.)和大豆(Glycine max, L. Merr.)的长期田间试验数据,结合矩基回归模型实现研究目标。我们的实证分析表明,在北卡罗莱纳州皮埃蒙特的沙壤土中,保护性耕作(低耕作强度和高残留水平)始终比常规耕作具有更高的平均产量。然而,我们发现,基于产量分布的高阶矩(如方差、偏度和峰度),低强度(和高残留水平)的保护性耕作通常没有一致的统计学显著风险降低效果。这表明,与传统耕作方法相比,保护性耕作在统计上并不总是导致较低的生产风险。
The impact of conservation tillage intensities on mean yields and yield risk
Understanding the productivity and production risk effects of conservation tillage practices are important so that growers can make better decisions about tillage systems appropriate for their farm operations. This study investigates the mean yield and yield risk effects of conservation tillage practices with varying levels of tillage intensity and timing. Long-term field trial data for corn (Zea mays, L.) and soybeans (Glycine max, L. Merr.) in the North Carolina Piedmont, together with moment-based regression models, were used to achieve the objective of the study. Our empirical analysis suggests that conservation tillage treatments (with lower tillage intensities and higher residue levels) consistently have higher mean yields than conventional tillage practices in the sandy loam soils of the North Carolina Piedmont. However, we find that conservation tillage practices with lower intensities (and higher residue levels) do not generally have a consistent statistically significant risk reducing effect based on the higher-order moments of the yield distribution (e.g., variance, skewness, and kurtosis). This indicates that conservation tillage does not consistently result in statistically lower production risk relative to conventional tillage methods.