纽约证券交易所和纳斯达克上市航运公司股票收益的全球风险因素

IF 2 Q3 BUSINESS Maritime Business Review Pub Date : 2021-03-29 DOI:10.1108/MABR-09-2020-0059
N. Laopodis
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引用次数: 1

摘要

目的研究2001年1月至2019年12月纽约证券交易所(NYSE)和美国证券交易商协会(NASDAQ)上市航运公司股票收益率的全球宏观和其他风险因素的影响,这些回归的增强版本,以检查额外因素的可能影响,最后是面板回归,以同时评估风险因素对所有公司的影响。估计是通过普通最小二乘法和广义矩量法完成的。发现多因素模型结果显示,一些美国特定和全球宏观风险因素对大多数公司来说具有统计学意义,并且在影响航运股的方式上似乎表现出一致的模式。因此,这些公司的风险敞口主要来自美国市场的总体走势,而在较小程度上来自其他公司的特定因素。其次,从面板规范的结果来看,本研究观察到,失业率、通货膨胀率和工业生产增长等国内风险因素对纽约证券交易所上市公司来说是重要的。对于纳斯达克上市公司,发现伦敦银行同业拆借利率和二十国集团通胀率也影响了其股票收益率。研究局限性/影响受调查的公司仅在美国纽约证券交易所和纳斯达克上市。因此,在其他地方上市的公司被排除在外。可以得出的结论是,这些美国交易所上市公司大多遵守国内基本面,并在一定程度上遵守选定的全球因素。实际意义这项研究的发现对全球投资者和航运公司的经理都有意义。具体而言,考虑到航运公司对各种风险因素(以及全球商业周期)的不同敏感性,可以将航运公司的股票视为全球多元化投资组合中的一个单独的替代资产类别。因此,这样一个更广泛的投资组合将使投资者获得正回报,并降低整体风险。航运公司的管理者也将从这项研究的发现中受益,因为他们应该更好地了解公司在不断变化的全球和国内宏观条件下的不同风险敞口,并成功地引导公司度过商业周期。独创性/价值对全球航运业的研究滞后,主要集中在对航运公司的航运融资来源和资本结构、投资和估值、公司治理以及风险计量和管理的调查。然而,关于航运公司股票回报的潜在微观和宏观决定因素的实证研究却很少。本文填补了在高度金融一体化的世界中,识别和评估影响航运公司股票回报的各种宏观经济、美国和国际风险的文献空白。
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Global risk factors of NYSE- and NASDAQ-listed shipping companies’ stock returns
Purpose This paper aims to investigate the impact of global macro and other risk factors of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE)- and National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotation (NASDAQ)-listed shipping companies’ stock returns from January 2001 to December 2019. Design/methodology/approach The methodological design includes multi-factor regressions for individual companies, augmented versions of these regressions to examine the likely impact of additional factors and finally panel regressions to assess the impact risk factors on all companies simultaneously. Estimations are done via ordinary least squares and the generalized method of moments. Findings Multi-factor model results showed that some of the US-specific and global macro risk factors surfaced as statistically significant for most of the companies and appeared to exhibit a consistent pattern in the way they affected shipping stocks. Thus, these companies’ exposures emanate mostly from the general US market’s movements and to a lesser extent from other firm-specific factors. Second, from the results of panel specifications, this study observes that domestic risk factors such as unemployment, inflation rates and industrial production growth emerged as significant for the NYSE-listed companies. As regard, the NASDAQ-listed ones, it was found that Libor and the G20 inflation rate were also affecting their stock returns. Research limitations/implications Companies examined are listed only in the US’s NYSE and NASDAQ. Hence, companies listed elsewhere were excluded. It may be concluded that these US exchange-listed companies abide mostly by domestic fundamentals and to some extent to selected global factors. Practical implications The significance of the findings in this study pertains to global investors and shipping companies’ managers alike. Specifically, given the differential sensitivities of the shipping companies to various risk factors (and the global business cycle, in general), it is possible to view the shipping companies’ stocks as a separate, alternate asset class in a global, well-diversified portfolio. Thus, such a broader portfolio would permit investors to earn positive returns and reduce overall risk. Managers of shipping companies would also benefit from the findings in this study in the sense that they should better understand the varying exposures of their companies to changing global and domestic macro conditions and successfully navigate their companies through business cycles. Originality/value Research on the global shipping industry has lagged behind and was mainly concentrated on the investigation of the sources of shipping finance and capital structure of shipping companies, investment and valuation, corporate governance and risk measurement and management. Empirical research on the potential micro and macro determinants of the stock returns of shipping companies, however, is scant. This paper fills the gap in the literature of identifying and evaluating the various macroeconomic, US and international risk, factors that affect shipping companies’ stock returns in a highly financially integrated world.
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CiteScore
4.80
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0.00%
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19
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