基于遗传粒子滤波的单变量积雪同化到Noah-MP模型中的方法

IF 5.7 1区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Pub Date : 2023-08-09 DOI:10.5194/hess-27-2919-2023
Yuanhong You, Chunlin Huang, Zuo Wang, Jinliang Hou, Ying Zhang, Peipei Xu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

摘要准确的积雪模拟对于区域水文预测、雪崩预防、水资源管理和农业生产至关重要,尤其是在融雪期间。数据同化方法越来越多地应用于作战目的,以减少积雪模拟的不确定性,并增强其预测能力。本研究旨在研究使用遗传粒子滤波器(GPF)作为雪数据同化方案的可行性,该方案旨在同化不同雪气候下的地面雪深(SD)测量。我们使用Noah MP(具有多参数化)模型中的默认参数化方案组合作为雪数据同化系统中的模型算子来演化雪变量,并使用来自不同雪气候站点的观测数据来评估GPF的同化性能。我们还探讨了测量频率和粒子数对不同地点积雪状态的滤波器更新的影响,以及与重新采样过程中使用的遗传算法相比,通用重新采样方法的结果。我们的结果表明,GPF可以作为一种雪数据同化方案来同化地面测量,并在不同的雪气候中获得令人满意的同化性能。我们发现粒子数量对滤波器的性能并不重要,100个粒子足以代表点尺度系统的高维性。测量频率会显著影响滤波器的更新性能,而密集的地面观测数据总是决定同化结果的准确性。与一般的重采样方法相比,用于粒子重采样的遗传算法可以显著增强粒子的多样性,防止粒子退化和贫化。最后,我们得出结论,GPF是一种合适的雪数据同化候选方法,适用于不同的雪气候。
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A genetic particle filter scheme for univariate snow cover assimilation into Noah-MP model across snow climates
Abstract. Accurate snowpack simulations are critical for regional hydrological predictions, snow avalanche prevention, water resource management, and agricultural production, particularly during the snow ablation period. Data assimilation methodologies are increasingly being applied for operational purposes to reduce the uncertainty in snowpack simulations and to enhance their predictive capabilities. This study aims to investigate the feasibility of using a genetic particle filter (GPF) as a snow data assimilation scheme designed to assimilate ground-based snow depth (SD) measurements across different snow climates. We employed the default parameterization scheme combination within the Noah-MP (with multi-parameterization) model as the model operator in the snow data assimilation system to evolve snow variables and evaluated the assimilation performance of the GPF using observational data from sites with different snow climates. We also explored the impact of measurement frequency and particle number on the filter updating of the snowpack state at different sites and the results of generic resampling methods compared to the genetic algorithm used in the resampling process. Our results demonstrate that a GPF can be used as a snow data assimilation scheme to assimilate ground-based measurements and obtain satisfactory assimilation performance across different snow climates. We found that particle number is not crucial for the filter's performance, and 100 particles are sufficient to represent the high dimensionality of the point-scale system. The frequency of measurements can significantly affect the filter-updating performance, and dense ground-based snow observational data always dominate the accuracy of assimilation results. Compared to generic resampling methods, the genetic algorithm used to resample particles can significantly enhance the diversity of particles and prevent particle degeneration and impoverishment. Finally, we concluded that the GPF is a suitable candidate approach for snow data assimilation and is appropriate for different snow climates.
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来源期刊
Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 地学-地球科学综合
CiteScore
10.10
自引率
7.90%
发文量
273
审稿时长
15 months
期刊介绍: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences (HESS) is a not-for-profit international two-stage open-access journal for the publication of original research in hydrology. HESS encourages and supports fundamental and applied research that advances the understanding of hydrological systems, their role in providing water for ecosystems and society, and the role of the water cycle in the functioning of the Earth system. A multi-disciplinary approach is encouraged that broadens the hydrological perspective and the advancement of hydrological science through integration with other cognate sciences and cross-fertilization across disciplinary boundaries.
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