数字普惠金融与农村消费结构——来自北京大学数字普惠金融指数和中国家庭金融调查的证据

IF 4.4 2区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY China Agricultural Economic Review Pub Date : 2021-09-27 DOI:10.1108/caer-10-2020-0255
Chuanjiang Yu, Nan Jia, Wenqi Li, Rui Wu
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引用次数: 41

摘要

目的研究中国数字普惠金融对农村消费升级的影响及其机制。首先,对数字普惠金融发展对农村居民消费结构升级的影响进行理论分析和实证检验。其次,在异质性分析方面,关注数字普惠金融影响农村居民发展性消费升级的用户年龄异质性,这与代际“数字鸿沟”问题有关。第三,研究数字普惠金融促进农村消费升级的机制。最后,将展示如何促进数字普惠金融在将农村消费结构提升到发展需求水平方面的作用。设计/方法论/方法本研究从微观家庭的角度出发,基于数字普惠金融指数(DIFI)与中国家庭金融调查(CHFS)的匹配城市层面数据,采用工具变量(IV)方法,采用2SLS模型和IV-Tobit模型。“地表起伏度”是数字普惠金融的一个理想工具变量,因为它包含了区域海拔差异和区域地形因素,对数字普惠金融发展具有理论影响,不受其他经济变量的影响。研究结果表明,数字普惠金融对农户的发展性消费有显著的促进作用,但对农户的生存型消费和享乐型消费没有显著影响。此外,本文还考察了中国数字普惠金融对农村消费升级的影响及其机制。首先,对数字普惠金融发展对农村居民消费结构升级的影响进行理论分析和实证检验。其次,研究发现,数字普惠金融在促进农村家庭消费结构升级方面具有年龄异质性,对于代际“数字鸿沟”,其对老年人的影响弱于对年轻人的影响。第三,这些结论表明,数字普惠金融确实通过三种机制影响农村居民的消费:增加收入和财富、缓解流动性约束和便利支付方式。最后,将展示如何促进数字普惠金融在将农村消费结构提升到发展需求水平方面的作用。原创性/价值当前对数字普惠金融与农村消费关系的研究仅停留在农村消费总量层面,并未强调农村消费的结构性问题。数字普惠金融能否促进农村消费结构升级?数字普惠金融能在多大程度上推动农村消费结构升级?因此,从微观层面研究农村消费结构升级具有重要的理论价值。当前的数字普惠金融能否惠及老年人,帮助打破老年人享受金融的脆弱性?在这方面,异质性的证据仍有待提供。
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Digital inclusive finance and rural consumption structure – evidence from Peking University digital inclusive financial index and China household finance survey
PurposeThis paper examines the impact and mechanism of China's digital inclusive finance on rural consumption upgrade. First, the impact of the development of digital inclusive finance on the upgrading of rural household consumption structure is to be theoretically analyzed and empirically tested. Secondly, in terms of heterogeneity analysis, it pays attention to the age heterogeneity of users that digital inclusive finance influencing rural residents' developmental consumption upgrade, which is related to the issue of intergenerational “digital gap”. Thirdly, the mechanism of digital inclusive finance in promoting rural consumption upgrade is to be investigated. Finally, how to promote the role of digital inclusive finance in upgrading the structure of rural consumption to a developmental demand level will be showed.Design/methodology/approachFrom the perspective of the micro-household, this study is conducted by using the instrumental variable (IV) method, with 2SLS model and IV-Tobit model, based on the matched city-level data of Digital Inclusive Financial Index (DIFI) with the Chinese Household Financial Survey (CHFS). “The relief degree of land surface” is an ideal instrumental variable of digital inclusive finance, for including regional altitude difference and terrain factors of regional area, has theoretical influence on the development of digital inclusive finance, and is not affected by other economic variables.FindingsThe conclusions show that the digital inclusive finance plays a significant role in promoting the rural households' developmental consumption, but has no significant effect on the rural households' survival-type consumption and hedonistic consumption. Furthermore, this paper examines the impact and mechanism of China's digital inclusive finance on rural consumption upgrade. First, the impact of the development of digital inclusive finance on the upgrading of rural household consumption structure is to be theoretically analyzed and empirically tested. Secondly, it is discovered that digital inclusive finance is age heterogeneous in promoting the upgrade of consumption structure of rural household, and its effect on the elderly is weaker than that on the young for the intergenerational “digital gap”. Thirdly, these conclusions reveal that the digital inclusive finance does affect the consumption of rural residents through three mechanisms: increasing income and wealth, easing liquidity constraints and facilitating payment methods. Finally, how to promote the role of digital inclusive finance in upgrading the structure of rural consumption to a developmental demand level will be showed.Originality/valueThe current research on the relationship between digital inclusive finance and rural consumption only stays at the level of total rural consumption and has not stressed the structural problems of rural consumption. Can digital inclusive finance promote the upgrade of rural consumption structure? To what level can digital inclusive finance promote the upgrading of rural consumption structure? Therefore, it is of great theoretical value to study the upgrading of rural consumption structure from the micro level. Can the current digital inclusive finance benefit the elderly and help break the vulnerability of the elderly to enjoy finance? In this regard, evidence of heterogeneity remains to be provided.
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来源期刊
China Agricultural Economic Review
China Agricultural Economic Review AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY-
CiteScore
9.80
自引率
5.90%
发文量
41
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: Published in association with China Agricultural University and the Chinese Association for Agricultural Economics, China Agricultural Economic Review publishes academic writings by international scholars, and particularly encourages empirical work that can be replicated and extended by others; and research articles that employ econometric and statistical hypothesis testing, optimization and simulation models. The journal aims to publish research which can be applied to China’s agricultural and rural policy-making process, the development of the agricultural economics discipline and to developing countries hoping to learn from China’s agricultural and rural development.
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