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Impact of agricultural land ownership on child nutrition in rural Sudan: an investigation across gender 苏丹农村地区农业土地所有权对儿童营养的影响:跨性别调查
IF 5.1 2区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2024-09-20 DOI: 10.1108/caer-06-2023-0145
Samia Mohamed Nour, Ebaidalla M. Ebaidalla

Purpose

In light of the inequality in access to farming land and the high prevalence of child malnutrition in Sudan, there is a lack of empirical research on the relationship between land ownership and child nutritional status. This study aims to examine the influence of agricultural landholding on the nutritional status of children under the age of five in rural Sudan.

Design/methodology/approach

The study utilizes data from Sudan’s 2014 Multiple Indicator Cluster Survey (MICS), covering a sample of 10,753 rural children. The empirical analysis uses the two-stage least squares (2SLS) approach, adopting various estimation methods and model specifications for robustness check and comparison.

Findings

The results demonstrate that agricultural land has a positive and significant effect on reducing child malnutrition, signifying that children from families with agricultural land are less susceptible to malnutrition in Sudan. When examining the male and female sub-samples separately, the findings indicate a positive influence of land ownership on child malnutrition in the female sub-sample, while no significant impact is observed in the male sub-sample. This indicates a gender disparity in the effects of land ownership on child nutrition, with girls benefiting more from access to agricultural land compared to boys.

Originality/value

The study has several significant contributions. First, this is the sole study that examines the impact of agricultural land ownership on child malnutrition in Sudan. Second, considering the gender variations in nutritional status, investigating the influence of land ownership on child nutrition across genders addresses a significant gap in the current literature. Finally, the findings resulting from this study can contribute to achieving the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) to be achieved by 2030, precisely focusing on SDG2 Goal 2: Zero hunger and SDG 10: Goal 10: Reduced inequalities.

目的 鉴于苏丹在获得耕地方面的不平等以及儿童营养不良的高发率,缺乏有关土地所有权与儿童营养状况之间关系的实证研究。本研究旨在探讨农业土地所有权对苏丹农村地区五岁以下儿童营养状况的影响。研究采用了苏丹 2014 年多指标类集调查(MICS)的数据,涵盖 10753 名农村儿童样本。实证分析采用两阶段最小二乘法(2SLS),并采用多种估计方法和模型规格进行稳健性检验和比较。 结果结果表明,农业用地对减少儿童营养不良有积极而显著的影响,这表明苏丹拥有农业用地的家庭的儿童较不易患营养不良。在分别研究男性和女性子样本时,研究结果表明,在女性子样本中,土地所有权对儿童营养不良有积极影响,而在男性子样本中则没有观察到显著影响。这表明在土地所有权对儿童营养的影响方面存在性别差异,与男孩相比,女孩从获得农业用地中获益更多。首先,这是唯一一项探讨农业土地所有权对苏丹儿童营养不良影响的研究。其次,考虑到营养状况的性别差异,调查不同性别的土地所有权对儿童营养的影响填补了目前文献中的一个重大空白。最后,本研究得出的结论有助于实现到 2030 年要实现的联合国可持续发展目标(SDGs),重点是 SDG2 目标 2:"零饥饿 "和 SDG10:目标 10:"减少不平等"。
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引用次数: 0
Typologies of South African small-scale farmers and their risk perceptions: an unsupervised machine learning approach 南非小规模农户的类型及其风险认知:一种无监督机器学习方法
IF 5.1 2区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2024-09-09 DOI: 10.1108/caer-09-2022-0201
Sara Yazdan Bakhsh, Kingsley Ayisi, Reimund P. Rötter, Wayne Twine, Jan-Henning Feil

Purpose

Small-scale farmers are highly heterogeneous with regard to their types of farming, levels of technology adoption, degree of commercialization and many other factors. Such heterogeneous types, respectively groups of small-scale farming systems require different forms of government interventions. This paper applies a machine learning approach to analyze the typologies of small-scale farmers in South Africa based on a wide range of objective variables regarding their personal, farm and context characteristics, which support an effective, target-group-specific design and communication of policies.

Design/methodology/approach

A cluster analysis is performed based on a comprehensive quantitative and qualitative survey among 212 small-scale farmers, which was conducted in 2019 in the Limpopo Province of South Africa. An unsupervised machine learning approach, namely Partitioning Around Medoids (PAM), is applied to the survey data. Subsequently, the farmers' risk perceptions between the different clusters are analyzed and compared.

Findings

According to the results of the cluster analysis, the small-scale farmers of the investigated sample can be grouped into four types: subsistence-oriented farmers, semi-subsistence livestock-oriented farmers, semi-subsistence crop-oriented farmers and market-oriented farmers. The subsequently analyzed risk perceptions and attitudes differ considerably between these types.

Originality/value

This is the first typologisation of small-scale farmers based on a comprehensive collection of quantitative and qualitative variables, which can all be considered in the analysis through the application of an unsupervised machine learning approach, namely PAM. Such typologisation is a pre-requisite for the design of more target-group-specific and suitable policy interventions.

目的小规模农户在耕作类型、技术采用水平、商业化程度和许多其他因素方面存在很大差异。这些不同类型的小规模农耕系统分别需要不同形式的政府干预。本文根据南非小规模农户的个人、农场和环境特征等广泛的客观变量,采用机器学习方法对其类型进行分析,从而为针对目标群体的有效政策设计和沟通提供支持。设计/方法/途径基于 2019 年在南非林波波省对 212 名小规模农户进行的全面定量和定性调查,本文进行了聚类分析。调查数据采用了一种无监督的机器学习方法,即 "Partitioning Around Medoids (PAM)"。根据聚类分析的结果,调查样本中的小规模农户可分为四种类型:自给型农户、半自给畜牧型农户、半自给作物型农户和市场型农户。原创性/价值这是首次基于定量和定性变量的综合集合对小规模农户进行分类,通过应用无监督机器学习方法(即 PAM),这些变量都可以在分析中加以考虑。这种类型化是设计针对特定目标群体的更合适的政策干预措施的前提条件。
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引用次数: 0
Trade and energy efficiency: theory and evidence 贸易与能源效率:理论与证据
IF 5.1 2区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2024-08-22 DOI: 10.1108/caer-01-2024-0019
Geng Huang, Xi Lin, Ling-Yun He

Purpose

Some existing studies have begun to discuss how trade will change the environment from a country or province perspective. However, so far, only a limited number of studies have provided evidence at the product level. This study aims to investigate the environmental impacts of trade at the product level.

Design/methodology/approach

The effects of importing intermediates and capital inputs on energy performance are examined using theoretical analysis. Empirical analyses are conducted using data on product trade, and the effects of importing intermediate inputs and capital inputs on energy efficiency are identified using a Propensity Score Matching-Difference in Difference (PSM-DID) estimation.

Findings

The results demonstrate that importing intermediates and capital inputs effectively enhance energy efficiency. Importing these inputs from foreign markets leads to increased productivity and ultimately improves energy performance.

Originality/value

This research provides new evidence on the relationship between importing and energy use at the product trade level. It offers insights into enterprise behaviors regarding importing intermediates and capital inputs, contributing to a deeper understanding of the environmental effects of trade. Additionally, a micro-theoretical model is developed to examine the impacts of imports on energy efficiency, complementing existing literature with theoretical insights.

目的现有的一些研究已开始从国家或省的角度讨论贸易将如何改变环境。然而,迄今为止,只有少数研究提供了产品层面的证据。本研究旨在从产品层面研究贸易对环境的影响。设计/方法/途径通过理论分析研究了进口中间产品和资本投入对能源绩效的影响。使用产品贸易数据进行了实证分析,并使用倾向得分匹配-差分(PSM-DID)估计法确定了进口中间投入品和资本投入品对能源效率的影响。从国外市场进口这些投入品可提高生产率,并最终改善能源绩效。它深入揭示了企业进口中间产品和资本投入的行为,有助于加深对贸易的环境影响的理解。此外,本文还建立了一个微观理论模型,以研究进口对能源效率的影响,从而用理论观点对现有文献进行补充。
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引用次数: 0
How do digital media strengthen the role of social networks in promoting farmers' adoption of climate change mitigation measures? 数字媒体如何加强社交网络在促进农民采取气候变化减缓措施方面的作用?
IF 5.1 2区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2024-04-22 DOI: 10.1108/caer-05-2023-0118
Qiqi Liu, Tingwu Yan

Purpose

This paper investigates the ways digital media applications in rural areas have transformed the influence of social networks (SN) on farmers' adoption of various climate change mitigation measures (CCMM), and explores the key mechanisms behind this transformation.

Design/methodology/approach

The study analyzes data from 1,002 farmers’ surveys. First, a logit model is used to measure the impact of SN on the adoption of different types of CCMM. Then, the interaction term between digital media usage (DMU) and SN is introduced to analyze the moderating effect of digital media on the impact of SN. Finally, a conditional process model is used to explore the mediating mechanism of agricultural socialization services (ASS) and the validity of information acquisition (VIA).

Findings

The results reveal that: (1) SN significantly promotes the adoption of CCMM and the marginal effect of this impact varies with different kinds of technologies. (2) DMU reinforces the effectiveness of SN in promoting farmers' adoption of CCMM. (3) The key mechanisms of the process in (2) are the ASS and the VIA.

Originality/value

This study shows that in the context of DMU, SN’s promotion effect on farmers' adoption of CCMM is strengthened.

目的 本文研究了农村地区的数字媒体应用如何改变了社交网络(SN)对农民采取各种气候变化减缓措施(CCMM)的影响,并探讨了这种改变背后的关键机制。首先,使用对数模型来衡量 SN 对采用不同类型 CCMM 的影响。然后,引入数字媒体使用(DMU)与 SN 之间的交互项,分析数字媒体对 SN 影响的调节作用。最后,利用条件过程模型探讨了农业社会化服务(ASS)和信息获取有效性(VIA)的中介机制:(结果表明:(1)农业社会化服务对采用 CCMM 有明显的促进作用,这种影响的边际效应随技术种类的不同而不同。(2) DMU 强化了 SN 在促进农民采用 CCMM 方面的有效性。(原创性/价值 本研究表明,在 DMU 的背景下,SN 对农民采用 CCMM 的促进作用得到了加强。
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引用次数: 0
Saving farm subsidies with smart climate interventions: the case of transition to a millet-based agriculture 通过明智的气候干预措施节省农业补贴:向以小米为基础的农业过渡的案例
IF 5.1 2区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2024-04-15 DOI: 10.1108/caer-05-2023-0129
Balaji Sedithippa Janarthanan

Purpose

The study attempts to estimate farm subsidies the governments can save by transitioning to a millet-based production system, replacing GHG emission-intensive crops.

Design/methodology/approach

It updates a 131 × 131 commodity input–output (IO) table of the year 2015–16 into 2021–22 using the RAS procedure and simulates the economy-wide impacts of replacing rice and wheat with pearl millet and sorghum using consumption and production approaches. It then quantifies fertilizer, electricity and credit subsidy expenses the government can save through this intervention. It also estimates the potential reduction in GHG emissions that the transition could bring about. India is taken as a case.

Findings

Results show pearl millet expansion brings greater benefits to the government. It is estimated that when households return to their pearl millet consumption rates that prevailed in the early-reform period, this could save the Indian government Rs. 622 crores (USD 75 m). The savings shall be reinvested in agriculture to finance climate adaptation/mitigation efforts, contributing to a sustainable food system. Net GHG emissions also decline by 3.3–3.6 MMT CO2e.

Practical implications

Indian government has been actively aiming to bring down paddy areas since 2013–14 through the Crop Diversification Program and promoting millets (and pulses and oilseeds) on these farms. The prime reason is to check rapidly declining groundwater irrigation in Green Revolution states. Regulations in the past in these states have not brought the intended results. Meanwhile, electricity and fertilizers are heavily subsidized for agriculture. A slight shift in the cropping system can help conserve these resources. Meanwhile, GHG emissions could also be brought down and subsidies could well be saved. The results of the study indicate the same.

Social implications

A less warm society is what governments and nongovernment organizations across the world are aiming for at present. Financial implications affect actions against climate change to a greater extent, apart from technological innovations. The effects of policy strategies discussed in the study, taking a large country as a case, when implemented appropriately around the regions, could help move a step closer to action against climate change.

Originality/value

The paper addresses a key but rarely explored research issue – that how a climate-sensitive crop choice will help reduce the government’s fiscal burden to finance climate adaption/mitigation. It also offers a mechanism to estimate the benefits within an economy-wide framework.

本研究试图估算政府通过过渡到以小米为基础的生产系统、取代温室气体排放密集型作物而可节省的农业补贴。本研究使用 RAS 程序将 2015-16 年的 131 × 131 商品投入产出表更新到 2021-22 年,并使用消费和生产方法模拟了以珍珠小米和高粱取代大米和小麦对整个经济的影响。然后量化了政府通过这一干预措施可节省的化肥、电力和信贷补贴支出。研究还估算了这一转变可能带来的温室气体减排量。研究结果表明,珍珠粟的推广为政府带来了更大的收益。据估计,当家庭恢复到改革初期的珍珠粟消费率时,印度政府可因此节省 6.22 亿卢比(7 500 万美元)。节省下来的资金将重新投资于农业,为气候适应/缓解工作提供资金,从而促进粮食系统的可持续发展。实际意义自 2013-14 年以来,印度政府一直积极致力于通过作物多样化计划减少水稻面积,并在这些农场推广黍类(以及豆类和油籽)。主要原因是为了遏制绿色革命州地下水灌溉面积的迅速减少。过去在这些州实施的法规并没有带来预期的效果。与此同时,农业用电和化肥得到了大量补贴。稍微改变一下耕作制度,就能帮助保护这些资源。同时,温室气体排放量也可以减少,补贴也可以节省。研究结果也表明了这一点。社会影响降低社会温度是目前世界各国政府和非政府组织的目标。除了技术创新之外,财政影响在更大程度上影响着应对气候变化的行动。本研究以一个大国为例,讨论了政策战略的效果,如果在各地区适当实施,将有助于在应对气候变化的行动方面更进一步。 独创性/价值本文探讨了一个关键但很少被探索的研究问题--对气候敏感的作物选择将如何帮助减轻政府为气候适应/减缓提供资金的财政负担。它还提供了一种在整个经济框架内估算收益的机制。
{"title":"Saving farm subsidies with smart climate interventions: the case of transition to a millet-based agriculture","authors":"Balaji Sedithippa Janarthanan","doi":"10.1108/caer-05-2023-0129","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1108/caer-05-2023-0129","url":null,"abstract":"<h3>Purpose</h3>\u0000<p>The study attempts to estimate farm subsidies the governments can save by transitioning to a millet-based production system, replacing GHG emission-intensive crops.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\u0000<h3>Design/methodology/approach</h3>\u0000<p>It updates a 131 × 131 commodity input–output (IO) table of the year 2015–16 into 2021–22 using the RAS procedure and simulates the economy-wide impacts of replacing rice and wheat with pearl millet and sorghum using consumption and production approaches. It then quantifies fertilizer, electricity and credit subsidy expenses the government can save through this intervention. It also estimates the potential reduction in GHG emissions that the transition could bring about. India is taken as a case.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\u0000<h3>Findings</h3>\u0000<p>Results show pearl millet expansion brings greater benefits to the government. It is estimated that when households return to their pearl millet consumption rates that prevailed in the early-reform period, this could save the Indian government Rs. 622 crores (USD 75 m). The savings shall be reinvested in agriculture to finance climate adaptation/mitigation efforts, contributing to a sustainable food system. Net GHG emissions also decline by 3.3–3.6 MMT CO2e.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\u0000<h3>Practical implications</h3>\u0000<p>Indian government has been actively aiming to bring down paddy areas since 2013–14 through the Crop Diversification Program and promoting millets (and pulses and oilseeds) on these farms. The prime reason is to check rapidly declining groundwater irrigation in Green Revolution states. Regulations in the past in these states have not brought the intended results. Meanwhile, electricity and fertilizers are heavily subsidized for agriculture. A slight shift in the cropping system can help conserve these resources. Meanwhile, GHG emissions could also be brought down and subsidies could well be saved. The results of the study indicate the same.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\u0000<h3>Social implications</h3>\u0000<p>A less warm society is what governments and nongovernment organizations across the world are aiming for at present. Financial implications affect actions against climate change to a greater extent, apart from technological innovations. The effects of policy strategies discussed in the study, taking a large country as a case, when implemented appropriately around the regions, could help move a step closer to action against climate change.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\u0000<h3>Originality/value</h3>\u0000<p>The paper addresses a key but rarely explored research issue – that how a climate-sensitive crop choice will help reduce the government’s fiscal burden to finance climate adaption/mitigation. It also offers a mechanism to estimate the benefits within an economy-wide framework.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->","PeriodicalId":10095,"journal":{"name":"China Agricultural Economic Review","volume":"2013 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2024-04-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140561727","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
An analysis of long-term and short-term impact of climate change on rice production in India 气候变化对印度水稻生产的长期和短期影响分析
IF 5.1 2区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2024-04-08 DOI: 10.1108/caer-07-2023-0179
Arshdeep Singh, Kashish Arora, Suresh Chandra Babu

Purpose

Climate change-related weather events significantly affect rice production. In this paper, we investigate the impact of and interrelationships between agriculture inputs, climate change factors and financial variables on rice production in India from 1970–2021.

Design/methodology/approach

This study is based on the time series analysis; the unit root test has been employed to unveil the integration order. Further, the study used various econometric techniques, including vector autoregression estimates (VAR), cointegration test, autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model and diagnostic test for ARDL, fully modified least squares (FMOLS), canonical cointegrating regression (CCR), impulse response functions (IRF) and the variance decomposition method (VDM) to validate the long- and short-term impacts of climate change on rice production in India of the scrutinized variables.

Findings

The study's findings revealed that the rice area, precipitation and maximum temperature have a significant and positive impact on rice production in the short run. In the long run, rice area (ß = 1.162), pesticide consumption (ß = 0.089) and domestic credit to private sector (ß = 0.068) have a positive and significant impact on rice production. The results show that minimum temperature and direct institutional credit for agriculture have a significant but negative impact on rice production in the short run. Minimum temperature, pesticide consumption, domestic credit to the private sector and direct institutional credit for agriculture have a negative and significant impact on rice production in the long run.

Originality/value

The present study makes valuable and original contributions to the literature by examining the short- and long-term impacts of climate change on rice production in India over 1970–2021. To the best of the authors’ knowledge, The majority of the studies examined the impact of climate change on rice production with the consideration of only “mean temperature” as one of the climatic variables, while in the present study, the authors have considered both minimum as well as maximum temperature. Furthermore, the authors also considered the financial variables in the model.

目的与气候变化相关的天气事件严重影响了水稻生产。本文研究了 1970-2021 年间农业投入、气候变化因素和金融变量对印度水稻生产的影响及其相互关系。 设计/方法/途径 本研究基于时间序列分析;采用单位根检验来揭示整合顺序。此外,研究还使用了多种计量经济学技术,包括向量自回归估计(VAR)、协整检验、自回归分布滞后(ARDL)模型和 ARDL 诊断检测、完全修正最小二乘法(FMOLS)、典型协整回归(CCR)、脉冲响应函数(IRF)和方差分解法(VDM),以验证气候变化对印度水稻生产的长期和短期影响。研究结果研究结果表明,在短期内,水稻面积、降水量和最高气温对水稻产量有显著的正向影响。从长期来看,水稻面积(ß = 1.162)、农药消耗量(ß = 0.089)和对私营部门的国内信贷(ß = 0.068)对水稻产量有显著的正向影响。结果表明,最低气温和农业直接机构信贷在短期内对水稻产量有显著的负面影响。从长期来看,最低气温、农药消耗、私营部门国内信贷和农业直接机构信贷对水稻产量有显著的负面影响。 本研究通过研究 1970-2021 年期间气候变化对印度水稻产量的短期和长期影响,为文献做出了宝贵的原创性贡献。据作者所知,大多数研究在研究气候变化对水稻生产的影响时,只将 "平均气温 "作为气候变量之一,而在本研究中,作者同时考虑了最低气温和最高气温。此外,作者还在模型中考虑了金融变量。
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引用次数: 0
Tripartite evolutionary game and simulation analysis of brand enhancement for geographical indications agri-food 地理标志农产品品牌提升的三方进化博弈与模拟分析
IF 5.1 2区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2024-02-27 DOI: 10.1108/caer-07-2023-0207
Weixia Yang, Congli Xie, Lindong Ma

Purpose

The construction of geographical indications agri-food (GIAF) brands play an important role in rural revitalization in China, this study aims to explore how to jointly promote brand building among multiple parties.

Design/methodology/approach

A tripartite game model of the producers, sales operating enterprises, and local governments is constructed to analyze the strategy choice of the parties in the complex system behavior evolution stability, and the simulation analysis of the influence factors of brand construction of GIAF and verify the game result.

Findings

(1) Increased government subsidies and supervision costs are beneficial to accelerating variety improvement and quality improvement of agri-food, but it is not conducive to the government, Therefore, it is necessary to ensure that the subsidy and supervision cost is kept within a reasonable range; (2) The dividend distributed to producers by sales operating enterprises play an important role in encouraging producers to improve the quality safety of agri-food, but it must be kept within a reasonable range to avoid discouraging the enthusiasm of sales operating enterprises; (3) Cost reduction, and revenue improvement are also effective ways to cooperate with all parties in brand co-construction.

Research limitations/implications

This study does not consider consumers or logistics companies in the evolutionary game model.

Practical implications

This study proposes innovative policies and suggestions for improvement of the brand co-construction of all parties.

Originality/value

Based on the “Rural Revitalization” initiative, this study enriches research methods about brand value and provides a new perspective for brand value co-construction, and theoretical guidance, and empirical basis for formulating innovation policies and recommendations.

设计/方法/途径构建生产者、销售经营企业、地方政府三方博弈模型,分析复杂系统行为演化稳定性中各方的策略选择,并对地理标志农产品品牌建设的影响因素进行仿真分析,验证博弈结果。研究结论(1)增加政府补贴和监管成本有利于加快农业食品的品种改良和质量提升,但不利于政府,因此要保证补贴和监管成本控制在合理范围内;(2)销售经营企业向生产者发放的红利对鼓励生产者提高农产品质量安全水平具有重要作用,但必须控制在合理范围内,避免打击销售经营企业的积极性;(3)降低成本、提高收益也是品牌共建各方合作的有效途径。研究局限性/启示本研究在演化博弈模型中没有考虑消费者和物流企业。研究意义本研究为完善各方品牌共建提出了创新政策和建议。
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引用次数: 0
Does state-led urbanization come at the cost of agriculture? Evidence from China 国家主导的城市化是否以农业为代价?来自中国的证据
IF 5.1 2区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2024-01-09 DOI: 10.1108/caer-05-2023-0120
Wenhua Liu, Zekai He, Qi Wang
PurposeThis paper explores the relationship between state-led urbanization and primary industry development using the difference-in-differences (DiD) method.Design/methodology/approachThe study uses the DiD method.FindingsExploiting county-city mergers during 2010–2018, the key strategy to expand the city outward and promote urbanization on the urban fringe by local government, the authors find that county-city mergers led to the growth of primary industry decline by 4.23%. The result can be explained by the loss of essential production factors, including land and labor used for farming. In addition, the negative effect is more pronounced for counties with more substantial manufacturing. The results indicate that urbanization in China relocates land and labor; however, it does not improve the efficiency of agricultural output.Originality/valueThis paper contributes to the understanding of urbanization and rural development from the perspective of the primary industry by showing production factor redistribution. Second, this study complements the literature on local government mergers.
研究结果作者利用 2010-2018 年期间的县市合并--地方政府向外扩张城市和促进城市边缘地区城市化的重要战略--发现,县市合并导致第一产业增长率下降了 4.23%。造成这一结果的原因是基本生产要素的流失,包括用于农业生产的土地和劳动力。此外,对于制造业较发达的县来说,负效应更为明显。研究结果表明,中国的城镇化转移了土地和劳动力,但并没有提高农业产出效率。其次,本研究补充了有关地方政府兼并的文献。
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引用次数: 0
Subjective preferences, liquidity constraints and price risk management under large-scale farm management 规模化农场管理下的主观偏好、流动性约束和价格风险管理
IF 5.1 2区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2023-12-26 DOI: 10.1108/caer-12-2022-0287
Peng Peng, Zhigang Xu
PurposeLarge-scale farm management in China has developed rapidly in recent years. Large-scale farmers face substantial operating risks, requiring extensive price risk management. However, the agricultural insurance and futures markets in China are incomplete. This study aims to analyze the price-risk-management behaviors of large-scale farmers under incomplete market conditions, with a focus on the interconnections between large scale farmers' subjective preferences (risk preferences, time preferences), liquidity constraints and their price risk management.Design/methodology/approachThe authors construct an analysis framework to reveal the impact of large-scale farmers' risk preferences, time preferences and liquidity conditions on their price-risk-management behaviors under incomplete market conditions. Using data from field surveys and subjective preference experiments involving 409 large-scale grain farmers in China, an empirical analysis was conducted using the bivariate probit model.FindingsThe results show that risk-averse farmers will use risk transfer (such as contract farming) and risk diversification (such as multi-period sales) to avoid price risk. However, farmers subject to liquidity constraints and strong time preferences will not choose risk diversification, and the interaction between time preferences and liquidity constraints will strengthen this decision. The larger the farm-management scale, the greater the impact.Originality/valueThe authors focus on rapidly developed large-scale farm management in China. Appropriate price risk management is required by large-scale farmers due to their substantial operating risks. Considering the incomplete conditions of agricultural insurance and futures markets, the results of this study will help identify behavioral characteristics of large-scale farmers and optimize their price-risk-management strategies, further stabilizing large-scale farm management.
目的 近年来,中国的大规模农场管理发展迅速。规模经营农户面临着巨大的经营风险,需要进行广泛的价格风险管理。然而,中国的农业保险市场和期货市场并不完善。本研究旨在分析不完全市场条件下规模化农户的价格风险管理行为,重点研究规模化农户的主观偏好(风险偏好、时间偏好)、流动性约束与其价格风险管理之间的相互关系。研究结果表明,风险规避型农户会利用风险转移(如订单农业)和风险分散(如多期销售)来规避价格风险。然而,受流动性约束和强烈时间偏好影响的农民不会选择风险分散,而时间偏好和流动性约束之间的相互作用会加强这种决策。农场管理规模越大,影响就越大。由于规模化经营风险巨大,规模化农户需要适当的价格风险管理。考虑到农业保险和期货市场的不完备性,本研究的结果将有助于识别规模化农户的行为特征,优化其价格风险管理战略,进一步稳定规模化农场管理。
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引用次数: 0
Effect of agriculture–tourism integration on in situ urbanization of rural residents: evidence from 1868 counties in China 农旅融合对农村居民就地城镇化的影响:来自中国 1868 个县的证据
IF 5.1 2区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2023-12-08 DOI: 10.1108/caer-08-2022-0191
Juan Lu, He Li
Purpose This study aims to clarify the impact of agriculture–tourism integration (ATI) on in situ urbanization (ISURB) of rural residents, to highlight the role of industrial integration in the process of China's ISURB and to provide industrial integration suggestions for promoting urbanization quality in Chinese counties.Design/methodology/approach By sorting out the panel data of China's 1868 counties, the evaluation index system of ISURB was constructed. Difference in difference (DID) and spatial Durbin-difference in difference (SDM-DID) model is used for estimate the relationship between ATI and ISURB.Findings First, ATI can improve ISURB by 11.4% higher than other regions. Second, theoretical analysis model of ATI on ISURB is constructed from four aspects of “drive–push–pull–block.” The results show that ATI can promote ISURB by increasing upgrading of rural industries, rural employment demand and income capacity, whereas ATI may inhibit ISURB by reducing farmland. Third, considering changes in institutional, hard and soft factors, rural collective economy, information infrastructure and digital finance all promote positive impact of ATI on ISURB. Fourth, ATI will produce spillover effects on ISURB in neighboring regions, which is more pronounced in the central and western regions.Research limitations/implications This study lacks quantification of ATI, so future studies are encouraged to further quantify ATI at the county level.Practical implications This study has policy significance for constructing ATI demonstration counties and promoting ISURB in China's counties.Social implications It is of great practical value to promote China's ISURB. By stimulating ATI, it can improve income and employment capacity of rural residents and stimulate ISURB of China.Originality/value This study enriches the theoretical and practical research on industrial integration behaviors during the process of ISURB.HighlightsUse county data to measure in situ urbanization (ISURB)Agriculture–tourism integration (ATI) can increase ISURBConstructs a “drive-push-pull-block” model to explain the influence mechanismUse spatial Durbin-difference in difference (SDM-DID) modelsConsider collective economy, rural information infrastructure and digital financeGraphical abstract
目的研究农旅融合(ATI)对农村居民就地城镇化(ISURB)的影响,凸显产业融合在中国就地城镇化(ISURB)过程中的作用,为提升中国县域城镇化质量提供产业融合建议。设计/方法/途径通过对中国1868个县的面板数据进行整理,构建ISURB的评价指标体系。采用差分差分(DID)和空间durbin -差分差分(SDM-DID)模型估计ATI与ISURB之间的关系。首先,ATI对ISURB的改善率比其他地区高11.4%。其次,从“驱动-推-拉-块”四个方面构建了ISURB上ATI的理论分析模型。研究结果表明,农业综合整治通过提高农村产业升级、增加农村就业需求和增加农村收入能力来促进农村综合整治,而农业综合整治通过减少耕地面积来抑制农村综合整治。第三,考虑到制度、软硬因素的变化,农村集体经济、信息基础设施和数字金融都促进了ATI对ISURB的积极影响。第四,创新创新会对周边地区的ISURB产生溢出效应,这种溢出效应在中西部地区更为明显。本研究缺乏对ATI的量化,因此鼓励未来的研究进一步量化县一级的ATI。本研究对建设ATI示范县、推进中国县域综合发展具有政策意义。社会启示:推动中国的ISURB发展具有重要的现实价值。通过刺激非农就业,可以提高农村居民的收入和就业能力,从而刺激中国的ISURB。本研究丰富了ISURB过程中产业整合行为的理论和实践研究。亮点用县域数据衡量就地城镇化(ISURB)农业旅游一体化(ATI)能促进就地城镇化(ISURB)构建“驱动-推推-拉-块”模型解释影响机制采用空间Durbin-difference in difference (SDM-DID)模型考虑集体经济、农村信息基础设施和数字金融图形摘要
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引用次数: 0
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China Agricultural Economic Review
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