{"title":"使用PyBLP进行差异化产品需求评估的最佳实践","authors":"Christopher T. Conlon, J. Gortmaker","doi":"10.1111/1756-2171.12352","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Differentiated products demand systems are a workhorse for understanding the price effects of mergers, the value of new goods, and the contribution of products to seller networks. Berry, Levinsohn, and Pakes (1995) provide a flexible random coefficients logit model which accounts for the endogeneity of prices. This article reviews and combines several recent advances related to the estimation of BLP-type problems and implements an extensible generic interface via the PyBLP package. Monte Carlo experiments and replications suggest different conclusions than the prior literature: multiple local optima appear to be rare in well-identified problems; good performance is possible even in small samples, particularly when “optimal instruments” are employed along with supply-side restrictions. If Python is installed on your computer, PyBLP can be installed with the following command: pip install pyblp Up-to-date documentation for the package is available at https://pyblp.readthedocs.io. ∗Thanks to Steve Berry, Jeremy Fox, Phil Haile, Mathias Reynaert, and Frank Verboven and seminar participants at NYU, Rochester, and the 2019 IIOC conference. Thanks to the editor Marc Rysman and to three anonymous referees. Daniel Stackman provided excellent research assistance. Any remaining errors are our own. †New York University, Stern School of Business: cconlon@stern.nyu.edu ‡Harvard University: jgortmaker@g.harvard.edu","PeriodicalId":51342,"journal":{"name":"Rand Journal of Economics","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.8000,"publicationDate":"2020-11-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1111/1756-2171.12352","citationCount":"82","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Best practices for differentiated products demand estimation with PyBLP\",\"authors\":\"Christopher T. Conlon, J. Gortmaker\",\"doi\":\"10.1111/1756-2171.12352\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Differentiated products demand systems are a workhorse for understanding the price effects of mergers, the value of new goods, and the contribution of products to seller networks. Berry, Levinsohn, and Pakes (1995) provide a flexible random coefficients logit model which accounts for the endogeneity of prices. This article reviews and combines several recent advances related to the estimation of BLP-type problems and implements an extensible generic interface via the PyBLP package. Monte Carlo experiments and replications suggest different conclusions than the prior literature: multiple local optima appear to be rare in well-identified problems; good performance is possible even in small samples, particularly when “optimal instruments” are employed along with supply-side restrictions. If Python is installed on your computer, PyBLP can be installed with the following command: pip install pyblp Up-to-date documentation for the package is available at https://pyblp.readthedocs.io. ∗Thanks to Steve Berry, Jeremy Fox, Phil Haile, Mathias Reynaert, and Frank Verboven and seminar participants at NYU, Rochester, and the 2019 IIOC conference. Thanks to the editor Marc Rysman and to three anonymous referees. Daniel Stackman provided excellent research assistance. Any remaining errors are our own. †New York University, Stern School of Business: cconlon@stern.nyu.edu ‡Harvard University: jgortmaker@g.harvard.edu\",\"PeriodicalId\":51342,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Rand Journal of Economics\",\"volume\":\" \",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":2.8000,\"publicationDate\":\"2020-11-26\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1111/1756-2171.12352\",\"citationCount\":\"82\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Rand Journal of Economics\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"96\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1111/1756-2171.12352\",\"RegionNum\":3,\"RegionCategory\":\"经济学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"ECONOMICS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Rand Journal of Economics","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1111/1756-2171.12352","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"ECONOMICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 82
摘要
差异化产品需求系统是理解合并的价格效应、新产品的价值以及产品对卖方网络的贡献的重要工具。Berry, Levinsohn和Pakes(1995)提供了一个灵活的随机系数logit模型来解释价格的内生性。本文回顾并结合了与blp类型问题估计相关的几个最新进展,并通过PyBLP包实现了一个可扩展的泛型接口。蒙特卡罗实验和重复实验得出了与先前文献不同的结论:在识别良好的问题中,多个局部最优似乎很少见;即使在小样本中也可能有良好的性能,特别是当“最佳仪器”与供应侧限制一起使用时。如果您的计算机上安装了Python,可以使用以下命令安装PyBLP: pip install PyBLP该包的最新文档可在https://pyblp.readthedocs.io上获得。*感谢Steve Berry, Jeremy Fox, Phil Haile, Mathias Reynaert, Frank Verboven和纽约大学罗切斯特分校的研讨会参与者,以及2019年IIOC会议。感谢编辑Marc Rysman和三位匿名裁判。丹尼尔·斯塔克曼提供了出色的研究协助。任何剩下的错误都是我们自己的。†纽约大学斯特恩商学院:cconlon@stern.nyu.edu哈佛大学:jgortmaker@g.harvard.edu
Best practices for differentiated products demand estimation with PyBLP
Differentiated products demand systems are a workhorse for understanding the price effects of mergers, the value of new goods, and the contribution of products to seller networks. Berry, Levinsohn, and Pakes (1995) provide a flexible random coefficients logit model which accounts for the endogeneity of prices. This article reviews and combines several recent advances related to the estimation of BLP-type problems and implements an extensible generic interface via the PyBLP package. Monte Carlo experiments and replications suggest different conclusions than the prior literature: multiple local optima appear to be rare in well-identified problems; good performance is possible even in small samples, particularly when “optimal instruments” are employed along with supply-side restrictions. If Python is installed on your computer, PyBLP can be installed with the following command: pip install pyblp Up-to-date documentation for the package is available at https://pyblp.readthedocs.io. ∗Thanks to Steve Berry, Jeremy Fox, Phil Haile, Mathias Reynaert, and Frank Verboven and seminar participants at NYU, Rochester, and the 2019 IIOC conference. Thanks to the editor Marc Rysman and to three anonymous referees. Daniel Stackman provided excellent research assistance. Any remaining errors are our own. †New York University, Stern School of Business: cconlon@stern.nyu.edu ‡Harvard University: jgortmaker@g.harvard.edu
期刊介绍:
The RAND Journal of Economics publishes theoretical and empirical research on industrial organization and closely related topics, including contracts, organizations, law and economics, and regulation. The RAND Journal of Economics, formerly the Bell Journal of Economics, is published quarterly by The RAND Corporation, in conjunction with Blackwell Publishing.