人力资本对印尼影子经济的影响

S. Saraswati, Neli Agustina
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引用次数: 4

摘要

影子经济是一个合法和非法商品和服务的市场,这些商品和服务逃避了GDP的记录和估计。它可能导致对GDP的估计不准确,税收下降,以及经济政策不那么精确。提高教育和卫生方面的人力资本质量可以减少影子经济。本研究旨在评估印尼的影子经济,并分析人力资本质量对影子经济的影响。应用时间序列多元线性回归分析,结果表明,印尼的影子经济平均水平为28.97%,预期寿命的变化对影子经济的变化产生了负面影响,而高等教育总参与率的变化则产生了积极影响。
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The Impact of Human Capital on Shadow Economy in Indonesia
Shadow economy is a market for legal and illegal goods and services that escape recording and estimation of GDP. It can cause inaccurate estimation of GDP, declining tax revenue, and less precise economic policies. Improving the quality of human capital, both in education and health dimensions, can reduce shadow economy. The research aims to estimate shadow economy and analyze the influence of the quality of human capital on shadow economy in Indonesia. Applying time series multiple linear regression analysis, the findings show that the average shadow economy in Indonesia is 28.97 percent, changes in life expectancy negatively affect changes in shadow economy, while changes in the gross participation rate of tertiary education have a positive effect.
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