战略伙伴关系AUKUS对印太地区地缘政治形势的影响

O. Leonova
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引用次数: 1

摘要

AUKUS战略联盟的目的是发展成员国(美国、英国和澳大利亚)在印太地区安全和防务领域的合作。该协议规定向澳大利亚供应由核反应堆提供动力的潜艇。这种新战略联盟的出现是由以下因素引起的:中国在该地区的实力增强;美国在印太地区地位的削弱;英国希望在实践中实施“全球英国”战略;以及美国需要有可靠的盟友来遏制中国。这些因素揭示了AUKUS的真正目的——遏制中国和反对其在该地区的积极政策。在本文中,作者运用比较分析的方法揭示了AUKUS国家的不同目标和地缘政治利益。系统方法有助于描述印度-太平洋地区复杂发展的地缘政治系统的本质。新制度主义和建构主义的理论使我们能够识别地区行为者在安全政策和外交政策方面的连续性和差距。澳大利亚加入AUKUS使其能够:加强与美国和英国等有影响力的伙伴的政治联系;在中国在该地区政策活动增加的背景下,从他们那里获得额外的安全保障;提高国家在地区等级制度中的地位;并加强其防御能力。澳大利亚加入AUKUS意味着在该地区形成一种新的反华战略。对英国来说,加入AUKUS使其能够:扩大在印太地区的海军存在;加强与美国的特殊关系;改善其在该国退出欧盟后受到动摇的形象;恢复与澳大利亚的传统关系。对美国来说,AUKUS是“转向”亚洲战略的实施,是在面对中国利用太平洋将美国从领先地位赶下台的威胁时,建立一个具有更大军事战略合作机会的新联盟。创建AUKUS可能会给该地区带来一些地缘政治后果。它们是对立各方的紧张局势升级和核军备竞赛;与中国的新冷战;由于澳大利亚而扩大了核大国俱乐部;该地区地缘政治力量不平衡;破坏跨大西洋团结;以及欧洲国家和美国外交政策中的共同战略。
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The Impact of the Strategic Partnership AUKUS on the Geopolitical Situation in the Indo-Pacific Region
The purpose of the AUKUS strategic alliance is to develop cooperation between the member countries (U.S., UK and Australia) in the field of security and defence in the Indo-Pacific region. The agreement provides for the supply of submarines powered by nuclear reactors to Australia. The emergence of this new strategic alliance was caused by the following factors: the increased power of China in the region; the weakening of the U.S. position in the Indo-Pacific; the desire of the UK to implement the “global Britain” strategy in practice; and the need for the U.S. to have reliable allies to contain China. These factors reveal the true purpose of AUKUS—containment of China and opposition to its active policy in the region. In this article, the author uses comparative analysis to reveal the different goals and geopolitical interests of the AUKUS countries. The systematic approach helps to describe the essence of the complex developing geopolitical system of the Indo-Pacific region.The theories of new institutionalism and constructivism make it possible to identify both continuity and gaps in the security policy and foreign policy of regional actors. Australia’s participation in the AUKUS allows it to: strengthen its political ties with influential partners—the United States and Great Britain; receive additional security guarantees from them in the context of increased activity of Chinese policy in the region; raise the country’s status in the regional hierarchy; and strengthen its defence capability. Australia’s entry into the AUKUS means the formation of a new, anti-Chinese strategy in the region. For the UK, membership in the AUKUS allows it to: expand its naval presence in the Indo-Pacific region; strengthen its special relations with the United States; improve its image, which was shaken after the country’s exit from the EU; and restore traditional ties with Australia. For the United States, AUKUS is the implementation of the strategy of “pivot” to Asia and the creation of a new alliance that has greater opportunities for military-strategic cooperation in the face of the threat from China to use the Pacific Ocean to oust the United States from a leading position. There are some possible geopolitical consequences of creating AUKUS for the region. They are escalation of tension and the nuclear arms race of the opposing parties; a new cold war with China; expansion of the club of nuclear powers because of Australia; imbalance of geopolitical forces in the region; undermining transatlantic unity; and a common strategy in the foreign policy of European countries and the United States.
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