克服经济动力学模型的不足

Yuriy Vasylenko
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引用次数: 0

摘要

已知的经济动态模型过于集中,因此不适用于实体经济。分析师将无法从这些重大错误中识别出经济的真正动态。它们在投资、效率和经济增长率之间没有联系。没有从国家储蓄的最优份额过渡到管理投资来源的代理人的最优份额。为了将投资和经济增长速度联系起来,作者引入了投资技术生产率的概念,它衡量了它们改变材料或劳动力成本的能力。在投资技术生产率的基础上,导出了经济动态方程(不是恒等式)。与高度聚合的模型不同,作者建立了一个充分的因果模拟模型,反映了经济是一个封闭的系统,投资来自收入,经济增长来自投资。作者在此模型上确定了不同投资技术生产率下乌克兰经济的动态。
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Overcoming the Inadequacy of Economic Dynamics Models
Known models of economic dynamics are too aggregate, so inadequate to the real economy. The analyst will not be able to identify the real dynamics of the economy among the big mistakes. They have no connection between investments, their efficiency, and the rate of economic growth. There is no transition from the optimal share of savings in the country to the agents’ optimal shares, managing investment sources.To link investment and the pace of economic growth, the author introduced the concept of technical productivity of investments, which measures their ability to change the rate of material or labor costs.Based on the technical productivity of investment, the author has derived the equation (not identity) of economic dynamics.Instead of the highly aggregated models, the author developed an adequate causal simulation model, reflecting the economy as a closed system with positive feedback of the investment from incomes and economic growth from investment. The author determined the dynamics of the Ukrainian economy with different technical productivity of investment on this model.
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来源期刊
Ekonomika Vilniaus Universitetas
Ekonomika Vilniaus Universitetas Economics, Econometrics and Finance-Economics, Econometrics and Finance (all)
CiteScore
1.40
自引率
0.00%
发文量
15
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