实现全球可持续性的积极临界点

IF 4.6 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Global Sustainability Pub Date : 2022-01-10 DOI:10.1017/sus.2021.30
T. Lenton, Scarlett Benson, Talia Smith, Theodora Ewer, Victor Lanel, Elizabeth Petykowski, T. Powell, J. Abrams, F. Blomsma, S. Sharpe
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引用次数: 38

摘要

非技术性摘要向全球可持续性转变需要大幅加速社会变革。因此,人们对寻找“积极的临界点”越来越感兴趣,在这个临界点上,小型干预可以引发自我强化的反馈,加速系统性变革。发电和个人交通最近也出现了例子,但我们如何确定尚未出现的积极转折点?我们综合了理论和例子,为创造有利条件、感知系统何时可以被正向触发、谁可以触发以及他们如何触发提供了初步指导。我们所有人都可以在触发正向触发点方面发挥作用。技术摘要最近关于可持续发展积极临界点的工作侧重于社会技术系统和决策者推动变革的机构,而早期的工作则确定了由不同行为者引发的社会生态积极反馈。我们将这些因素结合在一起,以考虑整个社会技术生态系统的积极转折点,以及多种行为者和干预措施触发这些转折点的潜力。已有的理论和实例提供了触发临界点的几种通用机制。从中,我们确定了具体的有利条件、强化反馈、行为者和干预措施,这些条件、行为者和措施有助于在采用可持续行为和技术方面引发积极的转折点。可以为积极小费创造有利条件的行动包括针对较小的人口,改变社会网络结构,提供相关信息,降低价格,提高性能、可取性和可及性,以及协调互补技术。可以引发积极影响的行动包括社会、技术和生态创新、政策干预、公共投资、私人投资、广播公共信息和行为推动。积极的临界点有助于消除面对全球挑战时普遍存在的权力被剥夺的感觉,并有助于解开“复杂性造成的瘫痪”。一个关键的研究议程是考虑不同的主体和干预措施如何最有效地合作,在确保公正转型的同时,创造全系统的积极转折点。社交媒体摘要我们确定了能够实现和触发全球可持续性的积极转折点的关键行为者和行动。
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Operationalising positive tipping points towards global sustainability
Non-technical summary Transforming towards global sustainability requires a dramatic acceleration of social change. Hence, there is growing interest in finding ‘positive tipping points’ at which small interventions can trigger self-reinforcing feedbacks that accelerate systemic change. Examples have recently been seen in power generation and personal transport, but how can we identify positive tipping points that have yet to occur? We synthesise theory and examples to provide initial guidelines for creating enabling conditions, sensing when a system can be positively tipped, who can trigger it, and how they can trigger it. All of us can play a part in triggering positive tipping points. Technical summary Recent work on positive tipping points towards sustainability has focused on social-technological systems and the agency of policymakers to tip change, whilst earlier work identified social-ecological positive feedbacks triggered by diverse actors. We bring these together to consider positive tipping points across social-technological-ecological systems and the potential for multiple actors and interventions to trigger them. Established theory and examples provide several generic mechanisms for triggering tipping points. From these we identify specific enabling conditions, reinforcing feedbacks, actors and interventions that can contribute to triggering positive tipping points in the adoption of sustainable behaviours and technologies. Actions that can create enabling conditions for positive tipping include targeting smaller populations, altering social network structure, providing relevant information, reducing price, improving performance, desirability and accessibility, and coordinating complementary technologies. Actions that can trigger positive tipping include social, technological and ecological innovations, policy interventions, public investment, private investment, broadcasting public information, and behavioural nudges. Positive tipping points can help counter widespread feelings of disempowerment in the face of global challenges and help unlock ‘paralysis by complexity’. A key research agenda is to consider how different agents and interventions can most effectively work together to create system-wide positive tipping points whilst ensuring a just transformation. Social media summary We identify key actors and actions that can enable and trigger positive tipping points towards global sustainability.
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来源期刊
Global Sustainability
Global Sustainability Environmental Science-Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law
CiteScore
10.90
自引率
3.60%
发文量
19
审稿时长
17 weeks
期刊最新文献
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