技术创新、资源配置与增长

IF 11.1 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Quarterly Journal of Economics Pub Date : 2017-05-01 DOI:10.1093/QJE/QJW040
L. Kogan, L. Kogan, D. Papanikolaou, D. Papanikolaou, Amit Seru, Noah Stoffman
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引用次数: 145

摘要

我们提出了衡量每一项创新的经济重要性的新方法。我们的衡量标准使用了1926年至2010年期间新收集的美国公司专利数据,并结合股市对专利消息的反应。我们对私人经济价值的专利水平估计与这些专利的科学价值呈正相关,这是通过专利在未来被引用的次数来衡量的。我们的新衡量标准与实质性增长、再分配和创造性破坏有关,这与熊彼特增长模型的预测一致。综合我们的衡量标准表明,技术创新是总经济增长和全要素生产率中期波动的主要原因。我们的度量包含与引用加权专利计数相关的额外信息;我们的衡量标准与企业增长之间的关系要牢固得多。重要的是,与我们的衡量标准相关的创造性破坏程度高于之前的估计,这证实了它是专利私人估价的有用指标。
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Technological Innovation, Resource Allocation and Growth
We propose a new measure of the economic importance of each innovation. Our measure uses newly collected data on patents issued to US firms in the 1926 to 2010 period, combined with the stock market response to news about patents. Our patent- level estimates of private economic value are positively related to the scientific value of these patents, as measured by the number of citations that the patent receives in the future. Our new measure is associated with substantial growth, reallocation and creative destruction, consistent with the predictions of Schumpeterian growth models. Aggregating our measure suggests that technological innovation accounts for significant medium-run fluctuations in aggregate economic growth and TFP. Our measure contains additional information relative to citation-weighted patent counts; the relation between our measure and firm growth is considerably stronger. Importantly, the degree of creative destruction that is associated with our measure is higher than previous estimates, confirming that it is a useful proxy for the private valuation of patents.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
24.20
自引率
2.20%
发文量
42
期刊介绍: The Quarterly Journal of Economics stands as the oldest professional journal of economics in the English language. Published under the editorial guidance of Harvard University's Department of Economics, it comprehensively covers all aspects of the field. Esteemed by professional and academic economists as well as students worldwide, QJE holds unparalleled value in the economic discourse.
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